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UFC 292 Undercard - Odds, Predictions & Picks

Written by: Ryan Bristlon
Published August 18, 2023
7 min read
  • Former champion Chris Weidman returns from two-year injury layoff
  • Hubbard vs Holobaugh compete for a UFC contract in TUF lightweight final
  • Brad Katona looks to become the first two-time TUF winner in history

UFC 292: Sterling vs O’Malley

The odds for this match are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Click the links in the table below to place your bets.

Chris Weidman+210
Brad Tavares-258
Gregory Rodrigues-355
Denis Tiuliulin+280
Austin Hubbard-180
Kurt Holobaugh+150
Brad Katona-170
Cody Gibson+142

UFC 292 Undercard - Best Picks

Chris Weidman vs Brad Tavares - Middleweight division

Our pick: Chris Weidman (+210)

Gregory Rodrigues vs Denis Tiuliulin - Middleweight

Our pick: Gregory Rodrigues (-355)

Austin Hubbard vs Kurt Holobaugh - Lightweight TUF Final

Our pick: Kurt Holobaugh (+150)

Brad Katona vs Cody Gibson - Bantamweight TUF Final

Our pick: Cody Gibson (+142)

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UFC 292 Undercard Predictions

See also the full predictions for the UFC 292 main card

UFC 292 Undercard Odds

Chris Weidman vs Brad Tavares - Middleweight Division

Chris WeidmanTALE OF THE TAPEBrad Tavares
6 ft 2 inHeight5 ft 11 in
78 inReach74 in



After more than two years on the shelf spent healing from a broken leg that occurred during his 2021 bout against Uriah Hall at UFC 261, former middleweight champion Chris Weidman is finally healed and ready to return to action this Saturday night. He takes on UFC veteran Brad Tavares in the featured prelim bout of the UFC 292 undercard.

Prior to breaking his leg, Weidman had mixed success in the UFC. He was once undefeated at 13-0 and during that stretch, he won the middleweight championship from Anderson Silva and defended it three times.

But since losing the title to Luke Rockhold in 2015, Weidman has gone just 2-5.

He takes on former TUF competitor Brad Tavares, who has also struggled in recent years, having a record of 2-4 over his last six fights - losing his last two in a row at the hands of Dricus du Plessis and, most recently, Bruno Silva back in April.

The former champion will stand three inches taller than Tavares and will have a four-inch reach advantage. Despite this, due to the significance of his past injury and the time spent out of action, oddsmakers list Tavares as the notable -258 favorite to win.

Gregory Rodrigues vs Denis Tiuliulin - Middleweight Division

Gregory RodriguesTALE OF THE TAPE

Denis Tiuliulin

6 ft 3 inHeight6 ft 1 in
75 inReach77 in

With a 1-2 UFC record and one of the most phonetically pleasing names, Denis Tiuliulin will take a big step up in competition this weekend when he faces off against the Robocop: Gregory Rodrigues.

Tiuliulin is coming off of a first-round submission loss to Jun Tong Park that took place back in February. He was scheduled to face Rodrigues back in June but the fight was canceled and eventually rescheduled.

Rodrigues is 2-2 in his last four fights. After back-to-back KO wins, Rodrigues became the KO victim when he was defeated by Brunno Ferreira in the first-round of their UFC 283 bout this past January.

Listed as the -355 favorite, Rodrigues will be the taller fighter but Tiuliulin will actually have the two-inch reach advantage.

Austin Hubbard vs Kurt Holobaugh - Lightweight TUF Final

Austin HubbardTALE OF THE TAPEKurt Holobaugh
5 ft 10 inHeight5 ft 11 in
71 inReach75.5 in
15-6Record19-7, 1 no-contest

Two former UFC roster members compete in the lightweight finals of the latest season of TUF, hoping to secure a contract and a second chance with the promotion.

Kurt Holobaugh appeared on the Dana White Contender Series but fought to a no-contest. He was given a chance in the UFC regardless but his first stint with the company saw him go 0-3 and he was cut in 2019.

His opponent in the finals, Austin Hubbard, had seven fights with the UFC and had a promotional record of 3-4 his first time around.

Hubbard defeated Aaron McKenzie and Roosevelt Roberts during his time on TUF to secure his spot in the finals.

Holobaugh defeated the number-one ranked prospect Lee Hammond and won what was considered the best fight of the season against Jason Knight, which led him to the finals.

Hubbard is listed as the -180 favorite over Holobaugh.

Brad Katona vs Cody Gibson - Bantamweight TUF Final

Brad KatonaTALE OF THE TAPECody Gibson
5 ft 6 inHeight5 ft 10 in
64.5 inReach71 in

Kicking off the featured undercard will be the TUF bantamweight finals between Brad Katona and Cody Gibson - two former UFC fighters looking for their second chance with the promotion.

Brad Katona (who looks to become the first two-wine TUF winner after winning the show back in 2018) went 1-2 with the UFC in his first stint with the company, which included a loss to the number-one ranked bantamweight contender Merab Dvalishvili. He has gone 4-0 with Brave CF since leaving the UFC in 2019.

Cody Gibson went 1-3 with the UFC his first time around - a record that included a loss to current bantamweight champion Aljamain Sterling. He is now 7-2 since being cut from the promotion.

Despite standing four inches taller and having a reach advantage of 6.5 inches, Cody Gibson is still listed as the +142 underdog against Katona this weekend.

How to Watch UFC 292: Sterling vs O’Malley (UNDERCARD)

  • LOCATION: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
  • WHEN: Saturday, August 19
  • TIME: 8 PM EST
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Ryan Bristlon

433 Articles

Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of the sport of hockey and the NHL.

Email: [email protected]

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