The Cowboys lead the NFL in passing yards per game at 263.8
Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb hasn’t run for six yards in a game since 2022
Cowboys running back Javonte Williams has finished with 10 receiving yards or fewer in each of his last four games
To wrap up Week 9 of the 2025-26 NFL season, the Dallas Cowboys are hosting the Arizona Cardinals.
That said, these are two teams you won’t find anywhere near the top of the Super Bowl odds, and part of that, at least for the Cowboys, who rank 32nd in our NFL defense rankings. As for the Cardinals, they’ve lost five straight games and are now just 2-5 on the season.
Will they get back on track in this game, or will the 3-4-1 Cowboys snag a win at home?
Below, you’ll find a Same Game Parlay for this Monday Night Football clash, including the point spread and two props.
Below, I’ve created a Same Game Parlay for this Monday Night Football showdown with +475 odds.
Odds below are courtesy of Fanatics Sportsbook. Sign up for a Fanatics account today and get $100 in FanCash instantly after wagering your first $10 bet.
| Cowboys vs. Cardinals SGP Picks | Odds | Claim $100 in FanCash at Fanatics |
|---|---|---|
| Leg 1: Cowboys -2.5 | -115 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 2: CeeDee Lamb Under 5.5 Rushing Yards | -220 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 3: Javonte Williams Under 10.5 Receiving Yards | +110 | CLAIM HERE |
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Picking this game against the spread, I lean toward the home team, the Cowboys.
It’s pointing toward Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray returning to the lineup. If he does, I’m just not sure he’s a good enough passer to take advantage of how bad this Cowboys defense is.
The Cowboys play Cover-2 and Cover-3 more than anything else. In fact, these two coverages make up about 61% of what opposing quarterbacks see when they drop back.
Well, against those coverages this season, Murray has a high completion percentage, completing 46 of 65 passes (70.8%), but he’s only thrown for 431 yards, which is 6.6 yards per attempt, and no touchdowns, and no interceptions.
There’s not a lot of big-play ability from Murray, especially against these coverages.
As for the Cowboys offense, they average 30.8 points (second), 120.4 rushing yards (13th), and 263.8 passing yards (first) per game.
Between how great the Cowboys offense has been and Murray’s lackluster numbers against the coverages the Cowboys most often play, I’ll take the Cowboys -2.5.
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This is one of the prop bet lines that I’m genuinely confused about.
Over his career, which includes 86 games, Lamb hasn’t had six rushing yards in a game since Sept. 18, 2022, which was Week 2 of that season.
He’s finished with five rushing yards or less in 61 of 86 games.
As for this season, across five games, he’s had just one carry for two yards, which came in the 44-22 loss last week to the Denver Broncos.
This is a head-scratcher—bank on the under.
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For my final leg, I’m taking the under on Williams’s receiving yards at 10.5.
Over his last four games, Williams hasn’t surpassed eight receiving yards. One of those games included a 30-27 loss to the Carolina Panthers in which Williams had five catches, but only had five yards.
In the passing game, he’s drawn just an 11.6% team target share. Over the last three weeks, the target share is up to 14.1%, but his yards per route run is just 0.22 yards, and his yards after the catch per reception is a mere 2.4 yards.
Essentially, when he’s targeted, he barely moves from that spot.
We’ve seen Williams catch five passes before and finish with the same number of receiving yards.
Given the “+” odds and these underlying numbers, I’m not banking on it.
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