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Chiefs vs. Raiders Picks, Predictions & Player Props: Raiders Turning to Aidan O’Connell

Contributors
Published November 28, 2024
7 min read
  • Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce had one of his best games of the season against the Las Vegas Raiders earlier this season, catching 10 passes for 90 yards and a touchdown. 

  • Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes has thrown multiple touchdowns in four of the last five games. 

  • Despite playing just 21 receiving snaps, Chiefs wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins was targeted six times and had a touchdown in Week 12. 

The 2-9 Las Vegas Raiders are on the road in Week 13 against the 10-1 Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs are in first place in the AFC West, while the Raiders are last in the same division.

Below are the odds for this game, my best bet, predictions, and best player props. 

Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds 

Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and receive $150 in bonus bets after placing a winning $5 wager.

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Raiders +520 +12.5 (-110) Over 42.5 (-110)
Chiefs -700 -12.5 (-110) Under 42.5 (-110)
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Chiefs vs Raiders Predictions and Prop Bets

Chiefs vs. Raiders: My Pick

Even at 12.5 points and coming off a game where the Chiefs narrowly beat the dreadful Carolina Panthers, I have to take them here. 

The only reason to take the Raiders would be simply because it’s 12.5 points. 

The Raiders allow nearly two passing touchdowns per game. 

Additionally, they allow 28.5 points (29th), 327.5 total yards (14th), 119.5 rushing yards (14th), and 208.1 passing yards (12th) per game. 

Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is coming off a three-touchdown performance. 

With the Raiders turning things back to Aidan O’Connell, I have no faith that this team will score.

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Chiefs vs. Raiders Predictions 

I discussed the Raiders defense above, but now let’s look at just how bad the offense is.

The Raiders average 18.7 points (26th), 292.6 total yards (28th), 74.6 rushing yards (32nd), and 218 passing yards (16th) per game. 

Several Raiders running backs are on the injury report, and they already can’t run the ball. 

As for passing, this was with Gardner Minshew under center. Now, it’s O’Connell under center who, in two starts, threw for 279 yards combined. 

He had just 52 passing yards in one game before getting injured. 

The Raiders haven’t won since Sept. 29, beating Cleveland 20-16. 

The Chiefs beat the Raiders earlier this season, 27-20. In that game, Minshew had two passing touchdowns. 

In two starts against the Chiefs last year, O’Connell threw for just over 300 yards and had just one passing touchdown. 

The Chiefs' offense has been up and down this season, but their defense has still held strong. 

They allow 19.8 points (ninth) and just 300.8 total yards (fourth) per game. 

At Arrowhead here, look for the Chiefs' defense to come up strong and hold the Raiders to 14 points or less. 

The Raiders cannot run the ball, and the Chiefs are third in rushing yards allowed with just 85.3. 

The Raiders' success will rely solely on O’Connell and I’m not confident in that whatsoever. 

Chiefs vs. Raiders Best Player Props

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Travis Kelce Anytime TD (+130 at Caesars Sportsbook)

In the last matchup between the Chiefs and Raiders, Kelce made 10 catches for 90 yards and a touchdown. 

Over the last four games, the Raiders have allowed six touchdowns to tight ends. 

Kelce hasn’t had a great season when it comes to scoring, with just two touchdowns. 

His best game of the season, though, was against the Raiders and getting +130 value, I’m willing to wager he’ll get in the end zone again. 

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Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-142 at Caesars Sportsbook)

Mahomes has 18 passing touchdowns this season and has multiple touchdown passes in four of the last five games. 

In his last matchup against the Raiders, he threw two touchdowns, and I expect it to happen again here. 

The Raiders are allowing 1.82 passing touchdowns per game, including multiple touchdowns in each of the last four games. They’ve allowed a total of 12 touchdowns in that span or three per game. 

Mahomes has also thrown three touchdowns in each of the last two games. 

He’ll likely reach three again here. 

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DeAndre Hopkins Anytime TD (+225 at Caesars Sportsbook)

In Week 12, Hopkins played just 21 receiving snaps, but he was used often when he was on the field. 

He saw six targets, caught five passes, and had 35 yards and a touchdown. 

This week, he’ll take on a Raiders team that allows wide receivers nearly one touchdown per game. They’ve allowed at least one in each of the last four games, including two last week against the Denver Broncos. 

Hopkins hasn’t been with the team all that long, and with each passing week, he’ll see more snaps. It’s good to see that, despite playing so little, he was targeted the same amount as Xavier Worthy, who played 13 more snaps. 

Hopkins will score here. 

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Chiefs vs. Raiders: How to Watch

  • When: Friday, Nov. 29 at 3:00 PM ET

  • Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

  • Where to Watch: AMZN

Chiefs vs. Raiders Best Promos and Sportsbooks

If you’re looking for the best odds for the Chiefs vs. Raiders matchup or any other Week 13 NFL game, check out our top recommended NFL betting sites. FanDuel always has the best moneyline and point spread odds, while Caesars ensures top-tier player prop options. 

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Chiefs vs. Raiders Injuries

  • Chiefs tight end Peyton Hendershot has been placed on injured reserve with a calf injury. 

  • Chiefs kicker Spencer Shrader is questionable with a hamstring injury. 

  • Chiefs defensive end Charles Omenihu is questionable with a knee injury. 

  • Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco is questionable with an ankle injury. 

  • Raiders cornerback Jakorian Bennett is questionable. 

  • Raiders tight end Harris Bryant is questionable. 

  • Raiders cornerback Nate Hobbs is questionable. 

  • Raiders running back Alexander Mattison is questionable. 

  • Raiders guard Cody Whitehair is questionable. 

  • Raiders running back Zamir White is questionable. 

  • Raiders quarterback Gardner Minshew is out for the season with a broken collarbone.

tip_r

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Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
Email: [email protected]
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