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Our first MLB prop play for Friday is for Sandy Alcantara to pick up the win when the Miami Marlins face the Washington Nationals. While this has not been Alcantara’s best season so far, he is clearly the better pitcher of the two that will start this contest. That will be a big factor for these teams in the early innings, as the Marlins will take a lead that they will not relinquish in this contest.
Alcantara has been underwhelming this season, going 2-5 with an ERA of 4.75 on the season. But a game against the Washington Nationals could be just what he needs to get himself back on track for the year. Washington ranks 24th in the league in runs scored on the season, and Alcantara will figure out a way to pitch better than he has been in order to get himself in position to pick up the decision.
Also helping Alcantara’s case going into this game is the fact that he should get some run support from his team. The Nationals rank 25th in team ERA for the season, and that will allow Luis Arraez and the Marlins bats to put runs on the board from the beginning of this game in Washington.
Zac Gallen has been one of the best pitchers in baseball all season long, as he has worked his way firmly into the NL Cy Young conversation. His strikeout numbers have been a huge reason for his candidacy this year, as he has struck out 93 batters, averaging over one strikeout per inning. But we actually expect him to go under his total of 4.5 strikeouts for this game against the Cleveland Guardians on Friday.
Gallen’s strikeout numbers have waned a bit over his last few starts, as he has gone under the four-strikeout mark in two of his last five starts. He has also given up five or more runs in two starts during that stretch. As a result, we could see him fail to last as long into this game as he normally does, artificially driving his strikeout numbers down against the Guardians on Friday.
To make things even tougher on Gallen from a strikeout perspective, the Guardians are one of the best teams in baseball at avoiding strikeouts. This season, Cleveland has struck out fewer times than all but one team in baseball, with that being the Washington Nationals. Look for Gallen to struggle to pile up his usual strikeout figures against one of the most hard-headed lineups in baseball.
Finally, we will take a plus money prop in the AL East rivalry game between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox. There, expect Giancarlo Stanton to drive in at least one run in what should be a high-scoring affair with two less than stellar pitchers on the mound to start things off. That, plus the field conditions at Fenway Park, will help Stanton to get the Yankees on the board at some point in this game.
Stanton is a right-handed hitter who is great at getting the ball into the air. That automatically gives him a shot to hit the ball over the green monster in left field, even if he does not provide his best contact on a ball. Furthermore, he is facing a starting pitcher in Tanner Houck who has a 5.23 ERA this season, and will certainly be vulnerable to putting runners on base for Stanton to drive in.
The current lineup situation for the Yankees should also help Stanton drive runs in during this matchup. Aaron Judge is on the IL for the Yankees heading into this series, meaning one less prolific bat to clear the bases for the Yankees before Stanton comes up to bat. Look for Stanton to take advantage of that in this game to help the Yankees hang around with the Red Sox in the first game of this massive series from New England.
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Jay Sanin is a sports bettor and writer from New York. He has been handicapping since the moment he was old enough to gamble legally, with his specialties being niche sports like the WNBA and XFL. He’s been told he has a voice for radio. He also has a face for radio.More info on Jay Sanin
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