NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year 2024: Caleb Williams Clear Preseason Favorite

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Updated July 16, 2024
10 min read
  • C.J. Stroud ran away with NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors in 2023.

  • Caleb Williams is the clear frontrunner to be the 2024 Offensive Rookie of the Year.

  • Three of the last five Offensive Rookie of the Year winners have been quarterbacks.

Most years, the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award is one of the most fascinating races to watch. While the players selected early in the draft are usually the preseason favorites, once the season kicks off, everyone is on level ground. In the NFL, anything can happen, especially with previously unproven rookies. Plus, this is not necessarily a quarterback-dominated award like NFL MVP. Plenty of wide receivers and running backs have also taken home Offensive Rookie of the Year honors in past years.

Coming out of the 2024 NFL Draft, first-overall pick Caleb Williams became the clear favorite to win Rookie of the Year this season. He will be Chicago’s starting quarterback and the former Heisman winner is set up for immediate success. However, reigning Heisman winner Jayden Daniels and the other quarterbacks selected in the first round will garner attention as well. There are also some top-flight wide receivers in this year’s rookie class who could make a strong case for the award.

Throughout the 2024 NFL season, we’re going to keep a running tab of what rookies have the best odds of winning Offensive Rookie of the Year and the best betting option. We expect this to change frequently, so keep checking back! Here is where things currently stand in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel to place your bets: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets. For more betting opportunities check out our curated list of the Best NFL Promo Codes.

PlayerPositionTeamOdds
Caleb WilliamsQuarterbackChicago Bears+140
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Jayden DanielsQuarterbackWashington Commanders+650
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Marvin Harrison Jr.Wide ReceiverArizona Cardinals+750
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Malik NabersWide ReceiverNew York Giants+1500
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Bo NixQuarterbackDenver Broncos+1700
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J.J. McCarthyQuarterbackMinnesota Vikings+1700
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Xavier WorthyWide ReceiverKansas City Chiefs+2000
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Drake MayeQuarterbackNew England Patriots+2000
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Keon ColemanWide ReceiverBuffalo Bills+2600
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Rome OdunzeWide ReceiverChicago Bears+3000
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Nfl Offensive Rookie Of The Year Predictions

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Predictions

Since all of these players are rookies, it’s anybody’s guess how they will perform or who will be the most impactful and consistent player throughout the 2024 season. Here is a breakdown of some of the current favorites and where they stand in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race.

Caleb Williams - Quarterback, Bears (+140) at FanDuel

Everyone is expecting big things from Williams right away. The Bears traded Justin Fields and drafted Williams first overall with the intention of making him their starter in 2024. In theory, Williams should have a far better supporting cast in Chicago than Fields ever did with D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen, and fellow rookie Rome Odunze at wide receiver and D’Andre Swift in the backfield. After starting 37 games in college and winning the Heisman in 2022, Williams figures to be ready to play right away while also possessing superstar potential. That’s why he’ll open the season as the favorite to be Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Bet on Caleb Williams (+140) at FanDuel 

Jayden Daniels - Quarterback, Commanders (+650) at FanDuel

As the reigning Heisman winner, Daniels is not to be overlooked as an Offensive Rookie of the Year candidate. Even with Marcus Mariota also on the roster, the Commanders will give Daniels every chance to be the Wee 1 starter. Washington’s supporting cast around Daniels isn’t quite as impressive as what Chicago has around Williams. But Daniels has more of a chance to turn heads with his running ability than Williams, which is a key difference between the two. With his athleticism, Daniels could potentially mimic the success that Anthony Richardson had early in his rookie season before getting hurt. If he stays healthy, Daniels could give Williams a run for his money.

Bet on Jayden Daniels (+650) at FanDuel 

Marvin Harrison Jr. - Wide Receiver, Cardinals (+750) at FanDuel

Pound for pound, Harrison was probably the most talented player in this year’s draft. There is also little doubt that he’ll be Arizona’s best wide receiver right away. But that could be part of what prevents him from winning Offensive Rookie of the Year. The Cardinals don’t have a lot of skill players who will intimidate opposing defenses. That means Harrison will be facing every team’s best corner - and possibly double teams - before he has a chance to prove himself as a threat in the NFL. On the bright side, Kyler Murray will be looking in his direction frequently. But if all of the attention Harrison receives hinders his productivity, his OROTY chances could take a hit.

Bet on Marvin Harrison Jr. (+750) at FanDuel 

Malik Nabers - Wide Receiver, Giants (+1500) at FanDuel

There are some who believe that Nabers should have been selected ahead of Harrison, which is no small praise. After more than 3,000 receiving yards and 21 touchdowns during his college career, there is a strong argument for Nabers being the best receiver in this class. After all, he’s the leading receiver in LSU history, which is saying something. However, going from Jayden Daniels to Daniel Jones at quarterback could be a problem for Nabers. There is only so much he can do to make himself Offensive Rookie of the Year without consistent quarterback play.

Bet on Marik Nabers (+1500) at FanDuel 

Bo Nix - Quarterback, Broncos (+1700)

Nix has gotten a lot of love from bettors during the early part of the summer, which is why his odds to be Offensive Rookie of the Year are much shorter now than they were right after the draft. Oddly enough, he faces greater obstacles than some of the other first-round quarterbacks with regard to just getting onto the field. Nix potentially faces a three-way quarterback competition during preseason. Obviously, he needs to win that competition before he can worry about Offensive Rookie of the Year. That being said, there have been a lot of positive things said about Nix heading into the preseason, so perhaps he’s a sleeper to watch.

Bet on Bo Nix (+1700) at FanDuel 

J.J. McCarthy - Quarterback, Vikings (+1700) at FanDuel

As a national champion in college last season, oddsmakers believe there is a chance that McCarthy could hit the ground running with the Vikings this year. The biggest question the former Michigan quarterback could be facing is the status of Justin Jefferson, who appears to be unhappy with the organization. But if the Vikings can make Jefferson happy, McCarthy will have arguably the best wide receiver in the league at his disposal. With Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson, and Aaron Jones also a part of his supporting cast, McCarthy is entering a good situation in Minnesota and could easily put up the type of numbers that could make him Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Bet on J.J. McCarthy (+1700) at FanDuel 

Who Will Win Offensive Rookie of the Year - My Pick

Caleb Williams (+140) at FanDuel

We don’t always like playing it safe, but Williams is the way to go with a preseason bet for OROTY. He has the talent, the opportunity, and the supporting cast to have a brilliant rookie season. The stars are all aligned for Williams and the Bears to have a great season. If he gets Chicago anywhere near the playoffs, Williams will be tough to beat. One could argue that McCarthy or one of the wide receivers is a better value pick. But Williams is so far ahead of the pack that we’re going to start off the season with a safe pick for Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Don’t forget to visit FanDuel to place your bet on Offensive Rookie of the Year. If you sign up for the first time, you’ll receive $200 in bonus bets if your first bet on the site is at least $5 and wins.

Bet on Caleb Williams (+140) at FanDuel 

Who Was the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2023?

Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud won Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2023. He had one of the best seasons ever by a rookie quarterback, even leading the NFL in passing yards per game. More importantly, he led the Texans to the AFC South title and a playoff victory.

Offensive Rookie of the Year History

The Offensive Rookie of the Year award only dates back to 1967. A panel of 50 Associated Press members vote to decide the winner.

Past Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners

Past Offensive Rookie of the Year WinnerYear
C.J. Stroud2023
Garrett Wilson2022
Ja’Marr Chase2021
Justin Herbert2020
Kyler Murray2019
Saquon Barkley2018
Alvin Kamara2017
Dak Prescott2016
Todd Gurley2015
Odell Beckham Jr.2014
Eddie Lacy2013
Robert Griffin III2012
Cam Newton2011
Sam Bradford2010
Percy Harvin2009

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on Offensive Rookie of the Year

Before you bet on Offensive Rookie of the Year, you have to be sure you’re using the best sportsbook. Keep in mind that each sportsbook has unique odds, features, and promos. Therefore, you need to do a little research to find the sportsbook that’s the best fit for you.

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How to Read Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Barring a heavy favorite, every candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year will be assigned plus (+) odds. This means that the profit will be greater than the wager if that player wins. For example, if you get $100 on a player with +250 odds, you will profit $250. Of course, if one player is the clear favorite late in the season, he may have negative (-) odds. For instance, if a player has -500 odds, you will need to wager $500 in order to make a $100 profit.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year FAQ

What is the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award?

Who Won Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2023?

How Is the Winner of the Award Decided?

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Bryan Zarpentine

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NCAAB
NFL
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Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Arts
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Experience:
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