Best YRFI Bets Today, October 4

Written by: Michael Hanich
Published October 4, 2023
5 min read
Best YRFI Bets Today October 04

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays – Nathan Eovaldi (R) vs. Zach Elfin (R)

Over 0.5 Runs (-120 at DraftKings)

The Tampa Bay Rays didn't have a good day in the first game of the Wild Card Series versus the Texas Rangers. Only 19,704 fans were in attendance, the lowest attendance in 104 years for any team wildcard series appearance. Not only did the Rays have a low turnout in fan attendance, but the Rangers defeated the Rays 4-0 to claim game one.

The Rays only accounted for six hits and only one walk while striking seven times. They didn't account for a single hit in the final two innings.

This Wednesday's game two will be the last chance for the Rays to establish a rhythm and take the series to game three. The Rays and the Rangers are going into the game with their healthy ace pitcher.

Tampa Bay will go with Zach Elfin as the starting pitcher (3.50 ERA in 177.2 innings pitched). The Rangers are going with Nathan Eovaldi (3.63 ERA in 144 innings pitched).

The Rays are going to be working off emotions and desperation to take game two over the Rangers. They will look to start early with their solid batting order.

The Rangers found their way to the scoreboard in the top of the second inning. They can just as easily score as Marcus Semien and Corey Seager, the two players at the top of the Rangers' lineup, scored on Tuesday.

After a scoreless bout in the first inning of game one, there is a strong chance for a run in the first inning despite the stellar starting pitchers.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins – Jose Berrios (R) vs. Sonny Gray (R)

Over 0.5 Runs (-110 at DraftKings)

On Tuesday, the Minnesota Twins came into the wild card series at home versus the Toronto Blue Jays as serious underdogs. They came into Tuesday's game with 18 straight postseason losses, but that was erased thanks to a 3-1 win over the Blue Jays.

The Twins got off to an early lead by scoring two runs in the first inning. Minnesota is a team that has gotten better at the plate as the season has progressed. The Twins finished the regular season ranked fifth in the AL in runs accounted for (778), ninth in hits accounted for (1335), first in home runs (233), second in walks (594), 10th in batting average (.243), fifth in on-base percentage (.326) and fourth in slugging percentage (.427).

The Twins showed their potential for scoring early thanks to a two-run home run from second baseman Edouard Julien. If the first batters for Minnesota can get on base and avoid striking out, there is a solid chance that they can create a power play with another multiple-run home run.

The Blue Jays are a more efficient team at the plate as they are more careful than the Twins. Toronto is eighth in the AL in runs accounted for (746), fifth in hits accounted for (1423), third in fewest strikeouts encountered (1303) and fifth in batting average (.256).

Toronto is going with Jose Berrios (3.65 ERA in 189.2 innings pitched), while Minnesota is going with its ace pitcher Sonny Gray (2.79 ERA in 184 innings pitched). The Twins are more capable of holding their opponent to no runs in the first inning. They are in a perfect position for another hot start in the first inning.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Braxton Garrett (L) vs. Aaron Nola (R)

Over 0.5 Runs (+100 at DraftKings)

There was limited scoring in game one of the wild series between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies took the 4-1 home win thanks to the fact that they got most of their production in the third and fourth innings.

Both the Phillies and the Marlins relied on their more efficient starting pitchers for game one of the wild series. The Marlins are going with Braxton Garrett (3.66 ERA in 159.2 innings pitched) as the starting pitcher on Wednesday, while the Phillies are going with Aaron Nola (4.46 ERA in 193.2 innings pitched).

The Marlins have a better chance of scoring in the first inning as opposed to game one due to the Phillies' starting pitcher. While the Marlins have a better opportunity to score in the first inning, the Phillies have the experience. Philadelphia ranks 10th in the league with a 31.29% success rate in scoring during the first inning.

The Phillies are ranked among the top teams in the NL in most batting categories this regular season. They finished the regular season ranked fourth in runs accounted for (796), fourth in hits accounted for (1417), fourth in double-base hits accounted for (291), third in home runs accounted for (220), third in stolen bases (141), fourth in batting average (.256), fifth in on-base percentage (.327) and third in slugging percentage (.438).

The Phillies have the experience and the talent to account for early runs and the Marlins have the opportunity. Expect one of these teams to make a serious case to start the game early with runs.

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Michael Hanich

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Michael Hanich is a sports journalist/analyst with a wide variety of experience in the newspaper and digital field. He has a love for all sports. The leagues that he covers are College Football, the NFL, the NBA, the NHL, College Basketball (men’s and women’s), the MLB, Lacrosse, Volleyball, and the WNBA.
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