When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >

Best NRFI Bets This Weekend, April 15-16

Written by: Max Heering
Published April 15, 2023
13 min read
Best NRFI Bets This Weekend

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres - Freddy Peralta (R) vs Seth Lugo (R) 

Under 0.5 Runs (-120 at Caesars Sportsbook)

🔥 Claimed by 161 people this week!

Caesars

4.3/5

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

21+ | T&Cs Apply. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

This one is my lock of the week, as we have two pitchers on the mound that have dominated to begin 2023. Peralta’s resurgence has been impressive after a rough 2022 campaign. He once again looks like a Cy Young candidate, allowing one run and striking out 14 through 12 innings this season. While Peralta will be up against an elite Padres lineup, his stuff makes it hard to hit the first time through the lineup. I’m confident he sits the Padres down in order in the first inning on Saturday.

The Padres Seth Lugo is in his first year in San Diego and is back in a starting rotation. After spending the last few years as a reliever with the Mets, Lugo has been fantastic through his first two starts. He has pitched 13 innings, surrendering two runs and striking out 12. While he came out of the bullpen against Milwaukee last season, he did throw for three scoreless innings.

I always love taking the under in games played in pitchers' ballparks. San Diego is very pitcher-friendly and limits big run totals early in the game. That will be especially true for a Brewers lineup with questions at the top (last night not withstanding). Expect Lugo to cruise through the first, but struggle after that.

New York Mets vs Oakland A’s - Carlos Carrasco (R) vs Shintaro Fujinami (R) 

Over 0.5 Runs ( -135 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

🔥 Claimed by 126 people this week!

DraftKings

4.8/5

Get a No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000

21+ | T&Cs apply

As bad as Carrasco has been to start the season (11.42 ERA), Fujinmi has been even worse (17.55). Carrasco allowed three runs to the Marlins in the first innings of his last start and hasn’t shown he’s close to turning that around. The veteran starter is struggling with his control early this year, resulting in the high home run and walk tools. In 8 ⅔ innings this season, Carrasco has allowed three long balls and seven walks. The A’s lineup is terrible, but even they can succeed against those numbers.

Fujinami’s first season in the MLB is off to a dreadful start. He has only thrown for 6 ⅔ innings in two starts, allowing 13 runs and seven walks. The former Japan star has made it through a clean first inning in his first two starts, but this Mets offense will capitalize early. With two games worth of tape, expect the Mets to exploit the many weaknesses that Fujinami has shown.

While the A’s lineup is atrocious, they scored a run in the first inning of their last four games. In fact, Oakland’s last five games featured at least one run in the first inning. Combine that with a Mets lineup due to break out, and you have a recipe for a big first inning.

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros - Jon Gray (R) vs Hunter Brown (R) 

Over 0.5 Runs (-105 at Caesars Sportsbook)

🔥 Claimed by 161 people this week!

Caesars

4.3/5

$1,000 First Bet on Caesars

21+ | T&Cs Apply. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

There is much to love about this bet, with two of the AL’s top offenses taking the field. As of Friday, the Rangers are sixth in the MLB in runs (67), while the Astros sit just behind in seventh (66). While we expected this from the Astros, the Rangers have surprised fans nationwide. Consistency has been an issue, but Texas has shown their lineup is more than capable of putting up big totals. In their last three games, the Rangers scored twice in the first inning.

Veteran Jon Gray will get the ball for the Rangers on Saturday. The pitcher is coming off a solid 2022 campaign with Texas and has been reliable to begin the season. However, he has an issue with walks and hits. While it isn’t overwhelming, it can be a big issue against a team like the Astros. Gray faced the Astros once last season and gave up one of his two runs in the first inning. 

After a sluggish start to the season, the Astros' offense has woken up to average over six runs over their last five games. They have scored in the first inning in two of their previous four games, showing that the top of this lineup is finally settling. On the mound, they will be starting rookie Hunter Brown. The pitcher appeared in just seven games last season but has started 2023 off well. He is 1-0 in two starts, surrendering four runs and eight hits. He is developing into a nice piece of this rotation but will be due for a regression. Look for the Rangers to attack him early to force that first-inning run.

Catch More of our Daily MLB Picks

21+ | T&Cs Apply. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Claim Now
Image for Max Heering

AUTHOR

Max Heering

429 Articles

Max Heering graduated from the University of Kansas Sport Management program in May 2020. Max follows and writes about the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, MLS, college football, and college basketball. In his free time, you can catch Max draining threes on the basketball court. Email: [email protected]

More info on Max Heering
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2024 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.