Wells Fargo Championship Picks, Predictions & Betting Odds 2021

• The PGA Tour returns to the Quail Hollow Club after last year’s cancellation
• Rory McIlroy seeking inspiration from his two wins at the tournament in 2010 and 2015
• Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas lead the betting

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Wells Fargo Championship Betting Odds

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Wells Fargo Championship Picks and Predictions

Use my free picks to place a winning bet:

Will Zalatoris is the outright pick at +2800 with bet365

Emiliano Grillo can land another top 10 at +500 with DraftKings Sportsbook

Back Rickie Fowler to beat Keegan Bradley in their match bet at -110 with bet365

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Wells Fargo Championship Profile

Never let it not be said that golf is a very strange business. The three men who have the best records at the Quail Hollow Club, host of this week’s Wells Fargo Championship, would, you might think, be popular bets this week.

Take Rory McIlroy, the Northern Irish two-time winner of the tournament who has a grand total of nine top 25 finishes in 10 visits.

Surely he must be a low price this week, close to the +600 he went off for the event two years ago?

Actually no because he’s not broken 74 in his last five strokeplay rounds, hasn’t won since the end of 2019, and can be backed at +2000. Well, what about Rickie Fowler, the 2012 winner who has seven top 25 finishes from nine starts?

Another puzzle. He’s rated +7000 because he hasn’t won since the start, never mind the end, of 2019, and hasn’t made a top-five since January 2020.

What about Phil Mickelson? He’s recorded no less than a dozen top 12 finishes in 16 starts. True, he’s now a senior, but he’s got a chance, right? The books don’t agree and for good reason. He’s made just one top 20 on the PGA Tour since early 2020 and is rated a +15000 outsider.

For Mickelson, it’s nothing more than a sign of things to come because he will slowly but surely turn his attention towards the Champions Tour. However, for McIlroy and Fowler, this is an important week because both need to revive their fortunes and do so quickly.

The top of the betting is dominated by Jon Rahm, who has been in consistent form all year, but who lacks any kind of course record, and Justin Thomas who won the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow. They will face a test that should suit both. It demands long driving, accurate approach play, and a good touch on the greens.

Where There’s A Will

Quail Hollow has had the habit of being the scene of breakthrough wins for young golfers with growing reputations.

McIlroy’s success in 2010, Fowler’s in 2012, even Anthony Kim’s in 2008 – they were all the first wins of fine careers (even if Kim shone bright and fizzled away rather quickly). If that pattern is to be maintained this week then Will Zalatoris might be the man in the limelight.

The 24-year-old had enjoyed a sparkling 2020/21 season, his first on the PGA Tour. It was prompted by finishing sixth in September’s US Open and has continued to be peppered by fine results on major championship level layouts (which Quail Hollow is, of course).

He finished seventh at Torrey Pines, T15th at Riviera, and second on his Master’s debut – he also landed T10th at Bay Hill, a course that is regularly referred to as being a major-like test.

That’s a mighty impressive resume and if you delve deeper his game continues to look a good fit.

He hits the ball a long way (he’s ranked top 10 eight times this season), he putts well (he was fourth for Putting Average at Harbour Town and second at Riviera) and he’s only twice failed to rank top 20 in the field for Strokes Gained Approach.

He’s the standout each way option in the outright market at +2800 with bet365.

Heating Up The Grillo

If it weren’t for the outlandishly brilliant effort of Stewart Cink a couple of weeks ago at Harbour Town Argentina’s Emiliano Grillo would have had a great chance of landing a second PGA Tour victory.

Instead, he had to make do with a share of a second to sit alongside the tied sixth he landed in his previous start at the Corales Puntacana Championship. Nor was the run of form a big surprise because he made the top 25 at TPC Scottsdale and Bay Hill on either side of T11th in the Puerto Rico Open.

And although he missed the cut last week, he did shoot a first-round 66 so his Friday 76 was something of a bolt from the blue.

Add in his tied ninth in this tournament back in 2019 and there’s a growing sense that he can have another good week.

Take the +500 at DraftKings Sportsbook for him to finish in the top 10.

Fowler Can Find Solace

Victory in the tournament might be beyond Rickie Fowler this week, but he might be able to win his match-up with Keegan Bradley at bet365. The two have both played in this event five times and not only did Fowler win every time, he did it with absolute ease.

Every single time Fowler made the top 25 and, in contrast, Bradley missed fours cuts and had a best of T33rd. The obvious counter forms, but Fowler leads 12-10 since the start of January 2020.

You might also suggest that Bradley nearly won last week, but his results after a top-two finish on the PGA Tour are, with one exception, not great: three missed cuts, four failures to make the top 40, T26th, T19th and third.

Back Fowler at -110 with bet365.

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