Best Jayden Daniels Player Props for Commanders vs. Giants in Week 1

• Jayden Daniels won the Offensive Rookie of the Year award last season

• The Washington Commanders acquired Deebo Samuel and re-signed Terry McLaurin

• The New York Giants defense ranked 30th in Def Pass DVOA and 26th in Success Rate

After winning the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award last season, Jayden Daniels has the opportunity to build on his momentum in week one against the New York Giants as he faces off against a defense who struggles in coverage. Especially after acquiring Deebo Samuel in the offseason, giving Daniels another reliable target to throw to.

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Best Jayden Daniels Player Props in Week 1

Jayden Daniels Over 30.5 Pass Attempts (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even when surrounded by an underwhelming cast of receivers, Jayden Daniels had no issue with picking apart opposing defenses as he led the Washington Commanders to top-10 marks in Pass DVOA, EPA, and in Success Rate. With Deebo Samuel now in the fold, Daniels gets the benefit of throwing into higher-quality passing lanes with Samuel and Terry McLaurin spacing out opposing secondaries.

In an NFC East divisional matchup against the New York Giants, Daniels will have a great opportunity to move the ball through the air at a high rate and clear the over on his pass attempts prop as he faces off against a defense who ranks 30th in Def Pass DVOA. Especially with the Giants' offense projected to struggle, potentially leading to an uptick in Daniels' number of possessions.

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Jayden Daniels Under 0.5 Interception (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Not only do the Giants rank near dead last in Def Pass DVOA, but their secondary also finished near the bottom of the board in Def Pass Success Rate. That means the Giants struggle to stop opposing offenses from cutting the distance to gain in half, putting Daniels in a position to limit the amount of Havoc in his throws by attacking the flats.

Speaking of Havoc, the Giants also struggled to create disruptions last season as their defense ranked well below league average in Turnover Differential and in Turnover EPA. Factor in Daniels possessing the ability to keep plays alive with his legs instead of being forced to throw into tight windows and he is in a great position to keep a clean sheet.

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Jayden Daniels Longest Rush Over 15.5 Yards (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

A major reason as to why the Giants struggle in coverage is due to their scheme as their defense crashes their linebackers down into the trenches at a heavy rate. At the end of the regular season, the Giants' defense ranked 12th overall in Blitz Rate and 15th in Pressure Rate.

While this may help the Giants in their efforts of stopping the run in the middle, it leaves them exposed outside the hash marks. Especially with their secondary spaced out in coverage while trying to defend their revamped group of pass catchers, giving Daniels more space to work with should he successfully scramble away from pressure.

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Jayden Daniels Anytime Touchdown (+175) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Not only is Daniels a threat to break one off in scrambling situations, but the Commanders also utilize him in the red zone with RPO’s. This helps punish opposing defenses who send pressure through the middle at a heavy rate as it gives Daniels a high-quality rushing lane for him to exploit.

This prop is also a reminder to always line shop for the best available odds, as Daniels to score a touchdown can be found as low as +125. That is a difference of $50 in profit for a $100 bettor.

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Jayden Daniels 2024 Stats

• Passing Yards: 3,568

• Passing Touchdowns: 25

• Completion Percentage: 69.0%

• Interceptions: 9

• Rushing Yards: 891

• Rushing Touchdowns: 6

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