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The season is winding down, with few weeks left to hit a big regular-season parlay. Here are five legs worth parlaying in Week 15.
|Payout (Increasing with each leg, top to bottom)
|PIT @ IND: Zack Moss anytime TD
|$10 to win $16.66
|DEN @ DET: Sam LaPorta o47.5 receiving yards
|$10 to win $31.15
|LAR @ WAS: Rams -6.5
|$10 to win $58.98
|SF @ ARI: ALT 49ers -9.5
|$10 to win $91.38
|PHI @ SEA: ALT Eagles -2.5
|$10 to win $147.79
The Steelers could be without T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith this week. That certainly won’t help them stop the run against a Colts team that scores the sixth-most rushing touchdowns in the NFL.
That shapes up for Moss to find his way into the end zone this week. While he disappointed many in Week 14, expect regression to bounce back for Moss. He hasn’t scored in his last five games despite receiving 48 rushing attempts in that span, facing difficult matchups in Tampa Bay and Tennessee.
He should get a healthy workload in his easiest matchup as a starter yet, making him a good bet to find a touchdown in a favorable matchup against a Pittsburgh team that made Ezekiel Elliott look reborn in Week 14.
LaPorta has only hit this over six times this year, which may cause you to wonder why we are taking the over here. However, all matchups aren’t made equal. Denver allows 69.3 receiving yards per game to tight ends, the most in the league. LaPorta also finished with 47 yards in two games, narrowly missing the over.
With the Lions dropping games in recent weeks this is an important one for Jared Goff at home. Expect him to hyper-target his star rookie tight end across the middle of the field while Amon-Ra St. Brown battles it out with Patrick Surtain.
This is the point in the year where teams will genuinely want a win more than others. The Rams sit as the No. 8 team in the NFC, just one spot out of a playoff appearance. With the San Francisco 49ers all but locking up the division, the Rams need to win a Wild Card spot.
That means teams like Washington need to be beaten, at least from Matthew Stafford’s perspective. Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp are expected to be healthy, and that should be more than enough against the NFL’s 32nd-ranked passing defense in the Commanders.
Washington has lost by seven or more in all but two games since Week 5, including its last three games.
There are tiers within the NFC West, and the 49ers sit atop while the Cardinals sit below. These teams are simply on different levels, and with San Francisco clicking on all cylinders there is no team hotter than the Brock Purdy-led 49ers.
Ok, maybe the Cowboys. But the 49ers are right there, defeating five consecutive teams by 10 points or more. There is no reason to expect the Cardinals to buck that trend against a San Francisco team that holds the same record as the Eagles and Cowboys at 10-3. To secure the No. 1 seed, the 49ers need to win games like this.
Expect the talent gap to show early and often.
It’s been a tough two weeks for the Eagles, who have been blown out by both the 49ers and the Cowboys in back-to-back games. It’s a far cry from the Philadelphia team that won three consecutive games against Dallas, Kansas City, and Buffalo in the weeks prior.
So here’s a get-right situation at a small point difference after buying points. Seattle has lost five of its last six games, with the lone win coming in a three-point victory over the Commanders. The entire team feels like it is playing at far less than 100%, with Geno Smith missing Week 14 and the entire running back room taking turns with its injuries.
Expect the Eagles to get back on track in a must-win game for both teams. The healthier and more talented team comes out on top, and that’s Philadelphia.
Michael Sicoli has been writing about fantasy football and betting within the NFL space since 2020. He works as a writer and content creator with ClubFantasyFFL and runs an NFL defensive (IDP) newsletter with The IDP Guys. A graduate from Quinnipiac University, Michael is a long-time NFL fan with a love for soccer and the NBA.More info on Michael Sicoli
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