Best MLB Prop Bets Today | MLB Player Props August 28

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published August 28, 2023
6 min read
Best MLB Player Props August 28 2023

Adam Duvall Over 0.5 Hits (-160 at DraftKings) 

The odds for Duvall to get a hit on Monday are surprisingly short for one of the hottest hitters in baseball. To his credit, Duvall has had an exceptional season, becoming one of Boston’s most reliable hitters. But he’s kicked it into another gear lately. He enters Monday’s game against the Astros on a seven-game hitting streak that has included six games with multiple hits. In fact, during a four-game series against the Astros last week, Duvall went 9 for 16 with three home runs.

On Monday, Duvall figures to get at least a couple of at-bats against Houston starter Cristian Javier. While he doesn’t have a ton of experience against Javier, Duvall is 2 for 6 with a home run against him. That’s enough of a track record to jump all over this prop bet. Given Duvall’s success lately, this is one of the safest hitter props on Monday and a bet that could be added to parlays without much worry.

Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Hits (+200 at DraftKings)

Normally, taking over 1.5 total bases is a much safer bet than over 1.5 hits. But Betts going over 1.5 total bases is only listed at -110 while over 1.5 hits is going for +200. That’s a huge difference for a slightly riskier bet. The value and the way Betts has been swinging the bat lately make it worth the risk. 

For starters, Betts is rocking a 14-game hitting streak and has failed to get a hit just once in his last 30 games. More importantly, he has multiple hits in five of his last six games. That includes a five-hit game against the Guardians last week. He’s locked in right now and wasn’t fazed by his return to Fenway Park over the weekend. Betts should have no problem staying hot on Monday, even against Zac Gallen and the Diamondbacks. Betts is 5 for 15 with two extra-base hits in his career against Gallen, reducing any fear that Betts will suddenly go cold against a quality starter.

Garrett Cooper Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110 at DraftKings)

When it comes to batters who hit for power but not much average, going with over 1.5 total bases is always smarter than 1.5 total hits. That’s particularly true when you can get plus money with over 1.5 total bases, which is the case with Cooper on Monday. While he’s not the most notable member of San Diego’s lineup, Cooper has put together a five-game hitting streak. Despite having just one extra-base hit during that stretch, Cooper has three multi-hit games in his last four games. He also has 14 homers and 15 doubles in 99 games, so he’s more than capable of getting an extra-base hit.

More importantly, Cooper and the Padres are facing Adam Wainwright on Monday. Not only is Wainwright having an abysmal season in his swan song but Cooper is also 5 for 8 with two doubles and a homer in his career against the veteran. Granted, that’s a small sample size. But that’s also a lot of damage that Cooper has done against Wainwright. With Wainwright in the worst shape of his career, allowing 24 runs on 29 hits over 14.2 innings during the month of August, Cooper is bound to feast on him Monday night, collecting multiple bases one way or another.

Kevin Gausman Not Record Win (-145 at DraftKings), Under 18.5 Outs Recorded (-135 at DraftKings), Over 1.5 ER (-170 at DraftKings)

Even against a mediocre offensive team like the Nationals, there’s nothing wrong with fading Gausman a little bit. Outside of one outstanding start against the Guardians, he hasn’t been himself lately. He also hasn’t had the best of luck lately. For instance, the Blue Jays are just 2-7 in his last nine starts. With Washington sending Josiah Gray to the mound on Monday, a Toronto win is far from a guarantee with Gausman even more unlikely to end up as the winning pitcher.

Also, Gausman’s start against Cleveland earlier this month is the only time in his last 12 starts that he’s recorded an out in the seventh inning or later. This late in the season, Gausman may not have the stamina to go beyond six innings, nor will the Blue Jays give him the chance, making the under on 18.5 outs recorded a wise choice. Finally, the over/under of 1.5 earned runs is too low given Gausman’s recent form. He’s accomplished that just twice in eight starts since the beginning of July. The Nats may not be the most dangerous offensive team, but they are a feisty bunch that should be able to scratch out at least a couple of runs over five or six innings. 

Tylor Megill Under 15.5 Outs Recorded (-110 at DraftKings), Over 5.5 Hits (-110 at DraftKings), Over 2.5 ER (+140 at DraftKings)

Megill has had such a rocky season that he’s the perfect candidate to fade on Monday when he faces a star-studded Texas lineup. While the Rangers were in the midst of a slump a week ago, they scored at least five runs in three of their four games against the Twins over the weekend. Even with Josh Jung missing, Texas still has more than enough firepower to give Megill trouble. With complementary pieces like Mitch Garver and Leody Taveras heating up lately, the Rangers have enough depth to potentially make this a disastrous outing for Megill.

Despite the hard-throwing righty showing some promising signs lately, he’s struggled to put together five-plus competent innings. In fact, he’s recorded an out in the fifth inning just once in his last five starts, so the under on 15.5 outs seems like a safe bet. He’s also allowed at least eight hits in three of his last four outings, making it a surprise that the over/under for hits allowed is at 5.5. While his short outings make it harder to allow that many hits, Megill is allowing 1.6 hits per inning in August. He’s also allowed more than 2.5 earned runs in three of his four starts in August. The Pirates are the only team Megill held under that number. Needless to say, the Rangers will provide a much greater challenge for him on Monday night.

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Bryan Zarpentine

Sports Betting Analyst

Online Sports Betting
Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Arts
Favourite Sportsbook: BetMGM Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
14 years
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