Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

  • Mets with the pitching edge
  • Can Cubs offense make up the difference
  • X-factor to watch on both sides

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Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Odds

Team Run Spread Money Line Total
Chicago Cubs +1.5 (-167)
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+123
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O 8.5 (-106)
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New York Mets -1.5 (+140)
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-143
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U 8.5 (-115)
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Trends to Watch

  • Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. teams with a winning record
  • Cubs are 4-2 in their last 6 vs. National League East
  • Cubs are 20-8 in their last 28 overall
  • Cubs are 5-11 in their last 16 games as a road underdog
  • Under is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 games as an underdog
  • Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Cubs are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in New York
  • Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite
  • Mets are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Mets are 16-5 in their last 21 home games
  • Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Predictions and Picks

Our Pick
The Cubs are one of the better offensive teams in baseball while no team has held opponents to fewer points than the Mets. New York has been playing well of late, now 6-2 in its last eight and quietly three games clear of the rest of the division while the Cubs are tied for the lead in the NL Central and are also 6-2 in their last eight. At the end of the day, starting pitching often wins out, so we’re going Mets money line.
The best odds for this match Odds provided by PointsBet
Mets Moneyline (-143) Bet Now

Garcia’s 2021 record: (27-20-2)

How to Watch Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Information
Teams Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets
Location Citi Field, Queens, NY
Time Tuesday, June 14, 7:00 p.m. EST
How to Watch ESPN

Mets Continue to Have the Pitching Advantage

The Mets have been winning this season because of stand-out pitching and they have the advantage in that category once again on Tuesday. New York has given up the fewest runs to its opponent of any team in baseball.

Taijuan Walker will toe the slab for the Metropolitans and looks to build on a season where he’s been a pleasant surprise in the Big Apple.

Walker is 5-2 and ranks seventh in the MLB in ERA 2.07) and is in the top 25 with a 1.03 WHIP. Walker has given up two runs or fewer in nine of 11 starts this season.

On the other side, Alec Mills enters with a 2-0 record but his numbers don’t back that up. He’s making just his second start on the season and hadn’t been great out of the bullpen — the 29-year-old righty has a 6.08 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and has gone more than three innings just once all year.

He’s also struggled with his location in his last three appearances, walking two batters in each.

Cubs Offense Needs to Find a Way

We just talked about how the Mets have one of the best pitching staffs and fortunately for the Cubs, they have one of the best offenses.

Just nine other teams have scored at least 300 runs this year and for Chicago, it’s because production is coming from all over the lineup in small part, but it’s also because all of the familiar faces are doing damage.

The four main faces from the 2016 World Series team that remain — Kris Bryant, Willson Contreras, Anthony Rizzo, and Javy Baez — are the four-team leaders in WAR. Combined the four have been seven wins above replacement and their production just keeps coming.

Rizzo is hitting .300 the last week with two home runs and seven RBIs. Kris Bryant has been on base more than any other Cub this year. Baez leads the team in home runs (14) and RBIs (40) while Contreras has the third most home runs of any catcher and second most RBIs.

Chicago has been great offensively this year, but it might not come so easily against Walker on Tuesday.

X-Factor to Watch on Both Sides

We mentioned the Mets dominance while in the field, but lately, their offense has shown more signs of life.

That’s in no small part thanks to Billy McKinney’s recent production. The Mets’ outfielder is hitting .500 (5-of-10) the last week with two home runs and six RBIs.

For Chicago, we’re going to keep our eye on the red hot Joc Pederson. The power-hitting lefty is batting .318 the last week with three home runs and five RBIs. Chicago hopes that’s a sign of things to come and that he finds his swing from May when he hit .314.

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Tony Garcia

Expert on Baseball

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.