Best NBA Predictions Today: Can the Knicks Close Out Another Sweep on the Road?

While the Western Conference Finals have produced plenty of drama and intrigue, the Eastern Conference Finals have been all Knicks. New York has a chance to sweep a second consecutive playoff series on Monday night.

Can the Knicks finish the job, or will the Cavs live to see another day? We have predictions and player props for Monday’s Game 4.

Best NBA Predictions for Monday, May 25

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Knicks Beat Cavaliers in Game 4 (No, 43%)

Since late in the third quarter of Game 1, the Cavaliers have been thoroughly outplayed in this series. That’s why they find themselves facing elimination on Monday night. But the Cavs are too talented and too experienced to get swept. They are 6-2 at home in the playoffs, and won’t want to bow out in front of their home fans, so look for them to come out with energy and a purpose.

Admittedly, it’s hard to bet against a team that’s won 10 in a row, going 9-1 against the spread in those games. But at some point, the Knicks are bound to show some complacency or have a bad game. If they come out slow in Game 4, the Cavs will have a chance to take an early lead. Without the home crowd behind them, the Knicks may not have another big comeback in them, allowing Cleveland to keep the series alive.

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Knicks vs. Cavaliers Over 216.5 Total Points in Game 4 (No, 48%)

If the Cavs are going to win Game 4, it’ll likely be due to their defense. The Cavs need to step it up on that end of the floor and find a way to slow down a red-hot New York offense. Cleveland has a diminished chance of winning a shootout, but if the Cavs win, this game is bound to stay below 216.5 total points.

Even if Cleveland doesn’t win, this series has been lower scoring than expected. While two of the three games have hit the over, Game 1 only did so because it went to overtime. Granted, both teams were strong offensively in Game 3, each shooting 50% or better from the field. But that wasn’t necessarily emblematic of the series as a whole, which is why we’re expecting fewer points in Game 4.

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Donovan Mitchell 30+ Points in Game 4 (Yes, 38%)

Mitchell is undoubtedly a big key for Cleveland in keeping this series alive. He must have a big game for the Cavs to win. But for a player who averaged 27.9 points per game during the regular season, scoring 30+ points in a big game doesn’t feel like a stretch. With these odds, it’s worth taking a flier on Mitchell rising to the occasion.

In 17 playoff games, Mitchell has scored at least 30 points five times, so he’s more than capable of hitting that number, even if he hasn’t done it in this series. His two best games of the playoffs came after the Cavs trailed 2-0 to the Pistons. In Game 3, the shots just weren’t falling for him. But his shot volume shouldn’t be an issue, so if Mitchell can get a couple more shots to go down for him, he should get to 30 points in a must-win game.

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Mikal Bridges 15+ Points in Game 4 (Yes, 55%)

Since the start of the conference semifinals, Bridges has arguably been New York’s most consistent and reliable player. Obviously, he’s not their best player, but he’s been steady, averaging 18.4 points per game over his last seven games. Teams are too busy dealing with Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns to pay much attention to Bridges.

In his last seven games, Bridges has taken at least 10 shots in every game, which wasn’t the case in the first round against the Hawks. As a result, Bridges has scored at least 17 points in all but one of those games. Even in New York’s lopsided wins, Bridges is getting plenty of shots, including a lot of high-percentage looks. That’s why he feels like a safe bet to hit the 15-point threshold yet again in Game 4.

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