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Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees: Game 3 Should Bring Us the Best Pitching Matchup

Written by: Tony Garcia
Updated October 14, 2022
13 min read
  • Mariners new ace vs Yankees stud
  • Potential playoff preview?
  • X-factors to watch

Mariners vs Yankees Odds

The odds in red are the best odds available at the time being. Click on the odds below, sign-up and place your bet!

Mariners Vs Yankees 2022 08 03 Luis Castillo

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Mariners vs Yankees Pick

The Mariners are hopeful the addition of Luis Castillo will give them a legitimate chance to end their playoff-drought that extends more than two seasons. The Yankees are always favored when Cole is on the mound, but they’re just 4-3 in his last seven starts with losses to the Reds and Orioles during that time. There’s a lot of juice to take Seattle!

Mariners moneyline (+150) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Garcia’s 2022 record: (29-21)

Pick made on 08/02/2022 at 09:04 PM EST

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  • Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 Wednesday games
  • Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 vs American League East
  • Mariners are 19-7 in their last 26 road games
  • Mariners are 21-8 in their last 29 overall
  • Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
  • Mariners are 2-7 in their last 9 vs a team with a winning record
  • Under is 8-3-1 in Mariners last 12 games vs a right-handed starter
  • Over is 13-5-1 in Mariners last 19 vs American League East
  • Mariners are 4-13 in the last 17 meetings in New York
  • Under is 41-17-4 in the last 62 meetings
  • Yankees are 39-13 in their last 52 home games
  • Yankees are 63-29 in their last 92 overall
  • Yankees are 43-21 in their last 64 games vs a right-handed starter
  • Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 home games
  • Over is 10-2-1 in Yankees last 13 vs a team with a winning record

Mariners vs Yankees Predictions

Elite Pitching Matchup in Rubber Match

The Yankees won Game 1 of the series while the Mariners took Game 2, but it’s Game 3 that should bring us the best pitching matchup thus far.

The Mariners will show off their new toy, Luis Castillo, who they got from the Reds in what many are saying was the best starting pitcher acquisition at the deadline. Castillo missed the first month of the season with an injury, but has been stellar in his 14 starts thus far this season.

While he’s only 4-4 on the year, Castillo has just a 2.90 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 90 strikeouts in 85 innings. He comes off his best month of the season in July, where he pitched seven innings in each of his four starts, giving up one run or fewer in three of the outings and striking out 30 while walking just seven.

Castillo has quality starts in seven of his past eight outings.

He will be countered by one of the best starters in the American League in Gerrit Cole, who has been lights out for the Yankees all season long. Cole is 9-3 on the year with a 3.30 ERA and 1.03 WHIP and leads all of baseball with 163 strikeouts in 125.1 innings.

Cole’s strikeout rate, whiff rate and chase rate all rank in the top 10 percent in major league baseball.

Potential Playoff Preview in August

There are still two months left in the regular season but if it were to end today, the Yankees would be the top seed in the American League and the Mariners would be the final team in in the Wild Card spot.

Losers of four of their last six and just 5-7 since the All-Star break, the rest seemed to derail the Mariners’ momentum who had won 14 straight going into the mid-summer classic. While their offense hasn’t been great this season, ranking 20th in slugging, 23rd in runs scored and 25th in batting average, the potential is still there.

Julio Rodriguez, Ty France, Eugenio Suarez, J.P Crawford, Jesse Winker and Adam Frazier are a formidable lineup for any opponent the problem is Suarez (.468), Crawford (.585), Frazier (.665) and Winker (.669) all have below-average OPS’s since the All-Star break.

The Yankees, meanwhile, aren’t having any trouble offensively, ranking first in the league in slugging and runs scored and second in OBP. They are, of course, led by soon-to-be AL MVP Aaron Judge, who hit yet another home run on Tuesday, his league-leading 44th of the season.

He’s on another planet since the All-Star break, having hit 10 home runs in 13 games, with a ridiculous .413 average, .518 OBP and 1.648 OPS (more than double the league average). DJ Lemahieu (.471 OBP) and Anthony Rizzo (.983 OPS) are both having impressive starts to the second half as well.

X-Factors to Watch

We’re going to go with the man who has been the Yankees actual X-factor the last 50 games of the season in Matt Carpenter. In 79 at-bats against righties, he’s hitting .304 with a .421 OBP and 1.181 OPS.

For Seattle, we’re looking at Sam Haggerty. The outfielder has just 70 at bats this season but is hitting .286 with an .805 OPS – accumulating a 1.0 WAR to this point.

Take a look at the predictions for World Series Winner, here!

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How to Watch Mariners vs Yankees

Teams Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees
Location Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Time Wednesday, August 3, 1:05 PM EST
How to watch Root Sports, YES Network
Image for Tony Garcia


Tony Garcia

180 Articles

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.

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