The Jaguars allow more than 285 passing yards and two passing touchdowns per game.
Packers quarterback Jordan Love has thrown three touchdowns or more in three of five games this season.
The Packers allow one touchdown per game to opposing wide receivers and take on a fantastic Jaguars rookie, Brian Thomas Jr.
The Jacksonville Jaguars head home after spending some time in London and are now 2-5 after a win over the New England Patriots.
They host the Green Bay Packers, who are 5-2 after a win at home over the Houston Texans.
Find my predictions, pick, and best player props below.
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook. Create an account at FanDuel and make an initial wager of at least to claim $300 in bonus bets.
FanDuel Moneyline | FanDuel Point Spread | FanDuel Totals |
---|---|---|
Jaguars: +162 | Jaguars: +4.5 (-105) | Over 49.5: -115 |
Packers: -194 | Packers: -4.5 (-115) | Under 49.5: -105 |
The Jaguars finally showed up in Week 7 with their offense, scoring 32 points. Not to take anything away from the performance, but it came against the one-win Patriots. They allowed Patriots rookie quarterback Drake Maye to throw for 276 yards and two touchdowns.
The Packers offense looked solid at home against the Texans, with quarterback Jordan Love throwing three touchdowns.
The Jaguars pass defense is simply too bad to contain this Packers offense for long.
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While 4.5 points is a lot of points regardless of the game, as this is the NFL, I can’t help but feel like this is a short line.
The Jaguars were down 10-0 at one point against the Texans and didn’t take the lead until 3:32 left in the second quarter. From there, the Jaguars started scoring, including a punt return.
Remember, this is the Patriots, a team that allows nearly 123 rushing yards and more than one rushing touchdown per game. Their defense hasn’t been playing well.
Now, they’re at home, yes, but they’re taking on a Packers passing attack that has a plethora of weapons.
Love threw for three touchdowns last week, and in all of the five games he’s played this season, he’s had multiple touchdown passes.
He does tend to throw interceptions, but the Jaguars have only had one interception all season.
The Jaguars allow 285.14 passing yards and 2.29 passing touchdowns per game.
They’ve been decent against the run, allowing just 3.74 yards per carry, and have allowed five total rushing touchdowns and three receiving touchdowns to opposing running backs.
The Packers defense holds opposing quarterbacks to 225.29 passing yards, 1.43 passing touchdowns, and 1.29 interceptions per game.
The Jaguars have two key weapons: wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. and running back Tank Bigsby.
I don’t think the Jaguars get shut out here, but this defense is simply not a good unit, especially against a team with five receivers who have 14 receptions or more
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Kraft is at +185 to score a touchdown, which is a more than suitable matchup for that.
Not only are the Jaguars allowing two passing touchdowns and over 285 passing touchdowns per game, but opposing tight ends average close to five receptions for 54 yards per game. They’ve allowed four touchdowns to the position, including three over the last three weeks.
Kraft has 21 catches for 264 yards and four touchdowns this season. He’s caught all four of his touchdowns over the past four weeks, including a sensational diving touchdown against the Texans.
Kraft leads the team in receiving snaps and is third in receptions.
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In five games this season, Love has thrown for three touchdowns or more in three of them. In the other two, he threw two.
He had a single-game season low of 26 attempts in one of those games with two touchdowns.
The Jaguars have a solid run defense, so they might have to turn to the pass.
The Jaguars are last in the league in opponent red zone touchdown scoring percentage at 78.26%.
Love is a competent passer with ample weapons against a weak pass defense.
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The Jaguars have a sensational receiver in Thomas Jr.
He has four touchdowns this season, including three over the past four games.
Thomas Jr. scored in Week 7 against the Patriots, and this season, he’s had six targets or more in four games and eight targets or more in three games.
The Packers allow one touchdown per game to opposing wide receivers, allowing at least one in all but one game this season, which came in Week 7.
They also allow over 10 receptions for close to 131 yards per game.
Thomas Jr. is the top target in this offense. He’ll get opportunities, especially with the Jaguars leading.
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When: Sunday, Oct. 27 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida
Where to Watch: FOX
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Jaguars offensive tackle Cam Robinson is questionable with a head injury.
Jaguars running back Travis Etienne Jr. is questionable.
Jaguars linebacker Foyesade Oluokun is questionable with a foot injury.
Jaguars safety Andrew Wingard is questionable. He has a knee injury, and his 21-day practice window has been opened.
Packers defensive tackle Devonte Wyatt is questionable.
Packers linebacker Quay Walker is questionable with a concussion.
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