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UFC 292 Sterling vs O’Malley Odds: The Titles Are on the Line

Written by: Ryan Bristlon
Published August 18, 2023
11 min read
  • The men’s bantamweight and women’s strawweight titles are on the line
  • Ian Garry gets last-minute opponent switch in Neil Magny
  • Cody Garbrandt removed from UFC 292 card due to injury

UFC 292: Sterling vs O’Malley

The odds for this match are provided by the DraftKings sportsbook. Click the link to place your bets.

Fighter

Odds

(C) Aljamain Sterling

-258
BET HERE

Sean O’Malley

+210
BET HERE

Fighter

Odds

(C) Zhang Weili

-310
BET HERE

Amanda Lemos

+250
BET HERE

Fighter

Odds

Ian Machado Garry

-520
BET HERE

Neil Magny

+390
BET HERE

Fighter

Odds

Da’Mon Blackshear

+180
BET HERE

Mario Bautista

-218
BET HERE

Fighter

Odds

Marlon Vera

-198
BET HERE

Pedro Munhoz

+164
BET HERE

UFC 292: Sterling vs O’Malley - Picks & Predictions

(C) Aljamain Sterling vs Sean O’Malley - Bantamweight championship

Our pick: Aljamain Sterling (-258)

(C) Zhang Weili vs Amanda Lemos - Strawweight championship

Our pick: Zhang Weili (-310)

Ian Machado Garry vs Neil Magny - Welterweight division

Our pick: Ian Garry (-520)

Da’Mon Blackshear vs Mario Bautista - Bantamweight division

Our pick: Mario Bautista (-218)

Marlon Vera vs Pedro Munhoz - Bantamweight division

Our pick: Marlon Vera (-198)

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UFC 292 Sterling vs O’Malley Predictions

Aljamain Sterling vs Sean O’Malley - Bantamweight Championship

Aljamain Sterling

TALE OF THE TAPE

Sean O’Malley

34

Age

28

5 ft 7 in

Height

5 ft 11 in

71 in

Reach

72 in

23-3

Record

16-1, 1 no-contest

Aljamain Sterling has certainly silenced the haters in recent years since winning his bantamweight title from Petr Yan via controversial DQ fashion in 2021.

Sterling has since rematched with (and defeated) Petr Yan in his first title defense and has gone on to defend his title twice more against former champions T.J. Dillashaw and Henry Cejudo (who came out of retirement for the bout against Sterling).

Sterling’s most recent win over Cejudo came via split decision in the main event of UFC 288 this past May. On Saturday he looks for his fourth-straight title defense and has suggested that, win or lose, he will remove himself from the bantamweight division and move up in weight to the 145-pound featherweight division.

His opponent this Saturday, number-two ranked bantamweight Sean O’Malley, has only one loss on his professional record and has since won four in a row (with one no-contest). He most recently defeated former champion Petr Yan via split decision at UFC 280 last October. This will be O’Malley’s first fight of 2023.

O’Malley will have both the height and reach advantages over Sterling, but the champion’s experience as well as his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt under coach Matt Serra should be more than enough to get the job done.

The champion is listed as a -258 favorite over O’Malley.

To find out how to place your bets for this bantamweight championship main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

Zhang Weili vs Amanda Lemos - Strawweight Championship

Zhang Weili

TALE OF THE TAPE

Amanda Lemos

34

Age

36

5 ft 4 in

Height

5 ft 4 in

63 in

Reach

65 in

23-3

Record

13-2-1

This Saturday night will mark Zhang Weili’s first strawweight title defense since regaining the title from Carla Esparza last November at UFC 281.

Weili won the title for the first time back in 2019 and defended it once before losing it to Rose Namajunas and losing their subsequent rematch.

Weili has since gone on to KO former champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk and win the title back via a second-round submission of Carla Esparza.

She looks to defend her title against the fifth-ranked strawweight Amanda Lemos - a strawweight fighter whose knockout power could actually match that of the champion’s.

Lemos has won her last two in a row, which include a submission win over Michelle Waterson and, most recently, a TKO win over Marina Rodriguez. Lemos is 7-2 since signing with the UFC and has finished all but two of her UFC wins.

Both women will stand at equal height but Lemos will have a two-inch reach advantage over the champion. However, it is no surprise that the more experienced two-time champion Zhang Weili is the favorite in this co-main event at -310.

Ian Garry vs Neil Magny - Welterweight Division

Ian Garry

TALE OF THE TAPE

Neil Magny

25

Age

36

6 ft 3 in

Height

6 ft 3 in

74.5 in

Reach

80 in

12-0

Record

28-10

The first of two main card fights that saw last-minute opponent changes, Ian Garry, who was originally scheduled to take on Geoff Neal, will now face off against welterweight mainstay Neil Magny.

Garry, who made waves in the media this past week by claiming to be the biggest star on the UFC 292 card, won his last bout against Daniel Rodriguez by first-round TKO and remains undefeated at 12-0; with five of those wins taking place within the UFC octagon.

A member of the UFC roster since 2013, Neil Magny brings a plethora of experience into this fight against Garry and recently bounced back from his submission loss to Gilbert Burns with a split-decision win over Philip Rowe this past June.

Both men stand at equal height but Magny will look to utilize his 5.5-inch reach advantage. However, the 11-years younger Ian Garry is listed as the -520 favorite, which is the largest betting favorite on the UFC 292 main card.

Da’Mon Blackshear vs Mario Bautista - Bantamweight Division

Da’Mon Blackshear

TALE OF THE TAPE

Mario Bautista

29

Age

30

5 ft 10 in

Height

5 ft 9 in

72 in

Reach

72 in

14-5-1

Record

12-2

Originally slated to take on former bantamweight champion Cody Garbrandt, Mario Bautista now finds himself taking on a new opponent on just one week’s notice after Garbrandt was forced to pull out of the UFC 292 card due to an injury.

Bautista, who is currently on a four-fight winning streak that includes three first-round submission wins in a row, will take on Da’Mon Blackshear - a fighter who fought just one week ago! Blackshear won his bout last week against Jose Johnson via twister submission. It was only the third time in UFC history that a twister has been used to win a fight.

The win was Blackshear’s second in a row.

There is only one inch in height separating these two fighters as they possess an equal 72-inch reach. But with four wins in a row and significantly more time to rest between his fights, Mario Bautista comes in as the -210 favorite over Blackshear.

Marlon Vera vs Pedro Munhoz - Bantamweight Division

Marlon Vera

TALE OF THE TAPE

Pedro Munhoz

30

Age

36

5 ft 8 in

Height

5 ft 6 in

70.5 in

Reach

65 in

20-8-1

Record

20-7, 2 no-contests

Looking to bounce back from his most recent loss against Cory Sandhagen in March - a loss that snapped a four-fight winning streak - number-six ranked Marlon Vera kicks off the main card of UFC 292 with his opponent, number-ten ranked Pedro Munhoz.

Munhoz, who had lost two straight before a no-contest against Sean O’Malley, will enter the octagon Saturday following a win in his most recent bout: a unanimous decision win over Chris Gutierrez this past April.

Vera, the younger fighter, will also stand taller by two inches and have a significant 5.5-inch reach advantage over Munhoz in this pay-per-view Kickstarter.

Unsurprisingly, it is Vera who is listed as the -189 favorite to win.

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How to Watch UFC 292: Sterling vs O’Malley

  • LOCATION: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
  • WHEN: Saturday, August 19
  • TIME: 10 PM EST
  • HOW: UFC Fight Pass, PPV, ESPN+
Image for Ryan Bristlon

AUTHOR

Ryan Bristlon

433 Articles

Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of the sport of hockey and the NHL.



Email: [email protected]

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