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If the Red Sox had decent pitching, they would have a quality team because of how good the offense has been this season. Boston has consistently hit the baseball and this should continue on Tuesday night against Miami. The player who has led the Red Sox in 2023 has been Rafael Devers.
Devers signed a massive contract extension in the offseason and he is living up to all the money from the franchise. Devers is only batting .241, but he is consistently hitting doubles and homers. If he has one of those swings on Monday, he will cash this bet in a single plate appearance. He has gone over this total in three of his past five games.
The primary reason to bet on Devers in this spot is because he will face a struggling Sandy Alcantara. Alcantara benefited a lot from the shift last season, and this is why he was so dominant. Ground balls in 2022 are now base hits, and it has caused a massive spike in Alcantara’s numbers. The pitcher is 2-6 with a 5.08 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. He still has elite strikeout ability, but consistently misses spots, and we like Devers to take advantage of this on Monday.
Connor Seabold isn’t a strikeout pitcher, and he will face the Dodgers on Monday night. This automatically makes us look at the under on his strikeout total. Seabold’s prop is set at 3.5 and the under is -150. This is juiced, but the juice is only paid when you lose. We have very little confidence that Seabold can rack up four punch outs against an offense like Los Angeles.
Seabold is coming off a one strikeout night over three innings against the Braves. He gave up nine runs on nine hits in this span, and the Dodgers have a similar offense to Atlanta. The other thing working against Seabold is that he is pitching in Colorado.
The Rockies play at altitude, and the typical thought is that balls fly more at Coors. This is true, but pitchers’ offspeed arsenals have less movement in Colorado, which makes it easier to track for hitters. The combination of this, the Dodgers lineup, and Seabold’s K/9 rate gives us a lot of confidence in his strikeout prop under.
Bryan Woo is going to be one of the most dominant pitchers in the big leagues for an extended period of time. It has taken him a few starts this season to find his groove, but based on his last outing in the Bronx, he seems ready to attack big league hitters. Woo is coming off of a two hit performance over 5.2 innings against the Yankees. He was spectacular and confused New York’s hitters, racking up five strikeouts.
Woo’s strikeout total was set at 5.5 in this game for -120. It has dropped to 4.5 for -156 against the Nationals. Washington has been masters covering on the run line, but we don’t believe they’ll have a lot of success tonight against Woo. Woo has 25 strikeouts in 17.2 innings of work in 2023.
In the first game of this series, the Nationals struck out ten times over nine innings. Luis Castillo, the Seattle starter, had seven punch outs over seven innings. We don’t believe Woo will go this deep into the game, but five strikeouts over five innings is a realistic performance from the youngster.
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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