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Best MLB Bets This Weekend | MLB Picks, July 7-8

Written by: Jay Sanin
Published July 8, 2023
13 min read
MLB Best Bets July 7-8, 2023

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

My Pick: Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)

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Our first MLB best bet for this weekend is for the Toronto Blue Jays to cover the runline against the Detroit Tigers on Saturday afternoon. The Jays are coming off of a huge win over the Tigers on Friday, where Alek Manoah returned to pitch a very good game in his first contest after being sent down to the minors. Here, the Jays look to their top AL Cy Young award candidate to keep things rolling against a Tigers team with a bottom-five run differential in all of baseball.

Kevin Gausman is on the mound for the Blue Jays in this game, who enters this contest with a 7-4 record and an ERA of 3.04. He has lost just one of his last 11 starts, which bodes very well for a Blue Jays team that comes into this contest on a four-game winning streak. Look for Gausman to help Toronto set the tone early in this matchup.

Helping the Jays create enough separation to cover the runline in this game will be their ability to create more offense than the Tigers. The Blue Jays are fifth in baseball in runs scored this season, while the Tigers rank 27th in that department. Look for the Blue Jays to take advantage of their edges both in the pitching and hitting departments to cover this runline on the road.

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Check out other MLB betting sites for more betting opportunities!

My Pick: Under 7.5 (-110)

Next up, we like the under on the total of 7.5 runs in the game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros. Houston is sending one of the best pitchers in the sport to the mound for this game. But it is the offense of Houston that could be the focal point when betting on the under in this nationally televised matchup.

Framber Valdez is on the mound for the Astros in this game, which should set us off to a good start while looking for a low-scoring contest. Valdez is the current front runner to win the AL Cy Young award, as he enters this matchup with a 7-6 record and a 2.49 ERA. Look for Gausman to get off to a good start again here for Houston to help stifle a Seattle offense that is in the bottom-10 in scoring in MLB in 2023.

While Houston should do well from a pitching perspective, it is their own offense that could help keep this game low-scoring. The Astros are just 15th in MLB in runs scored this season, a huge departure from their usual standing as one of the most productive offenses in the game. Look for that to help Mariners starter Bryan Woo keep them in check.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

My Pick: Padres Moneyline (-125)

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Our final MLB best bet for the weekend comes on Sunday, when the New York Mets face the San Diego Padres. The Mets have been playing much better baseball of late, having won six games in a row. But their winning ways should stop at least for a day when they take on a Padres team that has plenty of firepower to disrupt the pitching of the Metropolitans.

Max Scherzer is on the mound for the Mets who enters this game with a record of 8-2 and an ERA of 4.03. While he did throw five shutout innings against the Padres earlier this season, those innings came in New York. Things will be different here as the Padres will be much more comfortable against Scherzer in San Diego.

Meanwhile, Joe Musgrove is on the mound for the Padres, who has very similar numbers to Scherzer despite the differences in reputation. Musgrove is 7-2 with a 3.56 ERA, and he should be able to stand toe-to-toe with the Mets ace.

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AUTHOR

Jay Sanin

186 Articles

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor and writer from New York. He has been handicapping since the moment he was old enough to gamble legally, with his specialties being niche sports like the WNBA and XFL. He’s been told he has a voice for radio. He also has a face for radio.

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