Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs, Predictions, Odds, Picks

  • The Dallas Cowboys rank better than the Chiefs on both sides of the ball
  • Last week, the Chiefs crushed the LV Raiders on national television, 41-14
  • Four of Kansas City’s last five games have gone under the total points line

Cowboys vs Chiefs Odds

Odds from PlaySugarHouse. Click on the links below to head to the sportsbook and place your bet.

Cowboys vs Chiefs Odds Point Spread Points Total Money Line
Dallas Cowboys +2.5 (-109)
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O56.5 (-110)
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+120
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Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (-112)
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U56.5 (-110)
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-136
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Have a look at all the Week 11 NFL game predictions and picks against the spread.

Cowboys vs Chiefs Pick

The Chiefs at Arrowhead are nearly impossible to beat so take them to cover the spread against these Cowboys at -2.5 (-112).

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This season the Dallas Cowboys rank better than the Chiefs on both sides of the ball, but for quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Zeke Elliott to earn a win at Arrowhead they will need some help from their 15th ranked defense who had an impressive Week 10 keeping the Falcons to just a field goal, which might be tougher to do against these high-scoring Chiefs.

The Kansas City Chiefs played a statement game in Week 10 when they crushed the Raiders on national television, 41-14, and now that quarterback Patrick Mahomes seems to realize he doesn’t have to score a touchdown with every throw, his offense seems more effective, and all head coach Andy Reid has left to do is get his 26th ranked defense to play more consistently.

These two cross-conference rivals have played each other 11 previous times, with the Kansas City Chiefs winning 4 of those games and the Dallas Cowboys winning 7 of the games.

Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

Can the Dallas Cowboys Continue Their Balanced Offensive Attack?

When the Dallas Cowboys offense is firing on all cylinders, it can beat you on the ground and through the air, something that the Falcons found out last week when Dallas posted 431 yards of total offense against them, with 317 yards from passing and 114 yards gained on the ground.

With all the playmakers this Cowboys roster contains, the hardest part of game-planning for them is figuring out how to get everyone enough targets to keep them happy, with running back Zeke Elliott wanting to be fed more and receivers Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb also hungry.

That’s the job of the Cowboys’ offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and as the season unfolds it’s obvious that he is trying to counterbalance both attacks off each other, which seems to be working as his offense is ranked first in the league right now.

Can Chiefs Quarterback Patrick Mahomes Play Safe to Win?

Apparently, the league has figured out how to neutralize the Chiefs’ deep passing attack starring a lightening quick Tyreek Hill, and for the first part of the season quarterback Patrick Mahomes seemed to hesitate working around that by taking the easier shorter yardage gains.

Now Mahomes has ten interceptions from trying to force big plays, almost as many as he threw in the prior two seasons combined, so it did not take long for arguably the best player in the league to figure out that he must start taking more check down passes.

Defenses are allowing the Chiefs to make those shorter plays in order to keep Hill and tight end Travis Kelce from killing them with the deep ball, so to win now Mahomes must evolve his game plan to include the unimpressive completions that defenses are giving him.

Cowboys Key Player: (WR) Amari Cooper

Ever since star wide receiver Amari Cooper joined the Cowboys mid-season back in 2018, he has become an integral part of the Dallas offense as well as one of the favorite targets of quarterback Dak Prescott.

Prescott and Cooper have combined for 44 completions this season off 65 targets for 583 yards and 5 touchdowns, this after posting two straight 1,100+ yard seasons in a row, Cooper with five total 1,000+ yard seasons so far in his pro career.

Cooper’s best game of the season came in Week 1 during the Cowboys loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 29-31, a game in which he caught 13 passes off 17 targets for 139 yards and two touchdowns, numbers the team could use if they expect to outscore these Chiefs on Sunday.

Chiefs Key Player: (WR) Tyreek Hill

Nobody will argue with the fact that Chiefs’ receiver Tyreek Hill, aka the Cheetah, is one of the fastest man in the NFL, the speedy deep threat able to run the 40-yard dash in an impressive 4.29 seconds, speed that is tough to neutralize.

Yet teams are doing it by playing Hill tight off the line of scrimmage and by double-teaming him during most plays in the game, so it’s going to be up to the 27-year old NFL veteran to figure out how to still get open despite all that attention.

Hill is having an impressive 2021 so far with 75 catches for 855 yards and 8 touchdowns, this after posting a 1,275+ yard season last year, so watch for the Cheetah to take advantage of the Cowboys’ 21st ranked pass defense and attempt a few deep routes during this game.

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How to Watch Cowboys vs Chiefs

Cowboys vs Chiefs Information
What Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs
Where Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO
When Sunday, November 21, 2021; 4:25 PM ET
How to watch FOX

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Mike Lukas

Expert on NFL

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]