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The first game we are targeting in the NRFI betting market on Tuesday is the NL Central matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers. Corbin Burnes is on the mound for Milwaukee in this contest. But there are many other reasons to back the NRFI side of this game, as we should see a scoreless affair going into the second inning of play in Wisconsin.
Burnes has been pitching well, working his way back into the NL Cy Young discussion with a 9-5 record and a 3.49 ERA. But Reds starter Andrew Abbott has been pitching well in his own right, posting a 5-2 record and a 2.10 ERA in his 55.2 innings of work so far in 2023. This pitching matchup certainly lends itself to the NRFI coming in successfully on Tuesday, as do the first-inning betting trends on both sides.
Both of these teams have been held scoreless in just over two-thirds of their first innings on offense so far this year. On top of that, the Brewers rank fifth in baseball by holding their opponents scoreless 77% of the time in the opening inning of play. Look for both of those trends to continue, as the Reds and Brewers will both be kept off of the scoreboard in the opening frame.
The Subway Series will commence in the Bronx on Tuesday, as the New York Mets and New York Yankees will play a two-game series at Yankee Stadium. These teams split their two games in Queens back in June, and we should see another evenly-matched series this time around. That will start with a scoreless first inning, as the NRFI should come in for this game at -115 odds.
Justin Verlander will face off with Domingo German in this game’s pitching matchup, which lends itself nicely to betting on a scoreless first frame. Verlander is just 4-5, but has a 3.47 ERA, and his level on the mound has been improving steadily of late. German, meanwhile, is 5-6 with a 4.52 ERA but has shown that he is capable of greatness as he has a perfect game under his belt on the year.
New York’s National League team has also struggled to score runs in the first inning across the board. They have been held scoreless in the opening inning over 80% of the time, with only the Miami Marlins being shut down more often in their half of the first. Expect German and the Yankees to shut them down again here to help us cash another NRFI wager in this all-New York showdown.
Our final MLB NRFI bet for Tuesday comes from Los Angeles, where the Toronto Blue Jays will face the LA Dodgers. A couple of relatively disappointing starting pitchers are on the mound for this game. But getting this NRFI at even odds is too good an opportunity to pass up, as the ceilings for these two pitchers is still high despite their numbers on the season so far.
Chris Bassitt will get the start for the Blue Jays, as he enters with a 10-5 record and a 3.92 ERA. He will be opposed by Julio Urias, who has been an underwhelming 7-6 with a 5.02 ERA. But with both men averaging around a strikeout per inning, they are still tricky enough for opposing hitters to deal with.
The even odds for this bet are the real sticking point of this wager, though. The Dodgers have been held scoreless in the first inning less than any team in baseball this year, but they have still been shut down 59.6% of the time in the first. With the Blue Jays going down quietly 74% of the time in the first inning as well, the chance of the NRFI hitting is not terrible.
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Jay Sanin is a sports bettor and writer from New York. He has been handicapping since the moment he was old enough to gamble legally, with his specialties being niche sports like the WNBA and XFL. He’s been told he has a voice for radio. He also has a face for radio.More info on Jay Sanin
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