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NFL Over/Under: Win Totals 2019 - Odds and Predictions

Written by: Mike Lukas
Updated October 14, 2022
6 min read

Just because it’s the NFL offseason right now doesn’t mean there isn’t plenty of action to be had on the game of professional football.

With the NFL draft and free agency now clearly in the rearview mirror, most NFL rosters are pretty much set, and as a result, the possibilities for the 2019 season have become clearer.

That means oddsmakers have set their predictions for each franchise’s over/under win total, and here we go over the odds and predictions of all the teams and analyze each of their chances to win (or lose) big in 2019.

Here are the current top 10 odds and predictions listed for the Over/Under Win Totals for the NFL 2019:

If you live in New Jersey and want to bet on futures in the NFL, you can do so on 888Sport.

Check out the latest odds here.

Good luck!

AFC East

New England Patriots: 11.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 11-5-0, Super Bowl Champions

Arguments for the Over: The biggest two reasons to bet the over here have been the same two reasons to bet the over for this team ever since 2001, the year these two ‘reasons’ started winning games in New England together – general manager / head coach / defensive coordinator Bill Belichick and GOAT quarterback Tom Brady.

They have been able to win more that eleven games in twelve of their last eighteen seasons together, with eight of those 11+ win seasons happening in a row before 2018, so chances are the Patriots, who are tied for the 27th toughest schedule in 2019, will continue their dominance.

Arguments for the Under: Not only did the Patriots lose one of the best all time tight ends in pro football, Rob Gronkowski, to retirement, they have also lost their deep threat receiver Josh Gordon to suspension and there’s no telling if (or when) he will return to the roster.

Oh, and there is also the fact that Tom Brady is 41-years-old and can’t last forever, so it could be a good bet that 2019 is the season where the old GOAT finally breaks down.

Our Bet: Seriously, until Brady hangs up his dusty cleats AND Belichick hangs up his ripped-up hoodie, it is not a good idea to bet against the Patriots, because that is exactly the kind of thing that fires them up.

Miami Dolphins: 5.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 7-9-0, AFC East second place finishers

Arguments for the Over: Just when you thought the Dolphins were going to phone it in for 2019, they went out and got a former first round quarterback (10th overall), Josh Rosen, and backed him up with the eternal NFL journeyman Ryan Fitzpatrick.

They boosted their defense by signing cornerback Eric Rowe and drafting Clemson defensive tackle Christian Wilkins in the first round, so the Dolphins could actually be taking 2019 seriously after all.

Arguments for the Under: New quarterbacks, new head coach and new coordinators spell trouble for any NFL team, at least in the first season they come together.

Rosen was horrible in Arizona and they had a better offensive line than the Dolphins do, and FitzMagic has a tendency to fade away about halfway through the season, so don’t count on it being any different in southern Florida.

Our Bet: Take the under – this team was bad last season and with all that newness on board they could get worse, and it will take a Fitz-miracle for this franchise to win five or more games in 2019.

Buffalo Bills: 6.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 6-10-0, AFC East third place finishers

Arguments for the Over: Sure running back LeSean McCoy is slowing down, but general manager Brandon Beane signed Frank Gore to a one-year deal to give McCoy some rest now and again.

Plus Beane signed some new targets for his second-year quarterback Josh Allen to throw at – deep threat John Brown and slot receiver Cole Beasley, plus tight end Tyler Kroft, three excellent players who could greatly improve the Bills’ offense, ranked 30th last season.

Arguments for the Under: The Bills are working with an entirely new offensive line, run by a newly hired line coach, Bobby Johnson, so it might not go so well in 2019 for Allen, especially at first.

Beane drafted outstanding defensive tackle Ed Oliver in the first round to add to their solid defensive roster, but the Bills’ defense can’t stay out on the field as much as they did last season and continue to remain dominant.

Our Bet: Take the under here – for the Bills to win seven games or more with so many new moving parts would be highly unlikely.

New York Jets: 7.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 4-12-0, AFC East fourth place finishers

Arguments for the Over: Second-year quarterback Sam Darnold is extremely talented, and now he has the well-rested and soft-handed running back LeVeon Bell in his backfield.

Add to that the free agency signing of wide receiver Jamison Crowder and linebacker C.J. Mosely and this Jets team looks ready to turn themselves around.

Arguments for the Under: The Jets are going to suffer a lot of growing pains under new head coach Adam Gase, who didn’t fare too well in his last gig down in Miami, where over three seasons he posted a 23-25 regular season record and had one playoff appearance (a Wild Card loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers in 2016).

Darnold had fifteen interceptions in thirteen games last season, and having to adjust to new offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains may or may not improve that while on the other side of the ball, new defensive coordinator Gregg Williams doesn’t exactly come to town with an impressive resume himself.

Our Bet: Take the under here – the Jets winning eight games is a stretch, especially given how many random parts have to come together and gel for it start working in the Meadowlands.

AFC North

Baltimore Ravens: 8.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 10-6-0, AFC North First place, lost in the Wild Card Playoff Round

Arguments for the Over: The big news in Baltimore is the change in quarterbacks, from former Super Bowl MVP Joe Flacco to second-year running man Lamar Jackson, who took the team on a 6-1 tear to end the 2018 season.

Now that the Ravens have added running back Mark Ingram on the roster, he and Gus Edwards should have a terrific year as defenders cheat the outside corners to keep the speedy Jackson from escaping the pocket.

Arguments for the Under: Many football experts question how long a running quarterback like Lamar Jackson can be successful in the NFL, citing RGIII as a prime example, with the additional factor of Jackson’s questionable arm talent.

And don’t necessarily count on the Ravens defense to continue its dominance with the departure of three of its mid field superstars – linebackers C.J. Mosley, Terrell Suggs and Za’Darius Smith, all lost to free agency in the offseason.

Our Bet: Take the over – because though it is true teams will eventually figure out the answer to Lamar Jackson, in the meantime the Ravens will take advantage of his threat to run (and yes, pass) and chalk up enough wins to cover.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 9.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 9-6-1, AFC North second place

Arguments for the Over: The Steelers are going to be just fine in 2019 – they have two of the better AFC playmakers on their roster – wide receiver Juju Smith-Schuster and running back James Conner.

Add to that a happy Ben Roethlisberger, who just signed a two-year contract extension worth $68 million and now he’s the only drama king on the team so the 2x Super Bowl champ can get busy doing what he does, throw the ball a lot and win.

Arguments for the Under: Good lord, how do you recover from losing three of the best players in the league in just a couple of seasons – wide receiver Antonio Brown, running back Le’Veon Bell and linebacker Ryan Shazier have all moved on from Pittsburgh for various reasons.

And now you have Big Ben paid off and with nothing to prove? It might be tough for him to put in the work anymore now that his team of winners has been slowly drifting away, including tight end Jesse James.

Our Bet: Take the under – this Steelers team has yet to find its new greatness and it may take another season before they get on a roll again.

Cleveland Browns: 9.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 7-8-1, AFC North third place

Arguments for the Over: Just take a look at the Browns 2019 talent-filled roster that includes Baker Mayfield, who set the NFL rookie quarterback record for touchdowns last season with 27, receivers Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry, tight end David Njoku and running backs Nick Chubb and after Week 8 Kareem Hunt.

New head coach Freddie Kitchens worked some magic on the Browns’ offense in the second half of last season when he took over as coordinator, the team finishing 5-3, and Kitchens seems confident that he can continue that winning streak in Cleveland throughout 2019.

Arguments for the Under: Until the team that went winless in 2017 and won just one game in 2016 starts to chalk up some W’s, there is no reason to bet on their success.

With a new head coach and coordinators, this team will have to spend a season figuring out who they are despite some periodic flashes of brilliance from their obviously talented roster.

Our Bet: Take the over – this team is ready to win and hungry enough to do it in a division that is totally ready to be taken over.

Cincinnati Bengals: 5.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 6-10-0, AFC North fourth place

Arguments for the Over: Quarterback Andy Dalton is due, and if it is true that he and his main target A.J. Green are both healthy again, this Bengals offense can be extremely effective.

Especially when you add dual-threat running back Joe Mixon into the mix, who in 14 games last season had 280 touches for 1,464 yards from scrimmage and 9 touchdowns, and that was during an injury-riddled season in Cincinnati.

Arguments for the Under: The Bengals will be one of many NFL teams to be playing under a new head coach in 2019, and Zac Taylor is just 36-years old and untested.

Dalton’s total passing yards have been taking a total scary nosedive over the last three seasons (4,206, 3,320 and 2,566), and he will have to turn that around with a new head coach and a new offensive coordinator (Brian Callahan).

Our Bet: Take the under – this Bengals team is still seasons away from being any kind of a sure bet.

AFC South

Houston Texans: 8.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 11-5-0, AFC South first place, lost in the Wild Card Playoff Round

Arguments for the Over: Quarterback Deshaun Watson was sacked a league leading 62 times in the regular season so general manager Brian Gaine signed free agent tackle Matt Kalil and drafted tackle Tytus Howard in the first round, who can play at both tackle and guard.

With better protection, Watson and company are a better team, so this is an easy bet to take the over on, especially given a healthy DeAndre Hopkins, ranked the third best receiver last season.

Arguments for the Under: The Texans showed last season they can be streaky, starting the season off going 0-3, then going 9-0, then ending up the year going 2-2.

There is no way Gaine did enough fixing on the offensive line to make a big difference, and without protection, Watson will get shut down.

Our Bet: Take the over – nine wins for the Texans this season is entirely doable, and it is highly likely they will snag even a couple more than that.

Indianapolis Colts: 9.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 10-6-0, AFC South second place, lost in the AFC Divisional Round

Arguments for the Over: With a healthy Andrew Luck at quarterback, this Colts team looks like they are destined to get even further in the postseason than they did last year.

They have a lot of things going for them right now – a solid second-year head coach in Frank Reich, a franchise quarterback, a speedy deep threat in T.Y. Hilton, a powerful running back in Marlon Mack getting holes created by an incredible (and young) offensive line.

Arguments for the Under: As good as the Colts may be, they have to face a schedule tied for the seventh toughest so getting double digit wins is not a given.

Who knows, maybe last season was a fluke and the injury bug will strike again?

Our Bet: Definitely take the over on this one – these Colts are going somewhere, and most likely that’s further in the postseason than they went last year.

Tennessee Titans: 8.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 9-7-0, AFC South third place finishers

Arguments for the Over: Marcus Mariota is healthy, but if that changes, at least now the Titans have Ryan Tannehill as the backup to keep their momentum rolling.

This will be the fifth and final year on Mariota’s rookie contract, so it becomes a critical season for him, one that will determine whether the team will continue forward with him or begin to explore other options (like Tannehill) so expect him to step up big time.

Arguments for the Under: The Titans offense will be coordinated by the fifth man since Mariota was drafted in 2015, so expect there to be (yet another) disruptive learning curve.

The Titans didn’t get better with the latest draft since their first pick, defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons, is injured and won’t play until next year.

Our Bet: Take the over – with this year being so important to Mariota, he’ll do at least as well as last season and if he goes down, now there’s a veteran backup who can step in until he’s healthy again.

Jacksonville Jaguars: 8.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 5-11-0, AFC South fourth place finishers

Arguments for the Over: With quarterback Blake Bortles gone, the Jaguars can finally come into their own with new starter (and former Super Bowl MVP) Nick Foles under center.

The Jags now have quarterback whisperer John DeFilippo coordinating their offense and Foles will excel under his old mentor.

Arguments for the Under: Foles has never led a team for an entire regular season, so it’s not unkind to suspect that he may have trouble doing that.

There are a lot of new factors going on in Jacksonville this year, and with so much competition in the AFC South it’s doubtful that this jumbled Jaguars team will be in the mix.

Our Bet: Take the under until Foles proves he can be the fulltime man and the Jags prove they’re for real.

AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs: 10.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 12-4-0, AFC West first place, lost in the AFC Championship Round

Arguments for the Over: It’s Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes – tough to bet against this successful head coach / quarterback combination.

General manager Brett Veach greatly improved the Chiefs’ weak defense this offseason, signing safety Tyrann Mathieu, linebackers Reggie Ragland and Anthony Hitchens and cornerbacks Bashaud Breeland and Charvarius Ward.

Arguments for the Under: Looks like the Chiefs will be playing some (if not all) of their 2019 season without star receiver Tyreek Hill, and that’s a big factor for sure.

Mahomes is due for a slump – he’s too young and too new to not suffer a third-year drop in production.

Our Bet: Take the under – this Chiefs team has a lot of questions compared to last season and might not be able to measure up, especially with their main AFC South competitors, the Los Angeles Chargers, getting better and better.

Los Angeles Chargers: 9.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 12-4-0, AFC West second place, lost in the Divisional Playoff Round

Arguments for the Over: This is a safe bet, seeing as how the 2019 Chargers team is as good or better than they were last season.

Philip Rivers is hungry for a Super Bowl, it’s his sixteenth year in the NFL, and he’s got Keenan Allen and Mike Williams to throw to while Melvin Gordon crushes the run game.

Arguments for the Under: Rivers’ best seasons might be behind him now and this will become obvious in 2019.

The Colts and the Browns and the Jets are hungry in the AFC, so to get to the postseason, the Chargers might have to win their division, something tough to do with Reid’s talented Chiefs still lurking around.

Our Bet: Take the over – Rivers is about ready for his ring, and the time couldn’t be better for his surging Chargers.

Denver Broncos: 6.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 6-10-0, AFC West third place finishers

Arguments for the Over: This offseason was spent trying to improve the defense by hiring head coach Vic Fangio and the offense by signing quarterback Joe Flacco, and it could be exactly what the Denver Broncos needed.

And don’t forget – even if Flacco comes up short, the Broncos have the young and talented Drew Lock waiting in the wings now, ready to take over the offense.

Arguments for the Under: This team is a mess with too many changing factors – it is going to take at least a season to get both sides of the ball together in Denver.

What make anyone think that Flacco will do better in Denver than he did in Baltimore these last several seasons?

Our Bet: Take the over – seven wins is entirely possible for Flacco, that being a much lower bar than he had in Baltimore.

Oakland Raiders: 6.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 4-12-0, AFC West fourth place finishers

Arguments for the Over: Surely, any team with Antonio Brown catching balls on it can win at least seven games, especially with Derek Carr throwing to him.

This team underwent a tremendous upgrade this offseason, so expect coach Jon Gruden to make the most of it and improve greatly over the course of the season.

Arguments for the Under: The Raiders continue to be a hot mess and if they can match their four wins from last season, it will be a miracle.

If you think things are bad now, wait until you watch the Raiders on Hard Knocks this season – then you’ll get a much fuller picture of the drama that follows Gruden wherever he goes.

Our Bet: Take the under – knowing that at least with Brown on the team, their losses will now be a lot more fun to watch.

NFC East

Dallas Cowboys: 9.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 10-6-0, NFC East first place finishers, lost in the Divisional Playoff round.

Arguments for the Over: The 2018 Dallas Cowboys started slow but ended strong with a 7-1 run to finish their season, so look for that winning roll to continue in 2019.

Potential Hall of Fame tight end Jason Witten is back, plus Dak Prescott still has Amari Cooper to throw footballs to as well as the newly acquired Randall Cobb, and when you add in dual-threat running back Ezekiel Elliot and a seventh ranked defense, this is an easy bet to take.

Arguments for the Under: For the last five years, the Cowboys have followed up a playoff season with a postseason-free one, and assuming that consistent pattern continues, 2019 will be a less than stellar year in Dallas.

Chances are Witten will never be the player he once was, plus add to that the departure of slot receiver Cole Beasley and tight end Geoff Swaim and suddenly the Cowboys are back to a slow start again as they try to figure out how this updated offense actually works.

Our Bet: Take the over on this one, absolutely – double-digit wins for this Cowboys team is highly likely, as is another run to the playoffs.

Philadelphia Eagles: 10.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 9-7-0, NFC East second place finishers, lost in the Divisional Playoff round.

Arguments for the Over: Quarterback Carson Wentz is the real deal, and with the level of talent surrounding him on both sides of the ball, there is no way this 2019 Eagles team wins less than eleven games.

The only thing that has been limiting the Eagles lately is injuries, but that can’t go on forever.

Arguments for the Under: Wentz has been seriously injured in both of the last two seasons, so until he has a full, healthy year under his belt (like he did his rookie season back in 2016) it is safer to assume he is prone to the injury bug than to bet he’s not.

Philadelphia let their other magic man under center go – Super Bowl MVP backup Nick Foles is now starting in Jacksonville – so all their eggs are in the Wentz basket, and that has been a mighty fragile basket lately.

Our Bet: Take the over, this team is designed to win regardless of who the quarterback is.

Washington Redskins: 6.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 7-9-0, NFC East third place finishers

Arguments for the Over: If everybody stays healthy in Washington, this talented Redskins team could easily go 7-9 again or better regardless of whether it’s Dwayne Haskins, Case Keenum or (heaven forbid) journeyman Colt McCoy under center.

With new offensive coordinator Kevin O’Connell promoted from within, (he was the quarterbacks coach), the Redskins will finally move on from losing Sean McVay in that spot two seasons ago and get their offense settled in.

Arguments for the Under: When the choice of quarterback is between a rookie (Haskins), the guy who came up short last season (Keenum) and a guy whose best season as a starter was 4-9 (McCoy), maybe don’t take that bet.

This is a make or break year for head coach Jay Gruden for a reason – these Redskins have been terrible, and nothing they did in the offseason will fix that in 2019.

Our Bet: Take the over here – seven wins is absolutely doable and a pretty low bar to get over for these Redskins.

New York Giants: 5.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 5-11-0, NFC East fourth place finishers

Arguments for the Over: The Giants lost eight of their games last season by seven points or fewer, meaning this team was close to winning a lot, and with the offseason improvements made by general manager David Gettleman, they are in a position to win some of those close ones.

Contrary to popular belief, quarterback Eli Manning can still play, and when you combine that with his new receivers (Golden Tate, Cody Latimer) and the 2018 Offensive Rookie of the Year Saquon Barkley, then six wins seems entirely doable.

Arguments for the Under: The Giants have had one decent season (2016) since they won the Super Bowl eight years ago, so don’t count on them to suddenly get good just because they have one superstar on their roster.

The Giants couldn’t win six games last year WITH Odell Beckham Jr. on the team, so to expect them to suddenly do it without one of the best receivers in the league could be a big waste of betting money.

Our Bet: Take the under on this one – from the looks of things, Gettleman has no idea how to rebuild a team and until that gets figured out, these Giants are going to lose football games.

NFC North

Chicago Bears: 9.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 12-4-0, NFC North First place finishers, lost in the Wild Card Playoff Round

Arguments for the Over: After seven postseason-free seasons in Chicago, new head coach Matt Nagy comes along and turns things around with a playoff spot in his rookie season, and that’s only the beginning.

Quarterback Mitchell Trubisky is developing as planned, and with two new targets on the roster – receivers Allen Robinson and Taylor Gabriel – he will continue to improve and find wins.

Arguments for the Under: This team won in 2018 because their Khalil Mack-led defense was so solid, but the man in charge of making that happen, Vic Fangio, has moved on to greener pastures (or mountains?) in Denver, so who knows if his replacement, Chuck Pagano, can get the job done.

The Bears run game was ranked eleventh last season but they lost Jordan Howard to free agency, and his replacement, Mike Davis, could be a significant step down from him.

Our Bet: Take the over, but with a bit of caution – double digit wins for this Bears team seems likely, though their competition in the division has greatly improved so it might be close.

Minnesota Vikings: 9.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 8-7-1, NFC North second place

Arguments for the Over: Last season’s poor outcome was a fluke for the Vikings because their quarterback Kirk Cousins was new and their offensive line was broken but both of those factors have changed since then so look for this talented team to be back in the postseason hunt (most likely as a Wild Card, though).

Since December, there has been a new offensive coordinator in Minnesota, Kevin Stefanski, the former quarterbacks coach, so expect this offense that couldn’t beat the Bears at all last season to begin firing on all cylinders.

Arguments for the Under: With the Bears and the improved Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions in the division, it’s not going to be a cake walk in 2019 for the re-calibrating Vikings.

With the loss of defensive tackle Sheldon Richardson, left guard Nick Easton and running back Lativius Murray to free agency, this roster had too many holes to fill this offseason so there may still be some leakage.

Our Bet: Take the over on this one – these Vikings are good and they’ve fixed what ailed them, now it’s time to watch Cousins do what he’s paid very well to do, which is complete passes and win games.

Green Bay Packers: 9.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 6-9-1, NFC North third place

Arguments for the Over: It’s just a matter of future Hall of Fame quarterback Aaron Rodgers staying healthy and this Packers team can win double-digit games.

The defense has been upgraded with the Smith factor (Preston Smith and Za’Darius Smith) and free safety Adrian Amos, so it is time for this Green Bay group to win according to their talent.

Arguments for the Under: Rodgers is starting to get in that older phase of life (he’ll turn 36 by the end of next season) and as we’ve seen over his last two years, that’s when the injury bug keeps knocking until it completely take you out of contention.

This team will be run by its first new head coach in thirteen seasons, young Matt LaFleur, so expert there to be a big learning curve for everyone involved.

Our Bet: Take the under – there’s too many if’s involved here, and it might take a season to figure out how all these new pieces work together.

Detroit Lions: 6.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 6-10-0, NFC North fourth place

Arguments for the Over: Keep in mind that 2018 was head coach Matt Patricia’s first time ever at the helm, and now that he’s got his hand-picked offensive coordinator hired, Darrell Bevell, things should start to get exciting in Detroit.

Last season their defense was solid but their offense was lacking, so general manager Bob Quinn went out and signed receivers Marvin Jones and Danny Amendola and used his first round draft pick to select elite tight end T.J. Hockenson.

Arguments for the Under: The Lions are playing in a killer division, and last season they could only beat the Packers, and with a healthy Rodgers, even that won’t be as easy in 2019.

This team is a work in progress, and until all the parts come together, quarterback Matthew Stafford will continue to put up decent numbers without being able to find the wins when it’s close in the fourth quarter.

Our Bet: Take the under – this team is in way over its head in the NFC North right now.

NFC South

New Orleans Saints: 10.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 13-3-0, NFC South first place finishers, lost in the NFC Championship

Arguments for the Over: The Saints have been on a roll these days – for the last two seasons they could have made the over on this bet and it is highly likely with the balanced roster they have right now that the roll will keep moving right along.

Don’t forget, last season this team was one bad call away from being in the Super Bowl, and eleven plus wins in this division seems entirely possible given Drew Brees’ new targets acquired this offseason – receivers Ted Ginn and Austin Carr, tight end Jared Cook and running back Latavius Murray.

Arguments for the Under: This division is no longer a walk in the park for the Saints, with a healthy Atlanta Falcons team and a healed up Cam Newton for the Carolina Panthers in play, the NFC South could be trouble for New Orleans.

Brees looked tired at the end of last season, his ability to go long seemed almost absent, so this could be the year where his 40-year-old body (and throwing arm) finally gives out.

Our Bet: This one’s easy – take the over, definitely, because until Brees actually retires, it won’t pay to count him out for (at least) one more shot at the Lombardi.

Atlanta Falcons: 8.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 7-9-0, NFC South second place finishers

Arguments for the Over: The Falcons 7-9 record is deceiving because their roster is much more talented than that – they just couldn’t keep their starters from getting injured last season, but a healthy group could easily win 9 games or more.

Matt Ryan to Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu with an upgraded offensive line will be enough to turn the tide in Atlanta and cover the over.

Arguments for the Under: Not buying that the Falcons will do better this season despite having to adjust to having a new offensive coordinator, Dick Koetter, and having no defensive coordinator, with head coach Dan Quinn now further dividing his attention and taking over that role.

The Falcons might fly heavy on offense, even with a couple of rookies on the front line, but they were ranked 28th on defense and they have not done much in the offseason to fix that.

Our Bet: Take the over – this team is talented enough to win 9 times and hungry enough to chalk up even more.

Carolina Panthers: 7.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 7-9-0, NFC South third place finishers

Arguments for the Over: A healthy Cam Newton (he got his much-needed shoulder surgery, rehabbed it and now he can move forward) plus Christian McCaffrey spells victory.

Keep in mind that last season the team was adjusting to new coordinators on offense (Norv Turner) and defense (Eric Washington) so all the wrinkles have been ironed out and it’s finally go time in Carolina.

Arguments for the Under: Not sure if I want to risk my betting money on Cam Newton’s recently repaired shoulder, especially given the big man’s tendency to run with the ball.

These Panthers are going to have a tough time with two of the other three NFC South teams.

Our Bet: Take the over – a healthy Cam can take this team to Wild Card heaven.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6.5 Wins

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888Sport NJ -110 -110

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2018 Results: 5-11-0, NFC South fourth place finishers

Arguments for the Over: Sure it’s a whole new coaching staff, and thank goodness for that, especially considering it’s guru Bruce Arians at the reigns, and now things are looking brighter in Tampa.

Jameis Winston is actually very good – now he finally has a staff that will help him recapture his strengths on the field and with an upgraded defense, thanks to the draft, these Bucs could totally cover this over.

Arguments for the Under: The Buccaneers have been horrible, posting losing records in eight of the last ten seasons, so it’s highly unlikely that under entirely new management they will snap together quickly.

Arians has been out of the game and in the telecast booth for the last year, so that rust is going to take a little time to shake off, and by the time it does it may be too late in the season to make a difference.

Our Bet: Take the over on this one – Arians has a way of making everyone around him play at a higher level, and there’s no reason to think he can’t do that in the Bay.

NFC West

Los Angeles Rams: 10.5 Wins

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2018 Results: 13-3-0, NFC West first place finishers, lost in the Super Bowl

Arguments for the Over: When all a team has to do during the offseason is improve their depth like the Rams did, that’s a sign that that they are good to go.

This Los Angeles team is young under center with Jared Goff, at head coach with Sean McVay and at receiver with now healthy Cooper Kupp, Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods, so they will be an NFC force for many seasons to come.

Arguments for the Under: Tough to be a full service offense when one of the parts, running back Todd Gurley, is showing a lot of wear and tear.

This team got shut down in the Big Game because of the inability to adjust to that, proving that youth can be outcoached by experience in the end.

Our Bet: Take the over – these Rams are heading back to the Super Bowl or close and eleven wins is easily achievable for this group.

Seattle Seahawks: 8.5 Wins

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888Sport NJ -139 +115

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2018 Results: 10-6-0, NFC West second place finisher, lost in the Wild Card round

Arguments for the Over: Quarterback Russell Wilson is financially set for life and can now focus all his energy on getting his Seahawks back to the Super Bowl.

Wilson has been given a new target, receiver D.K. Metcalf, who could make a big difference in how offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer runs his offense, the rookie’s impressive speed, size and soft hands showing huge potential.

Arguments for the Under: General manager John Schneider expects fans to believe that the holes left by departing All-Pro safety Earl Thomas (now with the Baltimore Ravens) along with cornerback Justin Coleman (now signed with the Detroit Lions) can be filled with young, inexpensive talent and that’s not always true.

The NFC West isn’t going to be as easy with an improved team in Arizona and a healthy one in San Francisco, so the Seahawks might take an even bigger hit than last year when they went just 3-3 in their division.

Our Bet: Take the over here – head coach Pete Carroll is capable of 9 wins and the roster he’s in charge of in 2019 seems like they could win ten again.

San Francisco 49ers: 7.5 Wins

Sportsbook Over Under Link
888Sport NJ -152 +125

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2018 Results: 4-12-0, NFC West third place finishers

Arguments for the Over: With a healthy Jimmy Garoppolo under center and a defense improved by the addition of two talented defensive ends (Dee Ford and rookie Nick Bosa), eight wins seems like a given in San Francisco.

Head coach Kyle Shanahan is ready to take these 49ers to a winning season, his 16th ranked offense improved by signing wide receiver free agent Jordan Matthews and his 13th ranked defense improved by selecting two receivers in the draft, Deebo Samuel out of South Carolina and Jalen Hurd from Baylor.

Arguments for the Under: The 49ers have been mediocre or bad for the last eight seasons due to injury and / or mismanagement, so until they post a winning record again there is no reason to bet it is going to happen now.

Garoppolo has yet to play for a full season, so until that happens, it’s a little difficult to put money down on him (or his team) based solely on his obvious potential.

Our Bet: Reluctantly take the under here – the entire football world wants these San Francisco 49ers to be good again, but save your money until they prove that they indeed are.

Arizona Cardinals: 5.0 Wins

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2018 Results: 3-13-0, NFC West fourth place finishers

Arguments for the Over: This is the new Arizona Cardinals take two, but with an even better first round quarterback pick in Kyler Murray who was hand-picked by new head coach Kliff Kingsbury.

Now the Cardinals’ 20th ranked defense is coordinated by Vance Joseph, who’s done the same job in Miami, and newly signed cornerback Robert Alford and outside linebackers Terrell Suggs and Jordan Hicks should make a huge difference on that side of the ball.

Arguments for the Under: Fool me twice, shame on me – not going to believe that a new head coach and a rookie quarterback can win six games in the NFL first time around, especially given they couldn’t do it in Arizona last year.

There’s a reason the odds makers have predicted the Cardinals will once again finish fourth in the NFC West (+2000), and there’s no sense taking a chance betting that they’re wrong.

Our Bet: Take the under – this Cardinals team is at least another season away from being competitive.

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AUTHOR

Mike Lukas

1204 Articles

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]

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