Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today: No Over-Thinking with Monday’s Limited Schedule

There are some days when it’s best not to overthink home run props. With a somewhat limited schedule on Monday, we’re targeting a lot of heavy hitters. All four of our targets are having a good season, and most have a favorable pitching matchup on top of that, allowing us to keep things simple with our home run props.

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Best Home Run Predictions for Monday, June 15

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Home Run Picks for Monday, June 15

There are some fantastic home run props out there today, but some stand above the rest. Below are the players we’re locked in on. 

Ian Happ Anytime Home Run (+320) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Michael Lorenzen gets the start in this game, and we’re going to pick on him. To his credit, he faced Happ and the Cubs in his last start and was actually good, allowing just one run on two hits over five innings. But he still owns a 7.54 ERA and has given up 11 home runs this season, so until he puts together multiple good outings, we’re going to target someone on the opposing team.

We chose Happ because he has two previous home runs against Lorenzen in just 12 at-bats. He’s also Chicago’s home run leader with 16 in 2026. It helps that Happ has two home runs in his last five games and that he’s a switch-hitter, as left-handed hitters have done most of the damage against Lorenzen this year, slugging .713.

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Zach Neto Anytime Home Run (+420) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Neto finds himself in a bit of a slump, going 2 for 19 over his last four games. But when we targeted Neto last Monday, he homered for a third straight game, so we have no trouble sticking with him. After all, Neto has 13 home runs on the season, and 10 have come against right-handed pitchers, so a matchup against Ryne Nelson is a good one.

In a small sample size, Neto is 2 for 3 with a home run in his career against Nelson. More to the point, Nelson has had a hard time keeping the ball in the park this year, giving up 17 home runs. Only three pitchers have allowed more, and none are pitching on Monday. That means it’s a good idea to target someone on the Angels, and Neto is the best bet.

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Brandon Lowe Anytime Home Run (+320) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With 17 home runs on the season, Lowe has become a common target. Despite his batting average falling during the first half of June, Lowe has hit two home runs in his last four games. That means his power isn’t going anywhere, so with a favorable pitching matchup against J.T. Ginn, we like Lowe’s chances of going deep on Monday.

Lowe has a previous home run in his career against Ginn despite only two at-bats against him. While he has a 3.15 ERA, Ginn has been vulnerable to the long ball, especially against left-handed hitters. That points us to Lowe, who has a .601 slugging percentage against right-handed pitchers, making him a serious home run threat on Monday.

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Junior Caminero Anytime Home Run (+225) at FanDuel Sportsbook

When in doubt, Caminero makes an excellent home run target. Unfortunately, his odds aren’t that lucrative, but that’s to be expected for a player to just hit his 15th home run of the season on Sunday. Plus, Caminero and the Rays are facing Eric Lauer, who continues to be among the worst offenders at giving up the long ball.

Lauer gave up two home runs in his last start, conceding 15 on the season. Pitching for the Dodgers hasn’t helped to solve the problems that plagued him earlier in the season with Toronto. While Caminero doesn’t have much of a track record against Lauer, he’s Tampa’s best power hitter, making him an easy target with Lauer on the mound.

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