Rocket Mortgage Classic 2020 - Predictions, Odds & Picks
- Kevin Na has posted three wins in the last two years and looks a good bet at +3300 to add another on a course that suits his game.
- Viktor Hovland beat Sungjae Im in this event last year and looks much sharper than the Korean in recent weeks. Back the Norwegian in a 72-hole matchup.
- Local man Brian Stuard made the top five here last year and his current solid form points to a bet in the top 20 market at +400.
|What||Rocket Mortgage Classic|
|Where||Detroit Golf Club, Detroit, Michigan|
|When||Thursday, 02 July – Sunday, 05 July|
|How to watch||Thursday-Friday, 3pm-6pm ET (Golf Channel). Saturday-Sunday, 1pm-3pm (Golf Channel), 3pm-6pm (CBS). All 4 days on Sky Sports|
It’s week four of the PGA Tour’s return to action and the show goes on despite several players/caddies testing positive for coronavirus in the first three events.
So far, we’ve seen a trio of American victories after wins for Daniel Berger at the Charles Schwab Challenge, Webb Simpson in the RBC Heritage and Dustin Johnson (the 28/1 headline tip in last week’s column) at the Travelers Championship.
The PGA Tour now heads to Michigan for the second edition of the Rocket Mortgage Classic and while the field quality isn’t as strong as it’s been over the last three weeks, there are still plenty of top names on show.
We know the drill now so, once more, no fans will be on site.
Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds
Odds taken 1 July from BetMGM
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With no Rory McIlroy or Justin Thomas in the field this time, Bryson DeChambeau leaps to the top of the market and is a short-priced favorite at just +600.
Golf’s biggest hitter has put together a run of 3-8-6 in the three comeback events and now hasn’t finished outside the top eight in each of his last six PGA Tour starts.
His putter heated up at last week’s Travelers (9th for Strokes Gained: Putting) so it’s just a question of putting the pieces of the puzzle together. He’s close, but could fatigue be a slight issue as he starts his fourth week on the road? And, let’s get this straight, those odds are short for a player who hasn’t won yet in 2020 despite all the big finishes.
Webb Simpson, by contrast, does have recent winning form after hoisting the silverware in two of his last four starts – February’s Waste Management Phoenix Open and June’s RBC Heritage.
The latter was two weeks ago before he sat out the Travelers as a precaution due a family member testing positive for coronavirus.
NA Can Go Far on Detroit Debut
When Kevin Na pegged it up at the Greenbrier in July 2018, he’d managed just one PGA Tour win in a career that had started back in 2004.
That had come way back in 2011 and his reputation as a guy who placed but didn’t win was firmly cemented.
However, he fired 19-under to roar to a five-shot win that week and, since then, his career has really taken flight.
The Korean-American has added victories at the 2019 Charles Schwab Challenge and last October’s Shriners Hospitals for Children Open and is suddenly a four-time PGA Tour winner.
To give it some context, he’s recorded just as many wins over the last 24 months as red-hot favorite DeChambeau.
This week he’s making his tournament debut but Na comes in on the back of a tied fifth at last week’s Travelers Championship.
This course – not overly long and more testing than last year due to the extra rough – should suit Na’s tidy game and the only slight concern is a back issue.
Some regular physio did the trick last week and a check of Na’s Instagram page shows him swinging away nicely in practice. Under the post, he writes: “Hope the back holds up again”, but temperatures in the 90s will help loosen it up and so many times we’ve seen an ailment actually focus a golfer as it makes them play within themselves and not overreach.
Given Na’s recent winning record, the +3300 at BetMGM makes plenty of appeal.
Hovland Can Outgun Im
Unlike DeChambeau and Simpson, Viktor Hovland played in the first edition of this event last year and enjoyed his week, closing with a final-round 64 to take T13.
Since then, the Norwegian youngster has become a PGA Tour winner after landing February’s Puerto Rico Open and he’s emerged from lockdown in fine form with T23 at the Charles Schwab Challenge, T21 at The Heritage and T11 at last week’s Travelers.
He’s up against Sungjae Im in a 72-hole match bet and, while the Korean was the man of the moment earlier in the season and could prove the better long-term bet, right now I think Hovland holds the aces.
Im came back after lockdown with T10 at the Charles Schwab but he’s faltered since with a missed cut at The Heritage and T58 at the Travelers.
While Hovland’s long game looks in the superb nick, Im has registered negative figures for SG: Approach the last two weeks.
Hovland outscored Im in this event last year and, in his current form, can record the best finishing position again (-118 at DraftKings)
Stuard a Bet in Top 20 Market
Brian Stuard is the hometown hero this week and those local connections helped him bank tied fifth here last year.
True, Stuard won’t have family and friends to cheer him on this time but that can work both ways and he may just be able to have a more relaxed week.
He’s 3-for-3 since the PGA Tour resumed and produced his best finish with T20 at last week’s Travelers Championship.
A repeat of that looks well within his capabilities and bet365’s +400 for a top 20 is the smart way to go.
In the outright market, take Kevin Na to hoist the trophy at +3300 with BetMGM. Viktor Hovland is worth a bet at -118 to have a better finishing position than Sungjae Im in DraftKings’ matchups while bet365’s +400 for Brian Stuard to make the top 20 is worth a play.
DraftKings Special Rocket Mortgage Classic Promotion
DraftKings Sportsbook is running a special golf promotion for the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Go to DraftKings and bet on your favorite to win the Rocket Mortgage Classic, if they lose but finish in the top 10 you get your money back up to $25.
Head to DraftKings for more details and place your bets on golf.
More Golf Predictions & Odds
Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
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