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Another week, another run at becoming a millionaire in one DFS sweep. Here goes nothing.
Week 3 went well for our lineup, but unfortunately featured zero Dolphins so it meant nothing. Deshaun Watson scored well for his ownership, and Tank Dell dominated on one side of the ball while Travis Etienne did the same on the other side.
Unfortunately, Kendre Miller didn’t provide the efficiency I hoped, and Washington’s DST was crippled by Sam Howell’s turnovers. A search for perfection is never a quick one, so here’s to four weeks being the key option!
This weekly column will provide you with the information you need before choosing a lineup in DFS. Prices are sourced from DraftKings in accordance with the tournament.
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A winning strategy in DFS is to play the slate. BUF/MIA has the highest over/under of the week and one of the highest of the season so far at 54.5. Unless the Dolphins score 70 again, that means Josh Allen will have a busy day.
You can read more on Allen in our DFS Stacks article linked above!
As mentioned above, last week’s lineup went well but without any part of the 70-point Dolphins squad, it never stood a chance of a top prize. Let’s not make the same mistake here.
The popular play will be to take De’Von Achane at a cheaper cost given his sheer dominance last week. But Mostert has been nothing short of terrific since the start of the season, and he will likely have the lower ownership as a result.
Only Keenan Allen and Tyreek Hill have scored more fantasy points than Mostert this year, with all three surpassing even the current QB1 in Kirk Cousins and everyone’s favorite receiver Justin Jefferson. The Bills have allowed over 110 rushing yards per game, ranking in the middle of the league.
The Dolphins simply can’t be stopped right now, and Mostert is the piece that finds his way into the lineup.
Last week Mattison was highlighted as a value play at cost and had himself his best game of the season by a wide margin. He dominated touches, and while Cam Akers should be active this week, Mattison should continue to see the lion’s share of work on an offense that scored 28 points in the team’s lone road game against a tough Eagles defense.
You can read more on Mattison in our DFS values article!
Here’s the Week 4 stack pick as we find a way to squeeze both into our lineup for 33% of the budget. Hope it turns out to be worth it.
With Diggs commanding a near-31% target share and Allen throwing the ball among the league leaders, there’s no other stack to have in Buffalo without a serious roll of the dice. Everyone is waiting for the game where Buffalo flexes their star quarterback and receiver. A home matchup against the team atop your division with a suspect secondary is a perfect place to do just that.
You can read more in our DFS Stacks article linked above!
Nacua gets to match up against a Colts secondary that was obliterated by Calvin Ridley and Zay Jones in Week 1 and annihilated by Nico Collins and Tank Dell in Week 2. While Indianapolis somewhat limited Baltimore, that can be chalked up to bad weather.
Things should be much easier for the Rams, whose offensive identity goes as Stafford’s arm goes. Only the Vikings have passed the ball more than the Rams, and Nacua has proven that he can dominate targets.
He’s a must-play option in this matchup.
This is the biggest dart throw of the week as Mims has yet to play more than 20 snaps in a game this year. But getting a piece of Denver against Chicago is an important priority as the Broncos look to bounce back from arguably their most embarrassing performance since Super Bowl XLVIII. Or maybe since Colts/Broncos from last year. There are many options.
Shade aside, Mims is continually ripping off big plays for Denver despite his smaller role. Beat reporters have hinted at an expanded role for the second-round rookie, and Chicago is the perfect matchup to take advantage of. The Bears allow the second-most net passing yards per attempt. That’s ideal for a big-play machine like Mims.
Bryce Young liked to throw to Hayden Hurst over the first couple of weeks of the season before getting hurt. At a cheap cost against a Vikings defense that continues to struggle, why not?
Hurst is as much a question mark as other tight ends in this range, but chasing the matchup and the openness of this passing attack lends some hope that Hurst can carve out a floor with Young under center instead of Andy Dalton.
Hurst is still sixth in routes run among tight ends, so the opportunity is there. Hurst was mentioned in this week’s DFS Sleepers article.
Dell owned the FLEX position last week and dominated with 145 yards and a score. So DraftKings responded by increasing his price by just $1,000. Make it make sense.
The third-round rookie led the team in targets, receptions and receiving yards in an upset win over Jacksonville. He’s one of the picks within the DFS Sleepers article, which you can read more about through the links above.
This Browns defense is legitimately talented, with its offseason moves paying off in a big way as the unit has allowed one touchdown through three weeks.
It’s not the best matchup, but that could lower ownership. A home game against a divisional opponent always brings out the best in players, which is why Cleveland was mentioned in this week’s DFS Values article.
Leftover budget: $100
Michael Sicoli has been writing about fantasy football and betting within the NFL space since 2020. He works as a writer and content creator with ClubFantasyFFL and runs an NFL defensive (IDP) newsletter with The IDP Guys. A graduate from Quinnipiac University, Michael is a long-time NFL fan with a love for soccer and the NBA.More info on Michael Sicoli
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