Best NRFI Bets Today: Kick Off Your Day Fading the Mariners and Twins

With the Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins struggling to generate Hits, expect their struggles at the plate to continue to persist as they face off against a pair of arms who excel at avoiding contact.

Later in the night, we turn our attention towards Logan Webb who has the opportunity to bounce back by attacking the Philadelphia Phillies' underwhelming offense.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Wednesday, April 29

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Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins - George Kirby vs. Taj Bradley (1:40 PM, EST)

After going 2-8 in their last ten games, Taj Bradley must neutralize the Seattle Mariners' lowly offense to help the Minnesota Twins avoid falling further down the division standings. If this current slump continues, their AL Central odds will only continue to plummet.

Under 0.5 Run (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Taj Bradley has been a steady source of production for the Minnesota Twins rotation, averaging an ERA of 2.91 and FIP of 3.81. Bradley’s success can be attributed to his Whiff Rate, averaging less than one Hit Against and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

Heading into Wednesday night’s contest against the Seattle Mariners, expect Bradley to put together a dominant performance as he faces off against a lineup who ranks below league average in Hit Rate and in On Base Percentage. WIth Bradley excelling at avoiding contact, the Mariners will be unable to advance their runners into scoring position by stringing together their Hits, lowering their chances of scoring.

Like the Mariners, the Twins have also been unable to make contact at a consistent rate, ranking in the bottom half of the board in Hit Rate. With George Kirby on the mound, expect the Twins to continue to struggle at the plate, facing off against an arm who is averaging an ERA of 2.97, a WHIP of 1.042, and less than one Hit per inning.

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San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Logan Webb vs. Cristopher Sanchez (6:40 PM, EST)

After a slow start to the year, Logan Webb is in a great position to round back into form by exploiting the Philadelphia Phillies low level of play on offense.

Under 0.5 Run (-155) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Once considered a top contender, Logan Webb’s NL Cy Young award odds have plummeted after kicking off his 2026 campaign with an ERA of 4.86. His lack of command has made it hard for him to punch out opposing hitters, averaging less than one strikeout per inning pitched.

Fortunately for Webb, he has a great opportunity to get back up off the mat against the Philadelphia Phillies by taking advantage of a lineup who currently ranks near dead last in Contact Rate and in OPS. Especially with his back end narrowing the width of the Phillies' gaps in the outfield, surrounding Webb with a group who ranks 11th overall in Defensive Efficiency.

Battling it out against Webb is Cristopher Sanchez, a viable contender for the NL Cy Young award who is averaging an ERA of 2.94 and a FIP of 2.62. With the Giants struggling to get into scoring position per their below league average marks in Runs Scored, RBIs, and in On Base Percentage, expect Sanchez to continue to keep them off the bases and keep a clean sheet in the first inning.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles - Peter Lambert vs. Chris Bassitt - With Chris Bassitt averaging a FIP of 6.27 and more than two runners on base per inning, expect the Houston Astros to get into scoring position from the opening pitch, fielding an offense who ranks in the top-4 in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage.

• St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - Andre Pallante vs. Bubba Chandler - Expect runs to be put up on the board in the first inning with the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates facing off against a pair of arms who are both averaging less than one Strikeout per inning and a WHIP higher than 1.400.

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