MLB Home Run Leader: There Are a Lot of Contenders to Be the Home Run King in 2023

Now that June has arrived, the home run race can finally start to heat up. Pete Alonso remains the MLB leader in home runs, but reigning home run king Aaron Judge is close behind him. There are also seven other players with at least 15 homers following the first weekend in June. In other words, there are a lot of contenders to be the home run king in 2023. Let’s take a closer look at the current betting odds and the top contenders.

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MLB Home Run Leaders Odds

Odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook

Best MLB Betting Promotions

More than a month into the MLB season, FanDuel is still giving bettors great MLB promos. Each day, there will be a same-game parlay and some quick hits that FanDuel puts together for you. Meanwhile, fans should keep an eye out for same-game parlays that FanDuel puts together so fans don’t have to stress about trying to figure out what player props to include. Plus, FanDuel is still running its Dinger Tuesdays promo. All you have to do is place a $25 pre-game “To hit a home run” wager on any MLB Tuesday game. Whether that bet wins or not, you’ll receive a $5 bonus bet for every home run hit by either team in that game up to $25.

MLB Home Run Leader Analysis & Predictions

The odds to be the home run king in 2023 change just as quickly as players hit home runs. But we do our best to keep track of the players with the shortest odds of becoming the 2023 home run king and giving an overview of where they stand. Let’s look at the current players with the best odds of ending the 2023 MLB season with the most home runs.

Aaron Judge, +270

Over the last few weeks, Judge has looked like the guy who hit 62 homers last year. He hit 12 home runs in May, and that was after missing the first week of the month on the IL. Judge ended the first weekend of June with five home runs in a six-game span. As a result, his odds dropped from +410 to +270. Unfortunately, you may have missed the boat if you waited until now to bet on Judge, although +270 aren’t bad odds in what looks like it could become a two-horse race.

Pete Alonso, +350

Alonso has hit his first serious slump of the season, which is why he’s no longer the betting favorite to lead the majors in home runs this year despite still holding a slim lead. However, the move from +270 to +350 over the last week makes Alonso a more appealing bet. He’s not going to stay in a slump forever. He’s also gone more than six straight games without a homer just once this year, so there will be plenty of home runs to come for him.

Matt Olson, +1200

The home run race might be a two-horse race between Judge and Alonso, but nobody is telling Olson. Atlanta’s first baseman has been the definition of consistent when it comes to hitting for power this year. Conventional wisdom says that Olson isn’t going to be able to hang around in this race all season. But he’s still there roughly one-third through the season, making him a sleeper who’s worth watching.

Jorge Soler, +1200

If there’s anyone who can make a two-horse race a three-horse race, it might be Soler. He wasn’t even on the radar a couple of weeks ago and now he’s sitting at +1200. The Cuba native had just five homers at the end of April but went crazy with 12 home runs in May. However, after hitting six home runs in a seven-game span, Soler immediately went homerless for seven straight games. He can’t afford to run hot and cold like that if he’s going to keep up with Judge and Alonso. Nevertheless, with 17 home runs at this point in the season, Soler is surely within striking distance of the top and warrants close monitoring.

Max Muncy, +2100

It might be harder than anyone thinks to keep Muncy out of the home run race. He’s barely hitting over .200 on the season and has just four doubles. Yet, Muncy has 18 home runs in 2023 despite only hitting six long balls in May. Of course, in his first game in the month of June, Muncy homered, giving him three in a five-game span. There are reasons to be skeptical of his ability to keep up with Judge and Alonso all year, much less overtake both of them. But Muncy is hanging around, and while he doesn’t get a lot of hits, the hits he does collect tend to go over the fence.

Kyle Schwarber, +2100

Schwarber is taking a similar approach to Muncy. He doesn’t have a lot of his this season, but when he gets a hold of something, it usually leaves the park. The caveat is that he has just 15 home runs, giving him a lot of ground to make up. However, Schwarber’s bat is starting to heat up a little in June after posting a .115 average during the month of May. If he can stay hot, the home runs are sure to follow, especially with half of his games being played in a hitter-friendly park in Philadelphia. Even if this has been an underwhelming season overall for Schwarber, there are far less believable longshots than him in the home run race.

How To Read Home Run Leader Odds

Anyone new to betting shouldn’t have trouble reading home run leader odds. Sportsbooks will give all of the top sluggers in baseball a moneyline based on their chances of leading the majors in homers at the end of the season. 

That moneyline will tell you the payout if you bet on that player and they end up leading the majors in home runs. 

For instance, a moneyline of +1000 means that if you bet $100, the profit will be $1,000. Likewise, a $10 bet with those odds would lead to a profit of $100. If you need help getting accustomed to betting odds, check out the WSN odds calculator.

Previous MLB Home Run Leaders

2022 - Aaron Judge, 62

2021 - Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Salvador Perez, 48

2020 - Luke Voit, 22

2019 - Pete Alonso, 53

2018 - Khris Davis, 48

2017 - Giancarlo Stanton, 59

2016 - Mark Trumbo, 47

2015 - Chris Davis, 47

2014 - Nelson Cruz, 40

2013 - Chris Davis, 53

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