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Week 7 isn’t the best college football schedule, but there is a lot of value in the prop market. There are some player prop mismatches we’re looking to exploit on Saturday, and we have been hot at WSN.
We break down our favorite props every Friday for the Saturday games. Don’t miss out, and check back weekly, as we’re 9-2 in the past four weeks!
Marvin Harrison Jr. is one of the most explosive receivers in the country. However, he is also up and down and needs to be more consistent with his numbers. He has three massive games this season where he exceeded 100+ receiving yards, but he had just 18 and 32 yards in his two misses.
Purdue may not have the best record in the world at 2-4, but their secondary is stronger than their front seven. They’re allowing 226 passing yards per game, which is the middle of the road in the BIG10.
However, their run defense is atrocious. They’re allowing 153 yards per game on the ground, which is fourth worst in the conference. Harrison Jr. is a threat with the deep ball, but I don’t expect corners to press throughout this contest.
Purdue shouldn’t load the box early in this game because of all Ohio State's weapons in the passing game. This will lead to the Buckeyes trying to pound the ball with Treyvon Henderson consistently, and I believe they will succeed.
This game is also at Purdue, so hopefully, the home crowd sparks some energy into this defense, and they can contain the junior wide receiver.
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Graham Mertz threw for 254 yards last week against Vanderbilt and didn’t play the full game for the Gators. Carson Beck’s line is set at 290.5, which is a tough number, but Kirby Smart has let Beck throw the ball 30+ times per game, no matter the opponent.
We should see a lot of chunk plays for the Bulldogs. Beck has a 50-yard completion in two of his past three games, and Brock Bowers is finding his groove as we would expect.
Bowers has recorded at least 120 receiving yards in three straight games after three quiet games to open the season. If Bowers can feast on the Vanderbilt secondary, Beck will sail over this number.
Smart needs to give Beck all the reps he can as the season develops and the Commodores are third to last in the SEC against the pass. Also, Georgia’s offensive line should have no issues controlling the line of scrimmage.
This prop could go wrong, but this play has a lot of value. Garrett Shrader’s passing yards total is 189.5, and he has surpassed this number in just three of six starts. However, he hasn’t gone over once against a Power Five school.
Nevertheless, Florida State has one of the worst secondaries in the ACC. They’re allowing 238 passing yards per game, which is third worst in the ACC, right ahead of Syracuse.
If this were going to be a close game, I would lean under, but Syracuse has no chance of staying in the contest unless they throw the ball. Jordan Travis will put up many points, which means the Orange need to match the scoring.
Look for them to come out firing early and find Umari Hatcher early. This one could go horribly wrong, but the matchup is better for Syracuse this week than last week against North Carolina.
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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