Best MLB Prop Bets Today | MLB Player Props April 11

Corbin Burnes Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-120 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

Corbin Burnes hasn’t dominated this season, and his numbers reflect his early struggles. Burnes is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP. In 9.1 innings, he has allowed 11 hits, including two home runs, and walked five batters. The pitcher has been known for control and elite strikeout ability, but this hasn’t been the case in 2023.

However, it can be very hard for pitchers to find their groove in their first couple of starts. We’ve seen stars like Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer struggle early, so Burnes’ early numbers aren’t much of a concern in our minds. 

The Brewers will face the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, and this lineup can be tough. Although, they’ve shown signs of inconsistency this season. Arizona is traditionally good at watching pitches but tends to crumble when they play from behind. An early Milwaukee lead should help Burnes settle in and go over 5.5 strikeouts on Tuesday.

Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Total Bases (-170 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

Jose Ramirez’ total base prop is relatively juiced, but it’s worth playing as the third baseman has been solid through the first two weeks of games. Ramirez is slashing .273/.377/.409 and still hasn’t settled into his groove. Yet, he looks comfortable at the plate and has owned Gerrit Cole throughout his career. 

Cole will take the mound for New York, and he can’t seem to figure out the power hitter. Ramirez has faced Cole 21 times in his career and is batting .313. Cole’s career opposing batting average is 0.228, so Ramirez has soared above this average. Additionally, the power numbers are there as well, with Ramirez notching a triple and two homers off the ace. 

Cole could be the perfect matchup for Ramirez to find his power stride early in the season. He has been putting good at-bats together thus far, and has a lot of confidence facing Cole. 

Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Total Bases (-150 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

Paul Goldschmidt has been one of the leaders for the Cardinals through the first ten games. This is no surprise, as the first baseman is the reigning National League MVP. Goldschmidt is 14th in baseball for batting average at .361 and 29th in OBP at .989. He hasn’t struggled and has attacked pitches early in counts. This is exactly what we want to see as bettors when betting on total base props. 

Goldschmidt is coming off a two-for-three game against the Rockies with two RBI. This series is taking place in Colorado, where balls leave the yard at a high rate because of the altitude. If Goldschmidt gets a hold of a pitch off Kyle Freeland, it will carry in the Colorado sky. Additionally, the Rockies bullpen hasn’t been overwhelming, so Goldschmidt will have multiple chances to go over this total on a single at-bat. 

Shane McClanahan Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-155 on DraftKings Sportsbook)

The Tampa Bay Rays have won ten straight games to start the season. This is the first time a team has won ten straight games since the Brewers in 1987. Their pitching is phenomenal, as we’ve seen in every contest. Yesterday, they beat the Red Sox 1-0 with a strong bullpen game. Boston will have to face Shane McClanahan on Tuesday, which won’t be easy. 

McClanahan’s strikeout prop is 5.5 for this game, and our only concern is Kevin Cash’s managerial style. He typically pulls pitchers after five innings and doesn’t stray from this strategy. However, the pitcher has hit his strikeout prop in both starts this season. 

The Red Sox struck out ten times yesterday, and they haven’t seen McClanahan once this year. The matchup favors the pitcher in this spot, so we’re leaning over on his prop total. 

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