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Best YRFI Bets Today: Start Your Day Fading the Tigers and Cardinals

Written by: Kody Malstrom
Published April 30, 2024
11 min read
Best YRFI Bets Today 04 30 2024 Cardinals Kyle Gibson

After getting canceled the day before due to poor weather, we are once again targeting the Detroit Tigers and St. Louis Cardinals for a potential YRFI as they roll out two new underwhelming pitchers in their afternoon matchup. We then turn our sights towards the struggling Houston Astros as they look to turn their season around after a poor start to their year. For more information about the YRFI market and what factors into them being worth a wager, you can read it here.

As for where to wager on YRFIs, the FanDuel sportsbook has been the industry leader for the market as they routinely put out lines before everyone else and at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile apps. If you have not signed up yet with the FanDuel sportsbook, you can receive $150 in bonus bets for simply creating an account and winning your first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to wager the $5 on a heavy favorite after signing up, maximizing your chances of winning the bet and collecting the $150 in bonus bets.

For more betting opportunities check our list of the best MLB betting sites and curated list of MLB promos and bonuses.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers - Kyle Gibson vs. Jack Flaherty (3:40 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (+105) at FanDuel

After getting rained out the day before, we are now once again targeting the St. Louis Cardinals and Detroit Tigers as they roll out two underwhelming pitchers in their game one matchup. Two new names hit the field from yesterday’s breakdown, now fading the likes of Kyle Gibson for the St. Louis Cardinals and Jack Flaherty for the Detroit Tigers.

Starting with Gibson, Kyle has struggled to punch out opposing batters which has put him in an unfortunate position with opposing runners in scoring position. Kyle Gibson rolls into this game with an ERA of 4.35, a WHIP of 1.194, a lowly 20 strikeouts, 25 hits allowed, 12 batters walked, and 15 earned runs against in five games played.

While it has happened at spurts, the fact of the matter is that his inability to punch out leaves him exposed against elite contact batters. The Tigers may rank below average in total hits, but preseason projections had them near the top of the league indicating that positive regression looms large for their young team.

Speaking of the Tigers, they trot out Jack Flaherty for their game one matchup in an attempt to claw back up the top of the AL Central division standings after a turbulent past few weeks. A big reason for their success has stemmed from their defense and elite pitching prowess, yet Flaherty has yet to do their part as he has struggled so far this season.

Flaherty comes into this matchup with an ERA of 4.91, a WHIP of 1.159, 36 strikeouts, 30 hits allowed, four batters walked, and 16 earned runs against in five games played. His high strikeout rate and low amount of walks shows that Flaherty resides more on the aggressive side, leaving him exposed to getting rocked by productive contact batters like Wilson Contreras. His high ERA and low WHIP indicates positive regression, yet his tendency to favor the batters box may keep the regression at bay.

Place your YRFI bets at FanDuel CTA icon

Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros - Carlos Carrasco vs. Hunter Brown (8:10 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-128) at FanDuel

Speaking of positive regression, no team in the MLB screams positive regression more than the Houston Astros. The Astros have been the recipient of poor end game luck, sitting at 9-19 while still putting up World Series contender type metrics as a whole. Especially on the offensive end, ranking third in total hits, fifth in on base percentage, and first in total strikeouts against.

While their offense has been as elite as it gets, their defense has been a different story. Especially whenever Hunter Brown takes the mound, kicking off his 2024 campaign with a miserable start. Brown comes into the contest with a shockingly high ERA of 9.68, a WHIP of 2.491, just 17 strikeouts, 32 hits allowed, 12 batters walked, and 19 earned runs against in five games played.

While the Guardians Carlos Carrasco has managed to get off to a far better start than his counterpart, he still has his plate full against an elite top of the Astros batting order. His 4.63 ERA and 1.629 WHIP will be tested by the likes of Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, and Kyle Tucker who all possess an elite blend of power and contact ability. Expect the Astros offense to continue to succeed while Brown leaves the door open for the Guardians to get on the board early as well.

Head to FanDuel and place your YRFI bets CTA icon


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Kody Malstrom

80 Articles

Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.

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