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Image for Tony Garcia Tony Garcia - Updated October 14, 2022

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Predictions, Odds, Picks

  • Even pitching matchup with aces going head-to-head
  • Brewers look to get offense going, Cardinals hope to stay rolling
  • X-factor to watch on both sides

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Cardinals Vs Brewers 14 04

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St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction and Picks

The Cardinals lineup has been great, when they’ve been able to play. St. Louis is averaging more than six runs per game, but Woodruff will be the best pitcher its seen to date. Meanwhile Milwaukee has scored just 13 runs in five games and Wainwright is always a pain to deal with. St. Louis has missed games in two of its past three days so it may be a little rusty, which is why we’re taking the under in this one.

Under 8 (-110)

  • Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 games as an underdog
  • Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road underdog
  • Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day
  • Cardinals are 22-6 in their last 28 road games
  • Cardinals are 15-4 in their last 19 vs. National League Central
  • Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 overall
  • Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record
  • Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 road games
  • Cardinals are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings
  • Cardinals are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Milwaukee
  • Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite
  • Brewers are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. National League Central
  • Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 Thursday games
  • Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a home favorite

Garcia’s 2022 record: (4-1)

Battle Between Last Year’s Cy Young Candidates

Adam Wainwright refuses to age. The 40-year-old is pitching in his 17th big league season, and frankly, he appears as consistent as ever.

Wainwright finished No. 7 in Cy Young voting last season, going 17-7 with a 3.05 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and 174 strikeouts in 206.1 innings – the most innings he’s thrown in a season since 2014.

The man they call Uncle Charlie got off to another stellar start to open this season, picking up a win over the Pirates while throwing six innings, giving up no runs, no walks, just five hits and six strikeouts. Wainwright faced the Brewers five times last season, the Cardinals were 4-1 in those games and Wainwright gave up two runs or fewer in four of those games.

Brandon Woodruff, who had a fantastic season last year is definitely looking to bounce back from his first season.

Woodruff got lit up in his first start, going just 3.2 innings while giving up seven earned runs on six hits and three walks with just two strikeouts – which was worse than any start he had last season.

Woodruff finished fifth in Cy Young voting last season – he went just 9-10 but had a 2.56 ERA, 0.965 WHIP, and struck out 211 batters in a career-high 179.1 innings. Here’s betting he looks more like that on Thursday.

Which Offenses Will Show Up?

The Cardinals offense has been rolling to start the season. The Cardinals only scored four runs in their lone loss, but in the other three victories have scored nine, six and six.

In the last game, it was the best player in team history – the recently returned Albert Pujols – who provided the punch. Pujols hit his first home run as a member of the Cardinals in more than a decade, part of a three-hit game in a 6-5 win over the Royals.

But it’s Nolan Arenado who has truly been “raking” early this season. St. Louis’ superstar the third baseman is hitting .438 (7-of-16) with three doubles, three home runs (first in the MLB), nine RBIs (T-2nd), and is fourth in OPS 1.658.

On the flip side, the Brewers have just three home runs and 13 RBIs as an entire team. Rowdy Tellez has one of those long balls and paces the team with four RBIs and a .978 OPS. Willy Adames has a team-high 11 total bases but also has struck out a team-high six times.

X-factors to Watch

Usually, we don’t go with such a big name as an x-factor, but for the Brewers, we’re looking at Christian Yelich.

After posting 7.1+ WARs in 2018 and 2019, Yelich has a 1.4 WAR combined in 2020-21. So far this year, he’s 5-of-19 with two doubles but has yet to hit a home run. We are looking at Yelich because he has that lefty-righty matchup that we look for when trying to find someone who could get a couple of hits.

On the flip side, we’re going to look at Yadier Molina. The catcher has gotten off to a slow start in his final season (1-of-12) and if he can get it going, then this offense becomes truly dangerous.

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How to Watch Cardinals vs Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Information
Teams St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers
Location American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Time Thursday, April 14, 5:14  p.m. EST
How to watch Bally Sports Wisconsin, Bally Sports Midwest

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Tony Garcia

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Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.

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