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The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves will do battle on Wednesday night in Atlanta, and we like the Braves to score first in this contest at -105. This might be a tough sell for some baseball fans, given that Sandy Alcantara is on the mound for the Marlins in this contest. But Alcantara’s early season struggles make the Braves worth backing in this prop market to get things started for us today.
Alcantara has not been the Cy Young caliber pitcher that we came to know last season, as he has started this season with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 5.47 over his first four starts. On top of that, he missed his last start due to bicep tendonitis, which means a little early rust could help the Braves get to the Marlins ace early.
Through the first two games of this series, the Braves have outscored the Marlins by a combined margin of 18-4. While Miami does bat first in this game, the Braves have been the better offensive ballclub by a wide margin, making them the better bet to get on the board first in this third game of their four-game set.
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Tony Gonsolin is set to make his season debut for the LA Dodgers on Wednesday, as the Dodgers face off with the Pittsburgh Pirates. Gonsolin is going to be a huge part of the Dodgers’ success this season if they are to return to World Series contention, and his return from a sprained ankle should give his team a long-term lift in their rotation. But in the short term, Gonsolin should go under his strikeout prop against Pittsburgh.
The most important factor here is the fact that Gonsolin should not go too far into this game with this being his first start of the year. Coming back from an ankle injury specifically will make it hard for him to enjoy any real longevity in this contest, as the goal for this game will be to simply make sure his lower body can handle the rigors of live game pitching.
Gonsolin is also facing a Pirates team that just does not strike out all that much. They are in the bottom-10 in Major League Baseball in strikeouts as a team so far this season. While the Dodgers could very well win this game in Gonsolin’s return to the mound, the Pirates will at least put the ball in play in the process.
So far this season, Zac Gallen has been nothing short of incredible on the mound for the Arizona Diamondbacks. He has jumped up the list of NL Cy Young contenders and deservedly so with the way he has pitched. On Wednesday, we will take him to pick up the win as the Diamondbacks look to avenge a rather embarrassing loss to the Kansas City Royals from the night before.
Gallen is 3-1 so far this season with a 2.59 ERA, with all nine of his earned runs allowed coming in his first two starts. Over his last three appearances, he has not given up a single run, and has struck out 29 batters across those 20.2 innings of work. Against a Royals team that is now 6-18 on the season, Gallen should have no problem mowing batters down to get deep enough into this game to be in line for a win when he comes out.
Also impressive about Gallen’s pitching so far this season is who he has performed against. In his five starts this season, he has faced the San Diego Padres twice, along with the Dodgers, Brewers, and Marlins. Those are largely elite teams, and Gallen has had success against them without any problems, giving us confidence he will do the same here against the lowly Royals.
On the opposite side, it is a bullpen day for the Royals, with reliever Ryan Yarbrough set to take the mound to start this contest. He has allowed at least two runs in three of his last four appearances. That should give the Diamondbacks some chances to score while Gallen is in the game to give him a lead by the time he exits the game, avoiding a no decision in the process.
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