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Getting good values from your players is a weekly must for DFS lineups. Last week was a mixed bag, but hopefully, it’ll be more positive than negative this time around.
Leveraging five weeks of data and sound fantasy football strategy, here are some good value plays you should be aware of for Week 6.
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Welcome back, Mr. Shiesty! Joe Burrow set season-highs in nearly every passing category, from passing yards to touchdowns to completions. He finished as the QB8 in an utter dismantling of the Cardinals and finished with a 108.1 passer rating, another season-high stat.
The Bengals quarterback still isn’t 100%, but at an affordable price tag, he offers tremendous value in a good matchup against Seattle. This game has the potential to be a shoot-out despite a lower over/under at 44.5. Burrow still has a lower floor — his calf injury didn’t disappear — but Week 5 proved that his ceiling still exists.
Alexander Mattison has been an underwhelming DFS play largely because of the Vikings’ commitment to the passing game. No team runs the ball less than Minnesota, with a mere 18.6 rushes per game. That happens when Justin Jefferson is your WR1, rightfully demanding the ball on seemingly every play.
But Jefferson is now sidelined with a hamstring injury for at least the next four games, and Minnesota must find another way to move the ball. Balancing out the offense seems like the bare minimum approach, and Mattison still boasts the sixth-best opportunity share among RBs.
He has firm control over as backfield that simply hasn’t been asked to do too much. Without Jefferson the Vikings will need to swing the pendulum back to the middle, offering Mattison a chance to get his first rushing score of the year. It helps that the Bears allow the third-most points to RBs, even after limiting Brian Robinson and the Commanders in Week 5.
There’s a lot of warranted hype in Indianapolis, from Anthony Richardson’s strong season to Jonathan Taylor’s contract extension with the franchise. But Downs has quietly had an impressive start to his NFL career, and there is plenty to suggest that he has only just begun his fantasy ascent.
Downs caught all six of his targets for 97 yards last week with Gardner Minshew under center. He also recorded a season-high 12 targets and eight receptions in Minshew’s lone start in Week 3. The passing game is more stable and reliable under Minshew, which makes sense given the veteran’s experience over Richardson’s lack of reps as a passer.
The Colts will face the Jaguars in Week 6, an above-average matchup for wide receivers. Expect Downs to get a solid target share once again, providing strong value on a low-price tag across both formats.
Is it possible for the fourth-most expensive TE on DraftKings to be a value? Here’s why Dallas Goedert is still the best TE play at cost for Week 6.
After a slow start to the season, Goedert exploded in Week 5 to the tune of 28.7 fantasy points. He could have a similarly dominant game in the best fantasy matchup possible against the New York Jets. The Gang Green has allowed five touchdowns to tight ends this season, making names like Adam Trautman and Pharaoh Brown TE1 options for specific weeks.
Goedert could dominate the Jets across the middle of the field, or at least be in for a multi-score game. At his current cost — which remains noticeably behind TE1 T.J. Hockenson and TE2 Sam LaPorta — the Eagles TE is a terrific value.
Side note: his value is much greater on DraftKings than it is on FanDuel.
How will Baker Mayfield play without his favorite target? That question doesn’t have a wide range of answers, and one of those would lead to a monster day for Detroit’s DST.
With Mike Evans (hamstring) looking likely to miss Week 6, the Buccaneers offense will be challenged like they haven’t yet been this season. Mayfield has played exceptionally well over the first four weeks, but he did throw a season-low 5.1 yards per attempt in Week 4 when Evans left. If his absence hamstrings the offense’s ability to make up for an inept ground game, then Mayfield could be in serious trouble of reverting back to his old ways.
Detroit’s DST offers a better value on DraftKings than FanDuel. So watch your budgets and choose wisely between DraftKings and FanDuel.
Michael Sicoli has been writing about fantasy football and betting within the NFL space since 2020. He works as a writer and content creator with ClubFantasyFFL and runs an NFL defensive (IDP) newsletter with The IDP Guys. A graduate from Quinnipiac University, Michael is a long-time NFL fan with a love for soccer and the NBA.More info on Michael Sicoli
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