Best NRFI Bets Today, June 28
Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers - Joey Wentz (LHP) vs Dane Dunning (RHP)
Over 0.5 Runs (-128 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
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The Detroit Tigers should have a tough time picking up a win on Wednesday against the Texas Rangers. Detroit is 16-23 on the road this season, but the one positive for them is they have been able to score in this series. On Monday, Detroit scored seven runs, so their bats have been relatively hot as of late.
On the other side, the Rangers have consistently had one of the best offenses in baseball. They’ve scored nearly 200 more runs than Detroit this season, and have an OBP that’s 41 points higher. Texas’ offense, combined with the fact that Joey Wentz will pitch for Detroit, makes this game ideal for a YRFI.
Joey Wentz has been horrendous this season, with a 1-8 record and a 6.72 ERA. He has a 1.58 WHIP and has allowed 77 hits in 67 innings with 14 homers. Dane Dunning has been solid for Texas, so for a run to be scored in the first inning, it will most likely be off the bats of the Rangers. Texas has blasted 106 homers this season, and Wentz consistently makes mistakes. The Rangers got to Gerrit Cole in the first inning of their game over the weekend, and the same should occur against Wentz on Wednesday.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs - Aaron Nola (RHP) vs Drew Smyly (LHP)
Under 0.5 Runs (-115 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
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The Phillies and Cubs will battle from Wrigley Field on Wednesday night. The wind is blowing in at Wrigley, and the total is set at eight runs. These two offenses have a lot of pop throughout their lineup, but it will likely take them a little time to get going on Wednesday.
Aaron Nola will take the ball for the Phillies. He is 6-5 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. Nola has great command, and this is complemented by a powerful fastball. He has recorded 98 strikeouts this season and has been a bulk innings pitcher who comes out firing. Drew Smyly will throw for the Cubs, and he is 7-4 on the season with a 3.38 ERA.
When Smyly has tended to fall apart, it has been in the later innings of games. He pitches well the first time through the order, and this is a reason to look at the NRFI in this contest. The batter to watch at the top of the order is Kyle Schwarber, but if Smyly can neutralize his bat, we like the NRFI in this contest.
New York Yankees vs Oakland Athletics - Domingo German (RHP) vs JP Sears (RHP)
0.5 Runs Scored in First Inning (-125 on FanDuel Sportsbook)
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Domingo German has been wildly inconsistent over his past two starts. He was throwing very well before getting shelled by the Red Sox and Mariners in back to back weeks. Although, the one saving grace for German in this spot is that he will face the Athletics on Wednesday night. Oakland has one of the worst offenses in baseball, and they scored two runs in the opening game of this series.
However, the Yankees only scored one and lost to Oakland, the worst team in MLB, on Tuesday. New York isn’t hitting the baseball in any capacity, and that’s why it’s best to take the NRFI in this spot. JP Sears will throw for the Athletics and his WHIP is 1.03. He is a great locator that doesn’t allow a ton of hits. When he does make a mistake, he consistently gives up homers, but New York’s offense hasn’t been clicking without Aaron Judge.
New York has turned into one of the worst offenses in baseball without their best player. This is difficult for Yankees futures bettors to watch, but it’s a reason to bet on New York’s NRFIs moving forward, especially against a team like the Athletics.
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