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Dolphins vs. Broncos Predictions, Picks, Odds - NFL Week 3

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published September 24, 2023
7 min read

The Miami Dolphins and Denver Broncos are headed in two different directions. The Dolphins are 2-0, while the Broncos are 0-2. The Dolphins won in dominant fashion in Week 2 despite the final score, while the Broncos scored 33 points, with the last six coming on a Hail Mary. 

Below, we’ll examine the odds from this game and offer up our three best bets after reviewing the best NFL betting sites

Dolphins vs. Broncos Odds

Denver Broncos+6.5 (-108)+235O 48.5
Miami Dolphins-6.5 (-112)-290U 48.5

Odds from DraftKings. Bet $5 Get $200 Instantly + Up to $150 in No Sweat Bets.

Dolphins vs. Broncos Betting Preview

Dolphins vs Broncos

The Dolphins looked like the most dominant team in football through the first two weeks of the NFL season, scoring 60 points against the Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots. 

The Broncos scored 27 against the Commanders in Week 2 before a last-second Hail Mary. To be fair, they did lose a failed two-point conversion, but we could argue the referees missed a pass interference call. We don’t know how the game would’ve gone in overtime, but it’s worth noting. 

In Week 1, the Broncos dropped the ball against the Las Vegas Raiders, losing 17-16. 

Now, in Week 3, the Dolphins host the Broncos. Based on the first two weeks, this seems like an easy choice, but there are some important things to note.

Looking at the injury report for the Dolphins, it includes the following players:

  • Tyreek Hill
  • Andrew Van Ginkel
  • Jaylen Waddle
  • Salvon Ahmed
  • Jaelen Phillips
  • Tyler Kroft
  • Raekwon Davis

A number of these players should suit up, but Waddle is likely to sit this one out with a concussion. This creates a situation where, instead of having Hill and Waddle on the field to go against Patrick Surtain and one of the worst corners in the league, Damarri Mathis, Surtain now links up with Hill exclusively. 

Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is currently the odds-on favorite for MVP. We’re not worried about his performance, but the lack of Waddle here makes the Broncos defense’s job exponentially easier. 

In another underrated matchup, Broncos edge rusher Jonathon Cooper will go up against Dolphins right tackle Austin Jackson—a matchup that favors Cooper. 

The Dolphins running game is shaky with Raheem Mostert and rookie De’Von Achane, but they’ll face a defense that includes Josey Jewell, who’s been phenomenal against the run this year. 

The Broncos offense has several weapons, including Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, Brandon Johnson, and Marvin Mims. The backfield includes Javonte Williams and Samaje Perine. 

Dolphins slot cornerback Kader Kohou has been great this season, but Jeudy should be an interesting matchup as he recovers from injury. 

On the outside, it’s hard to trust Eli Apple and Xavien Howard.

Also, don’t look now, but Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson, who was atrocious last season, has played pretty well this season, completing 68.2% of his passes for 485 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception.

This could be a much closer game than we expected. 

Find our three best bets for this game after checking out one of the best sports betting sites - DraftKings

Dolphins vs. Broncos Picks & Predictions

Broncos +6.5 (-108)

As discussed above, there are plenty of matchups that favor the Broncos. That said, Mathis is a liability on the outside, and the Broncos must have Surtain shadow Hill. If Hill ever matches up with Mathis, it’ll end poorly. 

Thanks to players like Jewell, the Broncos run defense has held teams to 91.5 rushing yards per game.

Offensively, the Broncos have several weapons against some not-so-good Dolphins secondary players. 

This should be a high-scoring game, and the Broncos, believe it or not, have a chance to win outright without Waddle on the field. 

The Broncos are 0-2 against the spread, while the Dolphins have covered both games.

Over 48.5 (-110)

The lack of Waddle is a problem for the Dolphins, but Tagovailoa’s ability is MVP-worthy. With Mike McDaniel at the helm, this Dolphins offense will scheme ways up to score. 

The Broncos offense has been shaky overall, despite the talent, but the lack of talent on the Dolphins defense should allow for the Broncos to score points. 

We could see both teams score into the 30-point range, similar to the Broncos and Commanders. 

Durham Smythe Any Time TD (+250)

It’s looking like the Dolphins will be without wide receiver Jaylen Waddle after suffering a concussion in Week 2. As a result, wide receiver River Cracraft or Erik Ezukanma figures to get more opportunities, but this could also open the door for Smythe. Of all the players on the Dolphins, no one has run more routes this season than him. When he’s on the field, Smythe runs a route 91.4% of the time. He’s only seen nine targets, but the Broncos did allow a touchdown to Logan Thomas in Week 2. 

This is somewhat of a dart throw but done in the red zone in a short-yardage situation. Don’t be surprised to see Smythe get a look. 

Statistics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.

Dolphins vs. Broncos Betting Promos

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How To Watch Dolphins vs. Broncos

  • Game: Dolphins vs. Broncos
  • When: 1:00 p.m. EST on Sunday, Sept. 24
  • Where: CBS
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Richard Janvrin

548 Articles

After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.

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