NBA Predictions Today: Best Bet for a Critical Game 5 and Best Futures Bets

Like it or not, the NBA playoffs are starting to wind down. Two of the conference semifinals have been decided already, which is why there is just one game on Tuesday night. Of course, it’s an important game, so we’ll take a close look at the best betting options for it. At the same time, we’ll start to look at some futures betting options at Kalshi, as we look ahead to the NBA Finals.

Best NBA Predictions for Tuesday, May 12

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Spurs Beat Timberwolves 10.5 Points in Game 5 (No, 52%)

Admittedly, the Spurs winning by double figures and covering the spread is a distinct possibility. San Antonio was at a disadvantage in playing most of Game 4 without Victor Wembanyama following his ejection. The Spurs also won Game 2 at home in blowout fashion, so it’s not impossible to replicate that result.

On the other hand, three of the four games in this series have been decided by seven points or less, making a lopsided affair in Game 5 unlikely. Whether they lucked out by winning Game 4 in part because Wembanyama was ejected, the T’Wolves must be feeling confident after evening up the series. Plus, they won in San Antonio earlier this series. Minnesota believes it can win this series, which is why the T’Wolves should at least keep Game 5 close.

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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Over 219.5 Points in Game 5 (No, 51%)

The last three games of this series have gone over the point total. In fact, the point total for Game 5 is almost identical to Game 4, so oddsmakers aren’t making much of a change for this bet. However, I don’t see that trend continuing. Keep in mind that both teams ranked among the five worst teams in the NBA at hitting the over during the regular season, so four straight overs in this series just doesn’t make sense.

Wembanyama’s absence for most of Game 4 also played a role in both teams scoring at least 109 points. His presence is a game-changer defensively, and if he can avoid another ejection, that should drop the total points considerably. Plus, with the series tightening up, things could get a little more cagey in Game 5, leading to a tight, low-scoring contest.

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Anthony Edwards 30+ Points in Game 5 (Yes, 38%)

It took a little time, but it seems like Edwards has found his groove offensively. It couldn’t have been easy for him coming back sooner than expected from an injury and immediately facing a tough defensive team like San Antonio. But Edwards has moved back into the starting lineup and scored over 30 points in back-to-back games.

Over the last two games, Edwards played at least 40 minutes, after playing no more than 25 minutes in the first two games of the series. His shot attempts are way up over the last two games. He’s also getting ot the free-throw line more regularly, earning 14 attempts over the last two games after just two in the first two games. If Edwards keeps playing heavy minutes, everything is trending toward him scoring 30+ points again in Game 5.

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Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Champions (Yes, 64%)

Nobody ever said that winning back-to-back titles was going to be easy. But Oklahoma City is making it look easy so far. The Thunder is a perfect 8-0 in the playoffs, sweeping both the Suns and Lakers. Obviously, the competition will get tougher in the next two series, but the Thunder will be well-rested, making it harder to imagine an opposing team taking them down.

The deeper we get into the playoffs, the shorter Oklahoma City’s odds are likely to get. At the moment, either San Antonio or Minnesota will have a tough time beating them after pummeling each other over six or seven games. Also, there are three possible teams to come out of the Eastern Conference. That makes now the last best chance to make a futures bet on the Thunder.

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