Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Surprise Names for Friday’s Props

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published June 21, 2024
4 min read
Best MLB Prop Bets Today 2024 06 21 Diamondbacks Jordan Montgomery

We’re throwing out the playbook on Friday and taking things in a different direction. We’ve decided to target players we don’t ordinarily target. We’re favoring a pitcher having a bad year and fading a normally reliable pitcher. It’s a little chaotic, but we feel good about our prop bets for Friday. The odds are from BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users can get up to $1,500 in bonus bets with the promo code WSNMGM.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Diamondbacks vs. Phillies (6:40 PM, EST)

Jordan Montgomery Over 3.5 ER (+105) at BetMGM

With Montgomery rocking a 6.00 ERA on the season and facing one of the best offensive teams in baseball, we have to fade him. In a way, it feels wrong to think that Montgomery will give up at least four runs in a game, especially since he’s pitched better in his last two starts. But he’s still allowed at least four runs in three of his last six starts and has struggled against quality lineups. Given the year he’s having, we expect the Phillies to get the best of him.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Mariners vs. Marlins (7:10 PM, EST)

Trevor Rogers Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-155) at BetMGM

Rogers is an unusual pitcher to get behind since he’s 1-8 with a 5.09 ERA. But keep in mind that he has a 3.50 ERA over his last three starts. Rogers is also more capable of striking batters out than we’ve seen this season. That’s why Friday’s game against the Mariners is a great time to back him. The Mariners lead the majors in strikeouts, making them an easy target for Rogers. With his recent improvement, Rogers has started to go deeper into games, making it more likely for him to reach five strikeouts.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Royals vs. Rangers (8:05 PM, EST)

Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100) at BetMGM

On a day of unfamiliar names, we couldn’t help but stick with Witt, who is a favorite we’ve used time and time again this year. Witt is 4 for 9 with a pair of triples in his career against Nathan Eovaldi, so he’s had the number of the starting pitcher he’ll face Friday. Equally important, Witt is on a run of five multi-hit games in his last nine games. Of course, he’s also a threat to get an extra-base hit, especially given his past success against Eovaldi. As long as we’re still getting plus odds on a bet like this involving Witt, we’ll be inclined to take it.

Nathan Eovaldi Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120) at BetMGM

Speaking of Eovaldi, he’s no stranger to high strikeout totals. However, he’s barely averaging more than a strikeout per inning on the season. Eovaldi has also struggled to go deep into games lately, including lasting just three innings in two of his last four starts. The other key part of this bet is the fact that the Royals are one of the toughest teams in baseball to strike out. Kansas City’s lineup averages under seven strikeouts per game, so the chances of Eovaldi getting six strikeouts without going at least six or seven full innings are slim. That makes us think that Eovaldi will have a low strikeout total on Friday.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Twins vs. Athletics (9:40 PM, EST)

J.J. Bleday Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125) at BetMGM

We don’t often target Oakland hitters to succeed, but we like this matchup. Bleday has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the past week or so. Earlier this week, he had a 9-for-13 stretch with five extra-base hits. He's also facing a starter in Chris Paddack who has a 5.25 ERA and lasted just 2.1 innings when he faced Oakland last weekend. That also points to Bleday having a big day on Friday.

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Bryan Zarpentine

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NCAAB
NFL
Online Sports Betting
Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Arts
Favourite Sportsbook: BetMGM Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
14 years
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