The AFC East is one of the most competitive divisions in the NFL. All four teams are over .500, and to kick off Week 13, we have the New England Patriots hosting the Buffalo Bills.
The Patriots are 6-5, and the Bills are 8-3.
Here, we’ll build a Same Game Parlay for what should be a fantastic Thursday Night Football showdown, using DraftKings Sportsbook.
The odds for this are +700. You can create an account at DraftKings Sportsbook today and receive a $1000 deposit bonus by clicking the exclusive link and signing up.
Now, let’s dive into this Same Game Parlay.
In this one, the key for the Patriots will be running with success and keeping the Bills off the field.
While they’ll have some success on the ground with edge rusher Von Miller sitting this one out, the Bills should score relatively easily here.
The Patriots have some great pass rushers—hey, they have Matthew Judon, who had 50 total pressures and 14 sacks.
However, the Bills run the ball with Devin Singletary, James Cook, and, yes, quarterback Josh Allen.
Allen’s escapability will help against the talented pass-rushing unit, and his ability to scramble will help his talented receiving group get open downfield.
The Bills have some beatable cornerbacks, but the Patriots receivers, coupled with Jones’ passing ability, may not be enough to take full advantage of this.
Look for the Bills to cover on the road in a hotly-contest matchup.
This season hasn’t quite been the coming out party we were hoping for with Davis, but he’s been more involved the past few weeks.
Thus far, Davis has 33 receptions, and 15 of those have come over the past three weeks.
The Bills top receiver, Stefon Diggs, will likely be the primary player that the Patriots and head coach Bill Belichick look to slow down. This should open up some opportunities for Davis against Jalen Mills.
According to Pro Football Focus, Mills ranks 88 out of 89 cornerbacks with at least 225 coverage snaps in coverage grade. He’s allowed 333 yards on 27 receptions.
Stevenson has been the primary running back for the Patriots, and while he hasn’t been great yardage-wise the past few weeks, this game profiles as a spot where Stevenson should right the ship.
In Week 12, Stevenson had just seven carries but had 36 yards. However, the week before, Stevenson had 26 yards on 15 carries, marking his worst game of the season.
However, Stevenson has had 15 carries or more in all but two games since Week 5.
The Bills allow just 105.6 rushing yards per game, but the Patriots will put an emphasis on running the ball to win the time of possession battle.
The Bills have talented players along the defensive line, but most are better at rushing the passer than stopping the run.
Taking this alternative line of 54.5 is far safer for Stevenson. Expect him to meet this line and perhaps more based on volume alone.
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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