Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Tony Garcia
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
  • Ace on the mound for Houston faces a surprise bright note for Minnesota
  • Battle of two of AL’s top teams
  • X-factors to watch

Astros at Twins Odds

Astros At Twins Prediction Picks Odds

Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins Prediction and Pick

Two of the hottest teams in baseball are set to square off for the first of three games on Tuesday. Houston has won seven games in a row and 11 of its past 13, while Minnesota has won 14 of its past 17 games. Minnesota has won its past nine games at home, but Houston has maybe the best pitcher in the American League going in Justin Verlander. It should be a tight one, but it’s hard to bet against the first ballot hall-of-famer. We like the Astros money line.

Pick:

Houston Astros Moneyline (-145)

Garcia’s 2021 record: (11-6)

  • Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 overall
  • Astros are 10-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite
  • Astros are 18-7 in their last 25 Tuesday games
  • Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
  • Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite
  • Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Under is 6-1 in Astros last 7 road games
  • Under is 26-9-1 in Astros last 36 overall
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 head-to-head meetings in Minnesota
  • Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West
  • Twins are 9-0 in their last 9 home games
  • Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Twins are 12-2 in their last 14 games on grass
  • Twins are 14-3 in their last 17 overall
  • Under is 13-2-2 in Twins last 17 vs. American League West
  • Under is 8-2-1 in Twins last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Over is 7-3 in Twins last 10 games following an off day

Youngers Faces Off with Vet in Pitching Matchup

Joe Ryan has pitched in just 10 big league games, yet he’s been throwing the ball like a seasoned veteran to start the season for the Twins. Ryan, 25, is 3-1 this season and paces Minnesota’s rotation with a 1.1 WAR.

On the year he’s 3-1 with a 1.63 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, and has 28 strikeouts in 27.2 innings. Ryan has yet to give up more than two runs in any outing and over his past three starts has surrendered just nine hits and three walks with 17 strikeouts in 17.2 innings.

For Houston, Justin Verlander has been every bit as dominant if not more so. The 39-year-old future Hall-of-Famer has a 1.0 WAR through five outings, going 3-1 with a 1.93 ERA, league-best 0.70 WHIP, and 31 strikeouts in 32.2 innings.

Verlander has four consecutive quality starts and the lone time he didn’t record one was his season debut when he was on a pitch count, but still only gave up one run in five innings.

Which Offense Can Succeed in Battle of Red Hot Teams

Houston may have won its past seven games, but the offense isn’t the reason why. The Astros are in the middle of the pack (18th out of 30) in terms of total runs scored this season.

Houston has scored more than five runs just twice in its past 14 games and has been held to three runs or fewer in eight of those games, yet has still managed an 11-3 record over those two weeks.

While the offense as a whole isn’t hot, Jose Altuve has been, going 9-for-22 (.409) the past week with three home runs and five walkouts compared to three punchouts.

On the flipside, the Twins’ offense has been red hot. Minnesota is fifth in the American League in total runs scored. They’ve scored five or more runs in eight of their past 15 games, though that has slowed down as of late, scoring four runs or fewer in each of their last five.

Still, there have been bright spots despite the offense’s recent slump, like Byron Buxton. The sensational outfielder is 5-for-19 in that stretch but leads the team during that time with a double, two home runs and five RBIs while posting a .965 OPS.

X-factors to Watch

As far as x-factors, we’re going to try and key in on a few names you might not think of as game-changers, but those who could come up with some big hits. For Minnesota, that’s going to be Gilberto Celestino. The outfielder is 12-for-37 this year (.324) and comes off a week where he went 6-for-14 with two doubles.

For Houston, it’s a bunch of household names, but we’re going to single out Aldemys Diaz. Diaz is hitting just .210 on the year but went 3-for-8 last week with a home run and four RBIs

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How to Watch Astros at Twins

Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins Information
Teams Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins
Location Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Time Tuesday, May 10, 7:40  p.m. EST
How to watch AT&T SportsNet Southwest, MLB Extra Innings
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Image for Tony Garcia

Tony Garcia

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NCAAF
Betting Picks
Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.
Nationality: American
Education: M.A. in Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: ClutchBet Sportsbook
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Experience:
8 years
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