Best Steelers vs. Colts Player Props: The Battle of the Running Backs

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published December 16, 2023
4 min read

Week 15 of the NFL season is bringing us our first Saturday football games, and one of those games, the middle of three games, features the Indianapolis Colts and Pittsburgh Steelers. 

Both teams are 7-6, with the winner further trying to cement their spot with a Wild Card playoff spot.

That said, below are the three best player props for this matchup.

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Steelers vs Colts Prop Bets

Steelers vs. Colts Prop Bets

Pick: Mitch Trubisky Over 0.5 INTs (-135) at DraftKings

In Week 15, Trubisky will be getting his second start of the season after dropping Week 14 to the New England Patriots at home. Here, he’ll take on a Colts defense that averages one interception per game and has seven over their last five games. 

Trubisky threw an interception against the Patriots and had two turnover-worthy plays, according to Pro Football Focus. While other throws may not have been deemed turnover-worthy, he had plenty of errant throws, leading to a 62.9% completion rate. 

Trubisky, who’s attempted 84 passes this season, including the Week 14 start and some relief, has three interceptions already. 

Averaging one interception per game, the Colts defense should have a field day with a quarterback of Trubisky’s level. 

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Pick: Zack Moss Over 73.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at DraftKings

Heading into Week 15, Colts running back Jonathan Taylor has been ruled out with a thumb injury yet again, leaving the door wide open for Moss. 

Moss’ yardage totals have been less-than-stellar the past few weeks, going for 55, 50, and 28 in Weeks 12, 13, and 14, respectively. 

This week, though, he’ll get a Steelers defense that allows almost 100 yards per game and 4.15 yards per carry. 

Also, the Steelers offense is far from a potent one under Trubisky, scoring just 18 against the Patriots. The Colts are favored here, albeit by a slim margin, but this could also further indicate we’ll see more of the running game, which will help quarterback Gardner Minshew and prevent some errant throws from him against a Steelers defense that also averages an interception per game. 

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Pick: Najee Harris Any Time TD (+105) at Caesars 

While Jaylen Warren was announced as the team’s starting running back a few weeks back, that doesn’t seem to really be the case when you look at the carries for him and Najee Harris. 

Let’s look at the past few weeks: 

  • Week 14: Harris (12); Warren (7)

  • Week 13: Harris (16); Warren (9)

  • Week 12: Harris (15); Warren (13)

Harris has been getting the majority of the work on the ground, which bodes well for him as the Colts allow 106.23 rushing yards per game on 26 carries and 1.08 touchdowns to opposing running backs.

The Colts have allowed three touchdowns to running backs over the past two weeks, which include Derrick Henry and Joe Mixon.

Look for Harris to get enough work here—double-digit carries—to find the end zone and take some pressure off Trubisky. 

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How to Watch Steelers vs. Colts

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts

  • Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 16, 4:30 p.m. ET

  • How to Watch: NFLN

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Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
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