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Carroll is the early front-runner for Rookie of the Year honors in the National League. He’s also become one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the last couple of weeks. Going back to late May, Carroll has a hit in 11 of his last 13 games. The fact that DraftKings is still offering odds on over 0.5 hits makes for an easy prop bet. But Carroll also has at least two total bases in nine of those 13 games. In addition to the possibility of a two-hit game, he also has five extra-base hits in June.
To be fair, the Phillies are starting lefty Matt Straham, which adds a layer of difficulty for the rookie. But Straham is merely an opener who probably won’t pitch more than two innings. That means Carroll’s at-bats on Monday will mostly come against a rather average Philadelphia bullpen. There’s no reason to think that he won’t be able to stay hot, especially with the Diamondbacks at home and riding the confidence that comes with a five-game winning streak.
It'd be foolish not to consider MLB’s newest sensation for a prop bet on Monday. The 21-year-old De La Cruz is 8 for 22 (.364) with 14 total bases over his first six games in the big leagues. He has a hit in every game, three extra-base hits, and has gone over 1.5 total bases in three of his games. De La Cruz is a threat to get an extra-base hit with every plate appearance, and with a two-hit game being a good backup plan, there is value in betting on him to get over 1.5 total bases.
In a way, those odds are even better with De La Cruz and the Reds facing Zack Greinke on Monday. The 39-year-old is showing his age this year with a 4.59 ERA. He couldn't get out of the fifth inning against the lowly Marlins in his last start and has already allowed 11 homers this year. The Royals also have the second-highest bullpen ERA in the majors, giving De La Cruz a great opportunity to do some damage late in the game as well.
Turner’s first season in Philadelphia hasn't gone according to plan for the $300 million man. He’s currently batting just .248, which is 50 points below his career average. But he’s riding a hot streak at the moment, and with +200 odds for him to have a multi-hit game, this is worth the risk. Turner is 6 for 13 over his last three games and has three multi-hit games in his last seven games, so now is the time to strike with him.
On Monday, he’ll be facing Arizona lefty Tommy Henry. Henry has pitched well at times, but the youngster has also had some ups and downs and is coming off a subpar outing against the Nationals. While Turner is 0 for 3 in his career against Henry, that’s not enough at-bats to take seriously. With Turner coming into this game trending in the right direction and likely to get at least five at-bats, there’s a good chance for Turner to have another multiple-hit game.
Against the Cardinals, we were comfortable going with under 4.5 hits for Webb on Monday. But getting under 5.5 hits with these odds is a gift. While Webb is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up eight hits, that game was at Coors Field, so he should get a free pass for it. Prior to that, Webb allowed four hits or less in four straight starts and looked sharp. In his 13 starts this year, Webb has held opponents to five hits or less on eight occasions.
Webb also has the benefit of facing the Cardinals on Monday. The St. Louis lineup has been a perpetual disappointment all season with the Cards also being held to three runs or less in five of their last eight games. They haven’t clicked all year and nobody but backup infielder Paul DeJong has impressive career numbers against Webb. Even standout players like Nolan Arenado, Dylan Carlson, Willson Contreras, and Paul Goldschmidt are a combined 7 for 38 (.184). Don’t expect hits to come easy against Webb, who should escape with five hits or less on Monday, even if he lasts six or seven innings.
With eight wins in 11 starts this season, Eflin is always a good bet to pick up a win, especially with plus odds. It obviously helps that he pitches for the best team in baseball, a team that’s won eight of 10. But Eflin is also having a great year, posting a 2.97 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP. He also has four wins and one no-decision over his last five starts, so things are trending in the right direction for him to get another win on Monday.
Keep in mind that Tampa will be visiting the A’s on Monday. Granted, the A’s have somehow put together a five-game winning streak. But they’re still the A’s and they’re still 7-24 at home this season. Despite Oakland’s recent winning streak, this should be a game that the Rays win, especially with Eflin on the mound, making Eflin likely to pitch a gem and get the win.
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Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.More info on Bryan Zarpentine
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