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New York Mets at San Diego Padres Predictions, Odds, Best Picks

Written by: Tony Garcia
Updated October 14, 2022
13 min read
  • Both offenses try to keep going after extra innings on Sunday
  • Pitching matchup looks pretty even
  • X-factors to watch

Mets at Padres Odds

New York Mets At San Diego Padres 06 06 22

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New York at San Diego Prediction and Picks

It’s a true pick ‘em, with both the Mets and Padres coming in at -110 on the Moneyline. The Mets are playing as well as anybody in baseball, but the Padres enter with momentum too after taking three straight from Milwaukee. Blake Snell is starting to round into form, but the Padres are yet to win a game he starts and that probably doesn’t change Monday.

We like the Mets moneyline.

  • Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win
  • Mets are 8-2 in their last 10 overall
  • Mets are 12-5 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
  • Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League West
  • Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 road games
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter
  • Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 overall
  • Over is 6-2-1 in Mets last 9 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 head-to-head meetings
  • Padres are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. National League East
  • Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Under is 9-3 in Padres last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • Under is 8-3-2 in Padres last 13 overall
  • Under is 18-7-1 in Padres last 26 home games
  • Under is 8-3 in Padres last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

Garcia’s 2022 record: (18-12)

Both Sides Get Extra Innings Win on Sunday

The Mets just keep on winning. After dropping the first two games of the series against the preseason National League favorite Los Angeles Dodgers, New York took the final two games of the series to earn the split including a 5-4 victory in extras on Sunday.

That’s now eight wins in the past 10 games for New York, which continues to have one of the hottest offenses in the game. The Mets scored just one run in those two losses on Thursday and Friday, but in their eight wins over the past 10 games, they’ve scored 63 runs.

Their +76 run differential is the third-best in all of baseball and their 286 runs scored is second behind only the Dodgers.

Meanwhile, San Diego has done a good job keeping pace with the aforementioned Dodgers. The Padres (33-21) are just two games back in the NL West race and just took three straight games from the NL Central-leading Milwaukee Brewers to snap their four-game losing streak.

The latest win, 6-4 in extras, came courtesy of a Jake Cronenworth 3-run shot in the 10th inning. San Diego now gets to start a stretch where it plays 14 of its next 21 games at home where they will look to get their offense going.

The Padres rank in the middle or near the bottom of the league in a number of categories including runs (T-17th), OBP (17th), batting average (.20th) and slugging percentage (27th).

Matchup of Former Aces

Neither Carlos Carrasco or Blake Snell are what they once were, but both have winning pedigrees and are capable of dominating an opposing lineup on any given night.

Snell, who missed more than five weeks earlier this season with a groin injury, is still working his way back into form and in his most recent outing looked quite good. Snell is 0-2 with a 4.80 ERA but has limited base runners with just a 1.07 WHIP.

In his last outing, Snell turned a quality start, going six innings and giving up just two runs on two hits, three walks and six strikeouts against the Cardinals.

San Diego is 0-3 in his three starts this season. He’s hoping to start doing his part for a pitching staff that has been among the best in baseball, and ranks first in quality starts (31), 2nd in batting average against (.215), and fifth in both WHIP (1.13) and ERA (3.35).

On the other side, Carlos Carrasco has had a very nice season with the Mets. The 35-year-old is tied for second in the MLB in wins with a 6-1 record, though his other numbers like his ERA (3.63) and WHIP (1.21) are just good, not great.

Carrasco has thrown fewer than six innings in each of his past four starts, though he did just throw five scoreless against Washington in a win last week.

X-factors to Watch

For the Mets, we’re looking for someone who tears up left-handed pitching, so we’re going to go with Eduardo Escobar. The third baseman is hitting .291 (16-for-55) against southpaws and a .930 OPS. Three of his four home runs this year have come with a left-hander on the mound.

For San Diego, we’re going to focus on Luke Voit. The Padres’ designated hitter is hitting .294 so far in June and three of his four home runs this year have come when he’s playing at home.

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How to Watch Mets at Padres

New York Mets at San Diego Padres Information
Teams New York Mets at San Diego Padres
Location Petco Park, San Diego, California
Time Monday, June 6, 9:38  p.m. EST
How to watch Bally Sports San Diego, SportsNet New York
Image for Tony Garcia


Tony Garcia

180 Articles

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.

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