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Expert Wednesday MLB Betting Picks and Insights - Ride the Line Ep. #38

Written by: Grant Mitchell
Published August 2, 2023
5 min read

A new episode of Ride the Line with Tanner Kern and Grant Mitchell is now live on all WSN platforms!

Wednesday MLB Betting Picks

Tanner kicks off the hump-day episode by taking the NRFI (no-run first inning) in the New York Yankees-Tampa Bay Rays matchup. AL Cy Young candidates Gerrit Cole and Shane McLanahan will take the mound to kick off the evening, while the teams themselves have been struggling mightily at the plate.

The Rays and Yankees rank 25th and 28th in post-All-Star break scoring respectively. The Yankees have also been a total mess as of late, whether it be scratching Domingo German for injury concerns only to bring him in for relief duty, or holding Aaron Judge out of the designated hitter spot because of his injury but making him available to pinch-hit.

Grant’s first pick is the under of 12 runs in the San Diego Padres-Colorado Rockies showdown. Even though this game is at altitude at Coors Field, where more runs are scored than other ballparks, the line is simply too high.

Joe Musgrove has a 1.45 ERA in July and will lead the Padres’ effort from the front against Kyle Freeland, who has given up four, one, and three earned runs in his last three starts. The Padres are also averaging 4.3 runs per game over their last nine outings while the Rockies are right around the same neighborhood, which means that both the offensive and pitching numbers suggest this game will go under.

Tanner’s second pick is the Texas Rangers’ moneyline against the Chicago White Sox. Dane Dunning, despite struggling the past few weeks, will look to continue his impressive season against Dylan Cease, who is having a real down year for someone of his talent. They won and covered in game one and are in control of the American League West but need to keep winning games to hold off the Houston Astros.

The White Sox, on the other hand, had everyone but Luis Robert Jr. available leading up to the trade deadline and have scored the fifth-fewest runs since the All-Star break. Tanner loves the moneyline pricing and will be hammering that line today.

More MLB Wednesday Best Bets

Grant’s second pick is the Philadelphia Phillies’ moneyline against the Miami Marlins. Zack Wheeler has given up three or fewer earned runs in four straight starts for the Phillies, while Braxton Garrett has given up three or more in four of his last five en route to a 5.92 ERA last month. The Marlins are also the lowest-scoring team (3.3 runs per game) since the ASG.

Tanner credited the Phillies and called them a “really good team” following wins in each of the first two games of the series. The Marlins have now dropped 12 of their last 16 outings and have dropped 1.5 games out of the NL Wild Card race.

Tanner’s final pick is the Boston Red Sox’s moneyline against the Seattle Mariners. He thinks Kutter Crawford can go toe-to-toe with Logan Gilbert and is optimistic for the Sox after they stopped a three-game skid and got a 6-4 win Tuesday. He also noted that the Red Sox are the more potent offensive club and have an elite bullpen to match that of the Mariners.

Grant didn’t offer a lean here but did show support for the Sox as the better team. He also said that he wants the Sox to earn a Wild Card spot in the AL because they will be competitive and entertaining

The final pick of the show comes courtesy of Grant, and it’s over nine runs in the Los Angeles Dodgers-Oakland Athletics game. Tony Gonsolin has been regressing and has an ERA of just 6.39 in July, which includes four of his last five games ending with at least four earned runs allowed. He’ll take on Hogan Harris, who had an 8.00 ERA in July.

Both the Dodgers and Athletics are bottom-10 in bullpen ERA, which should give both teams the opportunity to score plenty of runs. The Dodgers are also scoring the third-most runs per game since the ASG and just hung seven on the A’s Tuesday, which means that Oakland would only need to score two to at least get a push. That is more than manageable and leads to the over.

Check back at WSN.com and all related streaming platforms throughout the week for more MLB betting picks and sports betting content!

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AUTHOR

Grant Mitchell

472 Articles

Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field.

In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.

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