Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Shopping at the Top for Home Run Targets

Some days, there is no sense in trying to overthink things with home run props. For Wednesday, we’ve decided to target last year’s home run king and two of the top home run leaders thus far in 2026. Granted, there’s one surprising name on our list, but for the most part, we’re going with the obvious candidates on Wednesday.

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Best Home Run Predictions for Wednesday, April 29

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Aaron Judge Anytime Home Run (+240) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Judge has hit a home run in three straight games, giving him a share of the lead for the most home runs in the majors. While it’s hard to homer in four straight games, Judge is undoubtedly one of the players who’s capable of pulling it off. Keep in mind that he’s 6 for 10 with five extra-base hits in his last three games, so Judge is scorching hot at the moment.

Surprisingly, a matchup with Nathan Eovaldi plays in Judge’s favor on Wednesday. He’s 14 for 43 (.326) with two doubles and two home runs in his career against Eovaldi, so Judge has plenty of experience against the Texas ace. More importantly, Eovaldi looks over the hill with a 5.79 ERA and nine home runs allowed, so it’s easy to envision Judge being a problem for him.

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Yordan Alvarez Anytime Home Run (+310) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Just a few days ago, Alvarez was the leader in home runs. But after four straight games without a homer, Alvarez is stuck on 11 long balls, allowing Judge to pass him. But Alvarez is 6 for 15 over those four games, so it’s not as if he’s struggling. In fact, Alvarez is in the midst of a 13-game hitting streak. He’s swinging a good bat and just needs to tap into his power.

On Wednesday, Alvarez and the Astros will face Chris Bassitt, who’s long been vulnerable to giving up home runs. While he’s only given up three home runs this season, Bassitt still owns a 6.75 ERA. The kicker is that Alvarez is 9 for 22 with five home runs in his career against Bassitt. That’s a home run every 4.5 at-bats against Bassitt, which is outrageous, and too good a track record to ignore.

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Cal Raleigh Anytime Home Run (+360) at FanDuel Sportsbook

There’s no doubt that Raleigh got off to a slow start this season after his epic 60-homer season in 2025. But he’s starting to get going, hitting five home runs in his last eight games after hitting just two home runs up to that point. Even with a .197 average, Raleigh is still unlocking his power, which is why he’s a good home run target.

Raleigh also has a favorable pitching matchup on Wednesday against Minnesota’s Taj Bradley. While he’s only faced Bradley four times in his career, Raleigh has two home runs against him. It’s a small sample size, but it’s enough for a hitter like Raleigh, especially since Bradley gave up four home runs in his last start.

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Willson Contreras Anytime Home Run (+300) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Contreras is the obvious outlier among Wednesday’s home run targets. But he has six home runs on the season, putting him on track for a new career high. Granted, Contreras might not be able to keep up that pace all season, but he’s 5 for 15 with two home runs in his last four games, so now is the time to strike while the iron is hot.

Meanwhile, he has a good track record against lefty Eric Lauer, who starts against Contreras and the Red Sox on Wednesday. He’s 5 for 13 with a home run in his career against Lauer, who currently has a 6.75 ERA. Lauer has also allowed five home runs over his last three starts, which is why Contreras is a good target.

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