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Week 9 went our way once again in the prop markets! We swept the board thanks to Graham Mertz and Blake Shapen. The two quarterbacks sailed over their passing yardage total, and we have some more winners coming in hot for Saturday.
Since there are so many college football games, the prop markets can be exploited more efficiently than traditional bets.
We break down our favorite props every Friday for the Saturday games. Don’t miss out, and check back weekly, as we’re 14-5 in the past five weeks!
Garrett Shrader’s passing yardage prop is typically set in the high 190s, which is the case on most sportsbooks. However, FanDuel is offering 204.5 this Saturday against Boston College. The under is a viable betting option whether you find this line at 204.5 or 197.
Shrader has been very inefficient this season for the Orange. He is 60th in the country in QBR at 60.8 and only averages six yards per completion against ACC teams.
His three successful overs at this line came against Colgate, Western Michigan, and Army, but other than that, he hasn’t exceeded 176 yards against a conference opponent.
Boston College doesn’t have the best secondary in the country, but they’re coming off a game where they played well on defense against UConn. They should have some confidence coming into this contest after the performance.
They’re averaging 200 yards per game through the air, but they have faced some excellent quarterbacks in 2023. Shrader isn’t the same caliber of passer as Jordan Travis of Florida State or even Jack Plummer for Louisville.
We expect Syracuse to lean on the run in this game, especially after Camryn Edwards of UConn averaged 5.6 yards per carry last week versus the Eagles. Take the under on Shrader’s total.
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TreVeyon Henderson isn’t the first player we think of when Ohio State is discussed. It’s Marvin Harrison Jr., and for good reason, but Henderson has been fantastic this season and has a great matchup this week versus Rutgers.
Henderson is averaging 6.7 yards per carry. He has six touchdowns this season and is coming off back-to-back 100+ yard games against Notre Dame and Wisconsin. There is no reason he shouldn’t make it three against Rutgers.
The Scarlett Knights are one of the best cover teams in the country because they limit the big plays through the air. However, they are one of the worst teams in America defending the run. They’re allowing under 150 passing yards but 178.8 rushing yards per game.
Marvin Harrison Jr. will have a big game because he is a playmaker, but the writing is on the wall for Henderson to be the star on Saturday. Between the momentum he has the past two weeks and the matchup, this is a very low line for Henderson.
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Jaxson Dart’s passing yards line may seem low this week, but it’s not based on past results and his matchup against Texas A&M. The Aggies are one of the best defensive teams in the SEC. They have been lit up this season, but they have seemed to find a groove in the past two weeks.
They held Joe Milton III to 100 yards passing in Knoxville and then limited Spencer Rattler to 176 last week. The Aggies are the best team in the SEC against the pass, allowing just 173.1 yards per game.
Dart hasn’t been the sharpest quarterback in the past few weeks. He has a pick in two straight games and hasn’t exceeded 240.5 yards in his past three contests.
He only threw for 202 against Auburn and 153 versus Arkansas. Moving the football could be challenging for Ole Miss against Texas A&M this week, and 240.5 is a very high total, considering we’re probably going to see Jimbo Fisher’s team try to play keep away on Saturday.
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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