After backing the NRFI in the previous contest between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Chicago White Sox on Monday’s slate, we now flip the script by taking the YRFI as both offenses will be presented with early scoring opportunities. We then turn our sights towards the Houston Astros and Colorado Rockies as both units get the benefit of going up against a pair of underwhelming pitchers. For more information about the YRFI market and what factors make them worth a wager, take a look at our breakdown of what are YRFI bets.
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It’s a matchup between the current World Series betting favorite and the team with the worst record in the league when the Los Angeles Dodgers battle it out against the Chicago White Sox. We targeted the NRFI in their previous contest as the Dodgers had the task of trying to generate production against surging Cy Young contender Garrett Crochet while the White Sox offense continues to play as the worst units in the league.
It’s a vastly different game script this time around as both teams trot out a pair of struggling arms that are prone to getting rocked from the opening pitch. That bodes especially well on the White Sox end as their offense needs every bit of help that they can get as they are far and away the worst unit in the league. As of writing, the White Sox offense ranks dead last in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.
Normally a clear stay away for any market involving offensive success, the White Sox will be given a great opportunity to match the Dodgers offensive production as Bobby Miller has had a rough start to his 2024 campaign. Miller takes the mound for the Dodgers with an ERA of 6.00, a WHIP of 1.444, a FIP of 4.59, 20 Total Strikeouts, 17 Hits Allowed, and 12 Earned Runs Against in just 4 games played.
As for the Dodgers, it should be business as usual for the likes of Will Smith, new MVP front runner Shohei Ohtani, and former Total Hits leader Freddie Freeman as they are set to face off against the reeling Chris Flexen. Like Miller, Flexen has also struggled with keeping opposing runners out of scoring position as he enters the contest with an ERA of 5.03 and a WHIP of 1.391.
Bet on Over 0.5 Run (-115) at FanDuel
While the Rockies rival the White Sox for the worst record in the league, their offense has shockingly played at a competitive level for a team nearly in last place. Ranked league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage, they make for a sneaky good YRFI target as we also get to fade their defense that ranks dead last in Team Total Pitching ERA and Defensive Efficiency.
Rockies starting pitcher Austin Gomber has not helped them in their attempts of turning around their defense as he enters the contest with an ERA of 4.36, a WHIP of 1.297, 75 Hits Allowed, and 37 Earned Runs Against in 14 games played. Expect his struggles to continue against one of the most dangerous top of the orders in the league with Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, and the always dangerous Yordan Alvarez kicking things off.
As for the Astros defense, that side of the field has been a thorn in their side and a major reason to why they are sizably behind the Seattle Mariners in the AL West standings. While they rank above league average in Defensive Efficiency, their Team Total Pitching ERA resides in the bottom half of the league. Hunter Brown has been one of the main culprits for their low level of play, taking the mound with an ERA of 4.72 and a WHIP of 1.413.
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