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When: Tuesday, November 12th at 9:00 AM EST.
Where: The O2 Arena in London, England
Head to Head Record: Federer leads 1-0
Most Recent Match: 2019 Wimbledon Round of 16, Federer 3-0 6-1 6-2 6-2
Both players lost their respective first round matches.
Federer lost to fifth seed Dominic Thiem, while Berrettini lost to Novak Djokovic.
With the tournament format pitching the losers from day 1, this match raises the stakes for both players.
Federer has made it out of round-robin in all but one of his ATP Finals appearances.
Berrettini, meanwhile, will try to extend his stay.
While a loss does not necessarily mean an automatic elimination, it does make their life significantly more difficult.
Given that both players failed to win a single set in the opening match, their situation will get tricky if it comes down to a tie-breaker.
Federer 2019 Record: 51-9, 4 titles
Federer never looked to be in control against Thiem.
While the Swiss legend did put up a fight, it looked like the match was Thiem’s to lose.
In the end, Federer fell one break behind on three occasions, but only managed to break his opponent once.
The five-time ATP Finals champion needs to take control of the match early on, as Berrettini also plays an aggressive brand of tennis.
Berrettini 2019 Record: 42-22, 2 titles
Berrettini was making his ATP Finals debut, and it clearly showed in the first match.
The rising star looked visibly nervous, making too many unforced errors.
Going up against Djokovic, this naturally put the game away from the Italian youngster rather quickly.
Berrettini did make some good plays, but overall didn’t put up much of a fight.
He now has a 2-9 record against his ATP Finals rivals, which doesn’t make his prospects any better.
If Berrettini wants to have a shot at defeating Federer, he needs to cut down on the mistakes first and foremost.
Even then, it’s still going to be an uphill battle for the Italian.
Federer and Berrettini have only met once, which happened earlier this year at Wimbledon.
The Swiss scored an easy win over the Italian in just over one hour.
Federer only dropped five games, converted six of his seven break points and only needed to save one.
While they will be meeting on a different surface this time around, it’s hard to imagine another result.
Berrettini’s lack of experience at this level of competition was clear against Djokovic.
There is little reason to believe it’s going to be any different against Federer.
If the Swiss manages to take control early on, this one could be another quick match.
Match prediction: Federer 2-0, Under 22.5 games.
The latest odds for the Federer vs Berrettini match are provided by bet365 NJ, Caesars NJ, and DraftKings Sportsbook.
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