Best NRFI Bets Today: Back Messick Against the New York Yankees

With the New York Yankees struggling to string together their Hits, Parker Messick will have a great opportunity to get off to a hot start as he excels at avoiding contact. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles with a pair of productive arms set to take the mound.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Wednesday, June 10

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New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians - Carlos Rodon vs. Parker Messick (1:10 PM, EST)

With the reigning AL MVP out of the lineup, the New York Yankees will struggle to open up the scoring in the first inning against Cleveland, battling it out against Parker Messick and a productive Guardians defense. The superstar's absence is bound to cause a major shift in the current MLB MVP odds as well.

Under 0.5 Run (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though the New York Yankees are listed as a top contender in current World Series predictions, their lack of contact ability is certainly alarming, ranking well below league average in Hit Rate. Their lack of production on offense brings in a higher amount of negative variance in their contests, lowering their chances of winning.

Heading into Tuesday night’s contest against the Cleveland Guardians, expect the Yankees to continue to struggle with making contact as they face off against Parker Messick who is averaging an ERA of 2.40 while generating less than one Hit Against per inning. Especially with Messick’s back end smothering the Yankees gaps in coverage, surrounding him with a group who ranks fifth in Fielding Percentage.

Like the Yankees, the Guardians have also struggled with making contact, sitting in the bottom ten in Hit Rate. With Carlos Rodon generating over one Strikeout per inning while giving up less than one Hit Against, expect the Yankees pitcher to neutralize the Guardians bats at the plate and hold them scoreless in the first inning.

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Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles - George Kirby vs. Brandon Young (6:35 PM, EST)

George Kirby will be able to round back into form against Baltimore, taking advantage of an offense who strikes out at one of the highest rates in the league.

Under 0.5 Run (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It has been a turbulent start to the year for George Kirby, kicking off his 2026 campaign with an ERA of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.282. Kirby’s struggles on the mound can be attributed to his lack of command, generating over one Hit Against per Inning Pitch while aggressively throwing over the plate.

Fortunately for Kirby, the Seattle Mariners pitcher will have a great opportunity to bounce back against the Baltimore Orioles by attacking a lineup who ranks in the top-5 in Strikeout Rate. If the Orioles are able to barrel up the ball, the support Kirby receives will help negate their contact, fielding a back end who resides near the top of the board in Adjusted Defensive Rating and in Fielding Percentage.

On the other end, Brandon Young is projected to get the start for the Orioles, a productive arm who is averaging an ERA of 3.47 while giving up less than one Hit per inning. With the Mariners struggling to make contact per their below league average mark in Hit Rate, expect Young to make quick work of the top of their order and keep a clean sheet in the first inning.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Shohei Ohtani vs. Jared Jones - With Jared Jones on the mound, expect the Los Angeles Dodgers to get in scoring position from the opening pitch, battling it out against an arm who is averaging an ERA of 4.82, a WHIP of 1.607, and a FIP of 5.04.

• Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Jesus Luzardo vs. Max Scherzer - Positive regression looms large over the Philadelphia Phillies as they face off against the Toronto Blue Jays Max Scherzer who is averaging an ERA of 9.64 while supported by a defense who ranks near the bottom of the board in Defensive Efficiency.

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