Denver is coming off a disappointing loss to Kansas City
Atlanta has lost and failed to cover the spread in their last five AFC matchups
The Falcons are 3-1 on the road in 2024
The Falcons and Broncos are both looking to get back on track following last Sunday's losses. Atlanta looks to stay at the top of the NFC South, while the Broncos need a win badly.
Denver missed a potential game-winning field goal one week ago, which would have handed Kansas City their first loss in 2024. They will look to respond in Week 11 with a solid defensive presence that has been present all year.
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Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Atlanta Falcons | +2.5 (-110) | +116 | Over 44.5 (-105) |
Denver Broncos | -2.5 (-110) | -136 | Under 44.5 (-115) |
In a highly competitive game, we are backing the road underdog to cover the 2.5-point spread. The Falcons are a better team than the Broncos, and we think Bijan Robinson will have a big performance.
Kirk Cousins has been outstanding and will succeed in this contest. Wide receivers Drake London and Darnell Mooney will be huge factors against a strong Broncos secondary.
Thanks to a solid offensive line, Cousins should have time if they can get open. The Falcons are very balanced on offense, which will confuse the Broncos' defense.
Bo Nix has been impressive in his rookie campaign, but now he faces the veteran in Cousins, and he should come up just short on Sunday.
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Kirk Cousins is playing some of his best football in his career. He has thrown for 2,643 yards, which is the third most in the NFL. In 2024, he has 17 touchdowns and eight interceptions.
Bo Nix has been impressive as a rookie, but the Broncos have some work to do to improve. Denver is doing a great job of spreading the ball around on offense, and the defense has been terrific.
We expect Atlanta to keep the Denver defense on its toes by mixing the run with the passing game. Look for Robinson to get most of the workload for this offense, which will open up London and Mooney down the field.
At times this season, the Falcons offense has looked unstoppable, and they will give the Broncos all they can handle in Week 11.
The Falcons have struggled against AFC teams recently, but the tides will turn, and they could win this game outright. They should take advantage of a rookie quarterback.
We are confident in taking the points with the Falcons in a game that they should win with their overpowering offense.
Bijan Robinson has been one of the best running backs in the NFL this season. He has 155 carries for 748 yards to go with six touchdowns.
Robinson is coming off a massive performance against the Saints, rushing for 116 yards and scoring twice.
Robinson is also a big factor in the passing game, which increases his chances of scoring touchdowns. He had 41 receptions in 2024, and this number will increase in this matchup.
We expect Robinson to be the priority in this week’s matchup against Denver, and we like him to score a touchdown at -140.
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For a good reason, Drake London is the number-one wide receiver in Atlanta. He has 58 receptions for 649 yards, along with six touchdowns.
By having Mooney lined up on the other side of the field for the Falcons, London will have more opportunities in the passing game. He will likely exploit this Denver secondary and have a massive performance.
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Although the Broncos like to spread the ball to many receivers, Sutton has been the primary target. He has 42 receptions with three touchdowns in 2024, and we think he will find the end zone against Atlanta.
Sutton has had at least six receptions in the last three games, and he and Nix are starting to build chemistry. He is coming off a great game one week ago against the Chiefs, in which he had 70 yards and a touchdown.
We expect Sutton to create separation this week against the Falcons' secondary. Sutton is +195 to score, which is an excellent price for the number one target in Denver.
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When: Sunday, November 17, 2024 @ 4:05 PM EST
Where: Empower Field at Mile High
Where to Watch: FOX
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Falcons Mike Hughes CB - Questionable
Falcons Troy Andersen LB - Questionable
Falcons Antonio Hamilton Sr. CB - Questionable
Broncos Brandon Jones S - Questionable
Zach Allen DE - Questionable
Best Sunday Night Football Week 11 Picks
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