Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Lean on the Heavy Hitters

Wednesday is another day in which it doesn’t pay to be clever with home run props. We’re sacrificing hitters with high value and targeting four proven power hitters who are regular favorites in the MLB Home Run Leader odds.

Most of these hitters have been swinging a hot bat lately and have a favorable pitching matchup. That’s made it relatively easy to pick them and makes us confident in these picks.

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Best Home Run Predictions for Wednesday, June 24

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Home Run Picks for Wednesday, June 24

There are some fantastic home run props out there today, but some stand above the rest. Below are the players we’re locked in on. 

Bryce Harper Anytime Home Run (+370) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Targeting Harper on Wednesdays is becoming a regular occurrence. But can you blame us with the way he’s been swinging the bat lately? Harper is 10 for 18 with five extra-base hits, including two home runs, over his last four games. He’s raised his average by 20 points during that stretch, so we’ll try to strike while the iron is hot.

It doesn’t hurt that Harper and the Phillies are facing Miles Mikolas on Wednesday. Harper is 9 for 25 with two home runs in his career against Mikolas, making this a favorable matchup for him. Mikolas has also allowed 16 home runs this season, to go with his 5.47 ERA, so he’s vulnerable to the long ball.

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Kazuma Okamoto Anytime Home Run (+360) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Okamoto is nearly as hot as Harper at the moment. After a three-hit game on Tuesday, he’s 6 for 10 with two home runs over his last three games. Okamoto’s home runs have come in bunches this season, so two in the last three games suggest that more long balls could be on coming for him.

A matchup with Mike Burrows also works in Okamoto’s favor. Burrows has given up 18 home runs this season, allowing at least one in each of the last six games he’s started. He’s also given up multiple home runs in four of those six starts. Okamoto has actually been better against right-handed pitching this year, hitting 13 of his 17 home runs against righties, making Burrows a good fit for him.

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Shea Langeliers Anytime Home Run (+370) at FanDuel Sportsbook

San Francisco’s Tyler Mahle comes off the IL on Wednesday to start against Langeliers and the A’s. When he went to the IL in late May, Mahle was among the leaders in home runs allowed, conceding 11 in just 56.2 innings. With his 6.04 ERA, there isn’t a ton of hope that Mahle can turn things around after his injury.

Mahle has been hurt most by right-handed hitters, who are batting .343 and slugging .539 against him. While Langeliers has mashed lefties this year, he has hit 12 of his 19 home runs against right-handed pitchers. That makes him the best candidate on the A’s, who have far more left-handed power hitters, to take advantage of Mahle’s propensity for giving up home runs.

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Manny Machado Anytime Home Run (+390) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Machado has been a frustrating anomaly for the Padres this season. On the one hand, he’s only batting .185 this year. On the other hand, Machado has 14 home runs, so when he does get hits, he’s providing power. At the moment, Machado is actually showing signs of heating up, going 6 for 16 with two doubles and two home runs over his last four games.

However, we’re mostly targeting him on Wednesday because of his track record against Atlanta’s Martin Perez. Machado is 7 for 20 with a home run against the lefty, which is no small feat. Machado has a much higher slugging percentage this season against lefties, and with his recent hot spell, he’s worth a flier given his past success against Perez.

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