Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry has scored in every game this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver George Pickens is averaging 92 yards per game since Russell Wilson took over at quarterback.
The Steelers allow five catches for 40 yards to opposing tight ends while Ravens tight end Mark Andrews has scored five times over the last five games.
The 7-2 Pittsburgh Steelers play host to the 7-3 Baltimore Ravens this Sunday in a battle for the AFC North.
Below are the odds for this game, my best bet, predictions, and best player props.
Look below for the moneyline, point spread, and total odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets at FanDuel and receive $150 in bonus bets after placing a winning $5 wager.
Team | Moneyline | Points Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh Steelers | +144 | +3 (-118) | Over 47.5 (-104) |
Baltimore Ravens | -172 | -3 (-104) | Under 47.5 (-118) |
The Steelers' pass defense has been solid over the past two weeks, but their issue is the run defense.
The Steelers have allowed six rushing touchdowns to running backs over the last four games, and here, they have to take on the league’s leading rusher and rushing touchdown leader, Derrick Henry.
The Ravens get the win and cover on the road.
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When examining these teams, you must recognize how bad the Ravens' pass defense has been. They allow 314.4 passing yards and 2.10 passing touchdowns per game to quarterbacks.
This certainly doesn’t bode well for the Ravens, but where they excel is against the run.
They’re allowing opponents a league-low 73 rushing yards per game. They’ll slow down the Steelers run game, led by Najee Harris, who’s run for 102 yards or more in three of the last four games and has scored in three of the last four games.
The Steelers could certainly take advantage of the Ravens' pass defense. However, quarterback Russell Wilson is completing just 58.8% of his passes.
The issue for the Steelers is that they really only have one notable receiver, George Pickens. Sure, Mike Williams scored nine snaps into his Steelers career, but I’d hardly consider him a threat.
Turning things over to the Steelers, they’ve been holding opposing running backs down yardage-wise lately, but they’re scoring plenty.
They allowed three rushing scores to the Washington Commanders in Week 10 and have allowed six touchdowns over the last four games.
They’ll also need to slow down quarterback Lamar Jackson, who’s atop the odds of being an NFL MVP.
I don’t think the Steelers have the weapons to take advantage of this porous Ravens pass defense, and I’m not sure they can stop Jackson and Henry enough.
I’d expect a lower-scoring game here.
The Ravens win 24-20.
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Kicking things off with an easy one here.
No, the odds aren’t great at -185, but hey, the goal of betting is to win, and Henry consistently delivers.
There’s certainly some cause for concern as the Steelers hold opposing running backs to just 78.78 rushing yards per game and 3.87 yards per carry, but we cannot ignore that they’ve let up six touchdowns to the position over the last four games.
On top of that, Henry has scored in every game this season and now has 12 rushing and two receiving touchdowns.
He’s had 18 carries or more in five games this season, averaging 6.1 yards per carry.
He’ll score.
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While I think the Steelers won’t have quite the passing attack against the Ravens as other teams have had due to a lack of options, the one major option they do have is wide receiver George Pickens.
Pickens has scored twice over the last three games.
Since Wilson took over earlier this season against the New York Jets, he’s averaging seven targets, around 4.5 catches, and 92 receiving yards per game.
I expect him to be covered plenty by Ravens cornerback Brandon Stephens, who’s already made 40 catches on 60 targets for 555 yards (13.9 yards per catch) and three touchdowns.
Sure, maybe fellow Ravens cornerback Marlon Humphrey will cover him. Still, he’s allowed 31 catches on 51 targets for 309 yards and three scores.
This Ravens pass defense has gotten gashed all season. They added Tre’Davious White before the trade deadline, but he has yet to suit up for them.
Even if he does, he allowed nine catches with the Los Angeles Rams, four of which resulted in touchdowns.
Pickens will get a lot of volume here and score.
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Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews has been on a roll lately. He’s scored five times over the last five games, including at least one touchdown in four of those five.
In that span, he’s seen 22 targets and has caught 20 passes.
Last week, he caught six of seven targets for 68 yards and a touchdown.
Looking at the Steelers' history against tight ends this season, they’re allowing five receptions for 40 yards per game to the position.
They’ve allowed just three touchdowns, but there haven’t been many tight ends with Andrews's resume or pedigree. Over the last two weeks, they’ve faced Washington Commanders tight end Zach Ertz and New York Giants tight end Theo Johnson.
Ertz is aging, and Johnson is a rookie.
In Week 7, they allowed a touchdown to New York Jets tight end Tyler Conklin.
This is to say that Andrews gets a good amount of targets and action in this offense, and I think the Steelers' propensity to allow production to the position will allow Andrews to score a touchdown.
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When: Sunday, Nov. 17 at 1 PM ET
Where: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch: CBS
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Steelers linebacker Alex Highsmith is out with an ankle injury.
Steelers running back Najee Harris is questionable.
Steelers linebacker Nick Herbig is questionable.
Steelers cornerback Donte Jackson is questionable.
Ravens tight end Isaiah Likely is questionable with a hamstring injury.
Ravens defensive end Brent Urban is questionable.
Ravens Jalyn Armour-Davis is questionable.
Ravens running back Rasheen Ali is questionable.
Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton is questionable with an ankle injury.
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